PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Armagh City vs H&W Welders Result & Analysis

Date: 29/11/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Armagh City
Armagh City
Vs
22%
22%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Armagh City win✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders win✓ Hit
55.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Armagh CityArmagh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L11D30W13L15L02L12L10W02L02LA·ARD20/09H·LIM27/09H·DUN04/10A·BAL11/10A·NEW18/10H·QUE25/10A·INS01/11H·ARD08/11H·WAR15/11A·ANN22/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.231.122.001.622.54
vs Stronger (25)1.362.241.272.071.502.50
vs Similar (5)1.202.200.001.502.002.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W33D21W02L22D30W12L11D41W11DA·LIM20/09A·DUN26/09H·INS04/10A·ANN11/10A·WAR18/10H·BAL25/10A·NEW01/11H·LOU08/11A·ARD15/11H·QUE22/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.271.771.151.941.35
vs Stronger (18)1.891.561.291.292.271.73
vs Similar (6)2.001.002.331.671.670.33
vs Weaker (6)1.670.672.330.331.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.3%
Under 1.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.9%
Under 2.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.3%
Under 3.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.1%
No
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
0-3 ✓
5.1%
Armagh City goals ↓
H&W Welders goals →
01234
03.9%5.7%7.1%5.1%2.8%
13.2%9.6%9.4%6.8%3.7%
22.7%5.8%6.3%4.6%2.5%
31.2%2.6%2.8%2.0%1.1%
40.4%0.9%0.9%0.7%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Armagh City goals (down), columns = H&W Welders goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Limavady United
2.13
Annagh United
1.89
H&W Welders
1.74
Newington Youth
1.58
Institute
1.55
Queen's University
1.50
Loughgall
1.47
Ards
1.37
Warrenpoint Town
1.08
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Dundela
0.74
Armagh City
0.50
Armagh City is 1.24 points worse than H&W Welders in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.74).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
H&W Welders
2.29
Newington Youth
2.03
Limavady United
1.82
Institute
1.55
Ards
1.47
Annagh United
1.45
Queen's University
1.34
Loughgall
1.32
Warrenpoint Town
1.18
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Dundela
1.13
Armagh City
0.79
Armagh City is 1.50 goals worse than H&W Welders in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 2.29).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Limavady United
0.89
Loughgall
1.00
Annagh United
1.03
Queen's University
1.21
Institute
1.21
H&W Welders
1.26
Ards
1.34
Warrenpoint Town
1.39
Ballinamallard United
1.58
Newington Youth
1.63
Dundela
2.03
Armagh City
2.95
Armagh City is 1.68 goals worse than H&W Welders in terms of goals conceded per game (2.95 vs 1.26).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Armagh CityArmagh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W20W01L12L01L01L10W02L02LA·ARD20/09H·LIM27/09H·DUN04/10A·BAL11/10A·NEW18/10H·QUE25/10A·INS01/11H·ARD08/11H·WAR15/11A·ANN22/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.230.761.000.691.54
vs Stronger (25)0.841.200.870.930.801.60
vs Similar (5)0.201.400.001.500.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L20W02L01L20W12L11D10W01LA·LIM20/09A·DUN26/09H·INS04/10A·ANN11/10A·WAR18/10H·BAL25/10A·NEW01/11H·LOU08/11A·ARD15/11H·QUE22/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.770.540.710.71
vs Stronger (18)0.720.720.570.570.820.82
vs Similar (6)0.670.500.670.670.670.33
vs Weaker (6)0.830.501.330.330.330.67
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Armagh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Armagh CityArmagh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W12L03L01L11D00D00D00DA·ARD20/09H·LIM27/09H·DUN04/10A·BAL11/10A·NEW18/10H·QUE25/10A·INS01/11H·ARD08/11H·WAR15/11A·ANN22/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.351.000.921.00
vs Stronger (25)0.521.040.401.130.700.90
vs Similar (5)1.000.800.000.001.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W21W01L00D21W10W00D00D31W10WA·LIM20/09A·DUN26/09H·INS04/10A·ANN11/10A·WAR18/10H·BAL25/10A·NEW01/11H·LOU08/11A·ARD15/11H·QUE22/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.631.000.621.240.65
vs Stronger (18)1.170.830.710.711.450.91
vs Similar (6)1.330.501.671.001.000.00
vs Weaker (6)0.830.171.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Armagh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
Armagh City and H&W Welders have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
Armagh City and H&W Welders have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
Armagh City and H&W Welders have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
AC wins
1
Draws
2
HW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Armagh City vs H&W Welders · H/A from AC
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/25AH&W Welders Vs AC3-0
11/01/25HAC Vs H&W Welders3-3
16/11/24HAC Vs H&W Welders3-0
14/09/24AH&W Welders Vs AC5-0

Armagh CityArmagh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25AAnnagh United Vs AC2-0
15/11/25HAC Vs Warrenpoint Town0-2
08/11/25HAC Vs Ards1-0
01/11/25AInstitute Vs AC2-1
25/10/25HAC Vs Queen's University0-2
18/10/25ANewington Youth Vs AC5-1
11/10/25ABallinamallard United Vs AC3-1
04/10/25HAC Vs Dundela3-0
27/09/25HAC Vs Limavady United1-1
20/09/25AArds Vs AC2-1

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25HHW Vs Queen's University1-1
15/11/25AArds Vs HW1-4
08/11/25HHW Vs Loughgall1-1
01/11/25ANewington Youth Vs HW2-1
25/10/25HHW Vs Ballinamallard United3-0
18/10/25AWarrenpoint Town Vs HW2-2
11/10/25AAnnagh United Vs HW2-0
04/10/25HHW Vs Institute2-1
26/09/25ADundela Vs HW3-3
20/09/25ALimavady United Vs HW0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Armagh City
Armagh City
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.90
HomeDWLWL0.92
AwayLLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%23%21%
AVG goals3.483.503.46
Over 1.5 %86%85%88%
Over 2.5 %66%69%62%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.381.461.29
Conceded2.102.042.17
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners---
Cards---
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWD1.70
HomeDWWDD1.92
AwayDLDLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals3.203.083.32
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.902.001.80
Conceded1.301.081.52
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Limavady UnitedLimavady United3881
63%
2.1
6934+35
2.7
68%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3872
58%
1.9
5539+16
2.5
71%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
50%
1.7
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
4Newington YouthNewington Youth3860
47%
1.6
7762+15
3.7
87%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5InstituteInstitute3859
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
71%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6QueenQueen's University3857
39%
1.5
5146+5
2.6
76%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LoughgallLoughgall3856
37%
1.5
5038+12
2.3
74%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
8ArdsArds3852
39%
1.4
5651+5
2.8
74%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3841
29%
1.1
4553-8
2.6
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
10Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3838
24%
1.0
4460-16
2.7
68%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
11DundelaDundela3828
13%
0.7
4377-34
3.2
89%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Armagh CityArmagh City3819
11%
0.5
30112-82
3.7
87%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.9
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches