Arka Gdynia’s recent 4-0 triumph over Resovia Rzeszów gives the home side a bright start to the campaign, while ŁKS Łódź returns from a goalless draw with Odra Opole. The model therefore favours a home win, assigning 60% to Arka, 24% to a draw and 16% to ŁKS. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 11.6%. Arka’s home form shows 1.75 goals scored and 0.92 conceded against similar opposition, whereas ŁKS averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.08 conceded on the road. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0% with a 7% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.9% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0% with an 8% edge), Under 6.5 (97.9% with a 2% edge), Home +2 handicap (94.7% with a 12% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.5% with a 5% edge) and Away under 2.5 goals (94.4% with a 9% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arka Gdynia win
59.8%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.31
Edge
+20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.40
Dafabet
2.39
Pinnacle
2.38
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.22
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.40
Betano
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
ŁKS Łódź win
15.8%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.77
Edge
-16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.85
Pinnacle
2.84
Superbet
2.82
Betfair
2.80
Dafabet
2.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arka Gdynia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.63
1.69
1.31
1.00
2.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
2.33
1.50
2.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.38
1.57
1.75
0.92
0.89
2.44
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
-
-
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (ŁKS Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ŁKS Łódź
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.27
1.81
1.31
1.29
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.54
1.27
1.71
1.43
1.33
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.33
4.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Arka Gdynia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.3%
@ 1.26+3.4%
Under 1.5
23.7%
@ 3.40-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
3.54
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.8%
@ 1.89+1.4%
Under 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.85-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Unibet
1.87
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.8%
@ 3.15-0.5%
Under 3.5
71.2%
@ 1.30+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.21
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
Under
Unibet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
49.5%
@ 1.69-5.1%
No
50.5%
@ 2.04+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.68
No
Unibet
2.10
William Hil
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%@ 5.85+4.1%
2-0
11.4%@ 10.88+7.4%
1-0
11.3%@ 7.66+5.5%
2-1
9.8%@ 8.47+4.6%
0-0
7.7%@ 9.52+3.1%
3-0
7.1%@ 22.50+5.1%
3-1
6.0%@ 17.59+3.5%
0-1
4.6%@ 8.50-0.5%
Arka Gdynia goals ↓
ŁKS Łódź goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
4.6%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
1
11%
12%
4.5%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
7.1%
6.0%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
4
3.3%
2.8%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arka Gdynia goals (down), columns = ŁKS Łódź goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Arka Gdynia is 0.17 points worse than ŁKS Łódź in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Arka Gdynia is 0.17 goals worse than ŁKS Łódź in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Arka Gdynia and ŁKS Łódź are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arka Gdynia or Draw
84.2%
Avg Implied 67.1% · @ 1.37
Edge
+17.1%
60%
24%
16%
covers Arka Gdynia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.38
SBO
1.37
Arka Gdynia or ŁKS Łódź
75.7%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.28
Edge
+3.5%
60%
24%
16%
covers Arka Gdynia + ŁKS Łódź
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.27
Draw or ŁKS Łódź
40.2%
Avg Implied 60.7% · @ 1.52
Edge
-20.6%
60%
24%
16%
covers Draw + ŁKS Łódź
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
William Hil
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.51
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arka Gdynia over/under 0.5
Over
84.3%
@ 1.26+10.5%
Under
15.7%
@ 3.55-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.69
1xBet
3.56
Betano
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Arka Gdynia over/under 1.5
Over
55.3%
@ 2.24+13.9%
Under
44.7%
@ 1.58-13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Unibet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Arka Gdynia over/under 2.5
Over
28.3%
@ 5.13+10.3%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.13-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Arka Gdynia over/under 3.5
Over
11.7%
@ 12.08+3.9%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.03-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
ŁKS Łódź over/under 0.5
Over
57.5%
@ 1.32-13.1%
Under
42.5%
@ 3.16+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
1xBet
3.18
Superbet
3.10
Betano
3.05
ŁKS Łódź over/under 1.5
Over
21.1%
@ 2.53-15.3%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.45+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Under
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Bet365
1.44
ŁKS Łódź over/under 2.5
Over
5.6%
@ 6.09-9.6%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.09+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.25
Superbet
5.85
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
ŁKS Łódź over/under 3.5
Over
1.1%
@ 14.83-5.3%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arka Gdynia, so a minus line means Arka Gdynia give that many goals of a start and ŁKS Łódź receive them. At -1, Arka Gdynia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arka Gdynia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arka Gdynia)
Arka Gdynia -2
17.0%
@ 9.05+7.4%
Draw -2
18.8%
@ 6.03+4.3%
ŁKS Łódź +2
64.2%
@ 1.15-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.70
Marathonbet
6.45
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Arka Gdynia)
Arka Gdynia -1
35.8%
@ 4.45+16.1%
Draw -1
24.0%
@ 3.96+1.9%
ŁKS Łódź +1
40.2%
@ 1.51-18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
3.35
Away
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.49
Unibet
1.45
Handicap +1 (Arka Gdynia)
Arka Gdynia +1
84.2%
@ 1.37+20.3%
Draw +1
10.5%
@ 4.35-9.6%
ŁKS Łódź -1
5.3%
@ 5.47-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Unibet
3.70
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Superbet
5.45
Unibet
4.50
Handicap +2 (Arka Gdynia)
Arka Gdynia +2
94.7%
@ 1.11+11.7%
Draw +2
4.0%
@ 8.50-6.8%
ŁKS Łódź -2
1.3%
@ 15.00-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arka Gdynia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.94
0.62
0.21
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.17
0.25
1.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.71
1.17
0.33
0.11
1.22
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
-
-
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ŁKS Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ŁKS Łódź
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.75
0.75
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.62
0.64
0.86
0.42
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arka Gdynia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.7%
@ 1.36+1.6%
Under 0.5
30.3%
@ 2.90-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.02
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
1xBet
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.7%
@ 2.72+1.8%
Under 1.5
64.3%
@ 1.40-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Pinnacle
2.82
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.3%
@ 6.77-1.4%
Under 2.5
87.7%
@ 1.08+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
William Hil
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arka Gdynia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.1%
@ 1.99+8.7%
Under
44.9%
@ 1.72-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Arka Gdynia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.3%
@ 6.22+4.6%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.08-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Arka Gdynia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.8%
@ 15.38-1.4%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.02+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
ŁKS Łódź over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.4%
@ 2.15-8.5%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.62+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
ŁKS Łódź over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.9%
@ 7.08-6.2%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.06+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
ŁKS Łódź over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
@ 17.62-4.4%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arka Gdynia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
0.75
0.69
0.79
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.17
1.25
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.86
0.58
0.58
0.78
1.22
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ŁKS Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ŁKS Łódź
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.67
1.06
0.56
0.86
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.65
1.07
0.57
0.92
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arka Gdynia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.9%
@ 1.24+4.8%
Under 0.5
20.1%
@ 3.73-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.3%
@ 2.09+2.0%
Under 1.5
53.7%
@ 1.66-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.02
Under
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 4.33-1.5%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.18+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arka Gdynia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.7%
@ 1.70+2.4%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.02-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Arka Gdynia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.8%
@ 4.45+1.1%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.16-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Arka Gdynia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.6%
@ 11.50-1.5%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.02+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
ŁKS Łódź over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.4%
@ 1.82-5.3%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.87+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
ŁKS Łódź over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.4%
@ 5.08-6.8%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.13+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
Superbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
ŁKS Łódź over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 12.75-5.4%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.4%
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
Home +2 handicap
94.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+11.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
94.4%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+9.6%
Under 5.5
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+2.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+6.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.6%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+6.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
88.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-3.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.7%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
+1.4%
Under 4.5
86.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
+1.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
84.3%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
+10.5%
Home or Draw
84.2%
1.37
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.38
SBO
1.37
+17.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.7%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-4.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-
+1.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.24
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
-
+4.8%
Away under 1.5 goals
78.9%
1.45
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Bet365
1.44
+15.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.2%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-1.1%
Over 1.5
76.3%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.24
+3.4%
Home or Away
75.7%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.27
+3.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
71.7%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-10.3%
Under 3.5
71.2%
1.30
Unibet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+0.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arka Gdynia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vladislavs Gutkovskis25%
Oskar Kubiak21%
Nazariy Rusyn17%
Eduardo Espiau14%
Dawid Kocyła10%
Sebastian Kerk9%
Marc Navarro7%
Dawid Abramowicz7%
Kamil Jakubczyk6%
Michał Marcjanik6%
Luis Perea5%
Kike Hermoso5%
Dawid Gojny5%
Aurélien Nguiamba0%
Tornike Gaprindashvili0%
Patryk Szysz0%
Michał Rzuchowski0%
Serafin Szota0%
Szymon Sobczak0%
Damian Węglarz0%
João Oliveira0%
Dominick Zator0%
Julien Celestine0%
Jędrzej Grobelny0%
Alassane Sidibe0%
Diego Percan0%
Hide Vitalucci0%
Marcel Predenkiewicz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julien Celestine62%
Kamil Jakubczyk29%
Tornike Gaprindashvili24%
Dawid Gojny23%
Diego Percan22%
Aurélien Nguiamba21%
Kike Hermoso19%
Alassane Sidibe19%
Nazariy Rusyn17%
Luis Perea16%
Marc Navarro14%
Dawid Abramowicz14%
Jędrzej Grobelny14%
Vladislavs Gutkovskis12%
Michał Marcjanik12%
Michał Rzuchowski11%
Dominick Zator11%
Eduardo Espiau10%
Serafin Szota10%
Sebastian Kerk9%
Oskar Kubiak7%
Dawid Kocyła6%
Patryk Szysz0%
Szymon Sobczak0%
Damian Węglarz0%
João Oliveira0%
Hide Vitalucci0%
Marcel Predenkiewicz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastian Kerk18%
Marc Navarro14%
Diego Percan11%
Kike Hermoso10%
Dawid Abramowicz7%
Oskar Kubiak7%
Vladislavs Gutkovskis6%
Tornike Gaprindashvili6%
Luis Perea5%
Dawid Gojny5%
Patryk Szysz4%
Kamil Jakubczyk3%
Nazariy Rusyn0%
Aurélien Nguiamba0%
Michał Marcjanik0%
Michał Rzuchowski0%
Serafin Szota0%
Szymon Sobczak0%
Damian Węglarz0%
João Oliveira0%
Dominick Zator0%
Julien Celestine0%
Dawid Kocyła0%
Jędrzej Grobelny0%
Alassane Sidibe0%
Eduardo Espiau0%
Hide Vitalucci0%
Marcel Predenkiewicz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vladislavs Gutkovskis31%
Oskar Kubiak14%
Nazariy Rusyn13%
Dawid Abramowicz7%
Kamil Jakubczyk6%
Sebastian Kerk6%
Kike Hermoso5%
Eduardo Espiau3%
Dawid Kocyła3%
Marc Navarro0%
Aurélien Nguiamba0%
Tornike Gaprindashvili0%
Michał Marcjanik0%
Patryk Szysz0%
Dawid Gojny0%
Michał Rzuchowski0%
Serafin Szota0%
Szymon Sobczak0%
Damian Węglarz0%
Luis Perea0%
João Oliveira0%
Dominick Zator0%
Julien Celestine0%
Jędrzej Grobelny0%
Alassane Sidibe0%
Diego Percan0%
Hide Vitalucci0%
Marcel Predenkiewicz0%
ŁKS Łódź · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dani Ramirez28%
Stipe Jurić21%
Kay Tejan21%
Jedrzej Zajac17%
Husein Balić15%
Engjell Hoti14%
Artemijus Tutyškinas9%
Piotr Janczukowicz7%
Antoni Mlynarczyk6%
Pirulo5%
Rahil Mammadov0%
Riza Durmisi0%
Nacho Monsalve0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Adam Marciniak0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Dawid Arndt0%
Marcin Flis0%
Bartosz Szeliga0%
Levent Gülen0%
Anton Fase0%
Piotr Głowacki0%
Adrian Małachowski0%
Oskar Koprowski0%
Jakub Letniowski0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Adrien Louveau0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Aleksander Bobek0%
Thiago Ceijas0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Letniowski38%
Riza Durmisi36%
Adam Marciniak29%
Dawid Arndt29%
Adrien Louveau27%
Artemijus Tutyškinas27%
Oskar Koprowski25%
Pirulo24%
Michał Mokrzycki21%
Kay Tejan21%
Rahil Mammadov19%
Marcin Flis19%
Engjell Hoti17%
Nacho Monsalve17%
Levent Gülen17%
Jedrzej Zajac17%
Husein Balić15%
Dani Ramirez12%
Thiago Ceijas12%
Antoni Mlynarczyk12%
Aleksander Bobek12%
Piotr Janczukowicz11%
Kamil Dankowski10%
Bartosz Szeliga10%
Stipe Jurić5%
Piotr Głowacki4%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Anton Fase0%
Adrian Małachowski0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrian Małachowski17%
Antoni Mlynarczyk12%
Kay Tejan10%
Riza Durmisi9%
Michał Mokrzycki7%
Kamil Dankowski7%
Dani Ramirez6%
Levent Gülen6%
Adrien Louveau5%
Piotr Głowacki4%
Piotr Janczukowicz4%
Bartosz Szeliga3%
Rahil Mammadov0%
Husein Balić0%
Nacho Monsalve0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Adam Marciniak0%
Dawid Arndt0%
Marcin Flis0%
Pirulo0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Anton Fase0%
Oskar Koprowski0%
Jakub Letniowski0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Aleksander Bobek0%
Engjell Hoti0%
Thiago Ceijas0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
Jedrzej Zajac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Małachowski17%
Kay Tejan14%
Marcin Flis12%
Pirulo10%
Dani Ramirez9%
Husein Balić8%
Rahil Mammadov0%
Riza Durmisi0%
Nacho Monsalve0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Adam Marciniak0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Dawid Arndt0%
Bartosz Szeliga0%
Levent Gülen0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Anton Fase0%
Piotr Głowacki0%
Oskar Koprowski0%
Jakub Letniowski0%
Piotr Janczukowicz0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Adrien Louveau0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Aleksander Bobek0%
Engjell Hoti0%
Thiago Ceijas0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
Antoni Mlynarczyk0%
Jedrzej Zajac0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Arka Gdynia's squad is €1m more valuable than ŁKS Łódź's (€5m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Arka Gdynia and ŁKS Łódź have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Arka Gdynia and ŁKS Łódź have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Arka Gdynia and ŁKS Łódź have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Miedz Legnica
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Chrobry Głogów
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Pogoń Siedlce
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Ruch Chorzów
Puszcza Niepołomice
Polonia Bytom
Unia Skierniewice
Podbeskidzie
Stal Rzeszów