This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.73
2.13
0.33
0.93
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.46
0.88
1.83
0.42
1.08
1.33
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.17
3.33
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 â
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.1%
Aris goals ↓
Olympiakos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
4.1%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
1
12%
11%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.5%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
8.3%
6.2%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
4.0%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aris goals (down), columns = Olympiakos goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
Aris is 0.20 points better than Olympiakos in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.21).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
Aris is 0.72 goals better than Olympiakos in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 0.97).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
Aris is 0.08 goals better than Olympiakos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.33).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
Aris is 2.7 percentage points worse than Olympiakos in terms of average possession (52% vs 54%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Aris
For 3.4 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 15.4 · Total 30.6
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Aris
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.2
9.2
1.2
1.2
1.3
28.5
26.8
29.8
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
8.4
8.2
8.6
2.0
1.9
2.0
28.7
26.8
30.6
vs Weaker (19)
12.0
-
12.0
0.2
0.0
0.4
26.0
-
26.0
% over line
45%
40%
50%
22%
20%
24%
91%
80%
100%
% under line
55%
60%
50%
78%
80%
76%
9%
20%
0%
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.8
AEL
10.0
AEK Larnaca
9.6
Apollon Limassol
9.5
Aris
9.4
Apoel Nicosia
9.4
Akritas
9.2
Anorthosis
9.0
Enosis
8.9
Olympiakos
8.5
Pafos
8.5
Omonia Aradippou
8.4
Ethnikos Achna
8.2
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
6.0
Aris
5.5
Anorthosis
5.3
Pafos
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Ethnikos Achna
5.0
Enosis
4.9
Omonia Nicosia
4.7
Olympiakos
4.6
AEL
4.5
Akritas
4.1
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.2
Anorthosis
29.1
Enosis
28.4
Olympiakos
27.4
AEL
26.8
Ethnikos Achna
26.8
Omonia Aradippou
26.4
Pafos
26.3
Aris
26.3
AEK Larnaca
26.2
Apollon Limassol
25.4
Omonia Nicosia
24.6
Akritas
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.5%
Under 9.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.4%
Under 3.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.8%
Under 21.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aris
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.94
0.56
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.61
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.93
0.13
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.54
0.83
0.17
0.42
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aris over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aris
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.43
1.25
0.31
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.56
1.00
0.30
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
0.20
2.00
0.40
1.20
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.30
1.20
0.20
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.25
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
2.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aris over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Aris
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Giorgi Kvilitaia60%
Rody Junior Effaghe44%
Grigoris Kastanos29%
Jaden Montnor25%
Edi Semedo20%
Andronikos Kakoullis17%
Leon Balogun14%
Yannick Gomis11%
Connor Goldson10%
Dennis Bakke Gaustad10%
Vana Alves0%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Aleksandr Kokorin0%
Wesley Foderingham0%
Anderson Correia0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Steeve Yago0%
Yacine Bourhane0%
Gedeon Kalulu0%
Mihlali Mayambela0%
Veljko NikoliÄ0%
Ross McCausland0%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda0%
David Lelle0%
Mamadou Sane0%
Gustavo Paje0%
Collins Phares Fi Akamba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda50%
Steeve Yago33%
Gustavo Paje33%
Wesley Foderingham25%
Yacine Bourhane25%
Gedeon Kalulu25%
Mihlali Mayambela25%
David Lelle25%
Collins Phares Fi Akamba25%
Aleksandr Kokorin22%
Connor Goldson20%
Veljko NikoliÄ20%
Charalampos Charalampous17%
Jaden Montnor17%
Grigoris Kastanos14%
Leon Balogun14%
Mamadou Sane12%
Rody Junior Effaghe11%
Andronikos Kakoullis8%
Anderson Correia8%
Vana Alves0%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Giorgi Kvilitaia0%
Yannick Gomis0%
Edi Semedo0%
Ross McCausland0%
Dennis Bakke Gaustad0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mamadou Sane25%
Rody Junior Effaghe22%
Jaden Montnor17%
Gustavo Paje17%
Anderson Correia15%
Leon Balogun14%
Yannick Gomis11%
Charalampos Charalampous8%
Andronikos Kakoullis8%
Steeve Yago8%
Vana Alves0%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Grigoris Kastanos0%
Aleksandr Kokorin0%
Wesley Foderingham0%
Connor Goldson0%
Giorgi Kvilitaia0%
Yacine Bourhane0%
Gedeon Kalulu0%
Edi Semedo0%
Mihlali Mayambela0%
Veljko NikoliÄ0%
Ross McCausland0%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda0%
Dennis Bakke Gaustad0%
David Lelle0%
Collins Phares Fi Akamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Grigoris Kastanos29%
Jaden Montnor25%
Rody Junior Effaghe22%
Giorgi Kvilitaia20%
Charalampos Charalampous17%
Leon Balogun14%
Mamadou Sane12%
Yannick Gomis11%
Andronikos Kakoullis8%
Vana Alves0%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Aleksandr Kokorin0%
Wesley Foderingham0%
Connor Goldson0%
Anderson Correia0%
Steeve Yago0%
Yacine Bourhane0%
Gedeon Kalulu0%
Edi Semedo0%
Mihlali Mayambela0%
Veljko NikoliÄ0%
Ross McCausland0%
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda0%
Dennis Bakke Gaustad0%
David Lelle0%
Gustavo Paje0%
Collins Phares Fi Akamba0%
Olympiakos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Kovalenko33%
Admir BajroviÄ25%
Jean Felipe17%
JoÃĢo Tavares17%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henrique Gomes33%
Orhan Dzepar29%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio25%
Stefanos Charalampous14%
Mauricio14%
Vieirinha14%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ12%
Christos Talichmanidis12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Jean Felipe0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio25%
Geron Tocka20%
Jean Felipe17%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Kovalenko0%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Jean Felipe0%
Henrique Gomes0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Aris's squad is €8m more valuable than Olympiakos's (€11m vs €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Aris's attack is €2m more valuable than Olympiakos's (€3m vs €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Aris's midfield is €2m more valuable than Olympiakos's (€3m vs €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Aris's defence is €3m more valuable than Olympiakos's (€5m vs €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →