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Armagh City vs Queen's University Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Armagh City
Armagh City
Vs
18%
23%
59%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Queen
Queen's University
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This Northern-Ireland: Championship match between Armagh City and Queen's University is expected to be a closely contested affair, with the away side, Queen's University, coming off a win and looking to capitalize on their momentum. The model's selection is an away win, with a probability of 59%, while the home side, Armagh City, has a 18% chance of winning and a 23% chance of drawing.

The expected total number of goals in this match is 3.0, with the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw, occurring 10.9% of the time. Armagh City's recent form has been poor, with two straight defeats, while Queen's University has shown resilience, coming off a win. When facing stronger opponents at home, Armagh City has averaged 0.62 goals scored and 2.54 conceded. Conversely, Queen's University has averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded when facing weaker opponents away. The model's selection, Over 1.5, has a probability of 81.6%.

Results analysis

The draw between Armagh City and Queen's University has extended Armagh City's run of draws at home. However, the real story here is the upset, as the pre-match favourite, Queen's University, failed to come through. Despite being the model's selection with a 59% chance of winning, Queen's University's model call was wrong. The model correctly identified the suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals, which hit with an 81.6% probability. The actual result was a 1-1 draw, matching the most likely score predicted by the model.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Armagh City win✗ Miss
17.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queen's University win✗ Miss
59.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Armagh CityArmagh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-812L06L00D11D18L00D12L00D06L14LH·NEW21/02A·INS28/02H·BAL07/03A·LOU16/03A·QUE21/03A·WAR28/03A·ARD10/04A·DUN18/04A·BAL21/04H·INS25/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.633.130.622.540.653.59
vs Stronger (23)0.743.260.782.560.713.71
vs Similar (7)0.292.710.252.500.333.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's University) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's University

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-822D02L02L10W81W32W02L40W00D10WH·ARD21/02A·NEW28/02H·LIM11/03A·INS14/03H·ARM21/03A·H&W28/03H·NEW04/04A·ANN11/04H·LOU18/04A·LIM24/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.131.431.211.251.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.070.931.001.001.140.86
vs Weaker (16)1.561.311.861.431.331.22
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.5%
Under 2.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.1%
Under 3.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.9%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
Armagh City goals ↓
Queen's University goals →
01234
05.8%8.6%9.7%6.5%3.3%
13.9%11%10.0%6.7%3.3%
22.5%5.1%5.1%3.4%1.7%
30.9%1.8%1.8%1.2%0.6%
40.2%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Armagh City goals (down), columns = Queen's University goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newington Youth
2.60
H&W Welders
2.40
Glenavon FC
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Queen's University
2.00
Loughgall
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Moyola Park
1.40
Ards
1.40
Warrenpoint Town
1.40
Ballinamallard United
1.20
Institute
0.80
Dundela
0.60
Strabane Athletic
0.60
Armagh City
0.40
Rathfriland
0.00
Armagh City is 1.60 points worse than Queen's University in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glenavon FC
2.80
Newington Youth
2.80
Annagh United
2.40
Queen's University
2.20
Loughgall
2.00
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
H&W Welders
1.80
Dundela
1.40
Newry City AFC
1.40
Strabane Athletic
1.20
Moyola Park
1.20
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Rathfriland
1.00
Institute
0.80
Armagh City
0.60
Armagh City is 1.60 goals worse than Queen's University in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 2.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
H&W Welders
0.60
Queen's University
1.00
Newington Youth
1.00
Loughgall
1.40
Moyola Park
1.40
Armagh City
1.40
Glenavon FC
1.60
Ballinamallard United
1.60
Annagh United
1.80
Institute
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
Dundela
2.00
Strabane Athletic
2.00
Rathfriland
3.20
Armagh City is 0.40 goals worse than Queen's University in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Armagh CityArmagh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D04L00D00D03L00D01L00D02L01LH·NEW21/02A·INS28/02H·BAL07/03A·LOU16/03A·QUE21/03A·WAR28/03A·ARD10/04A·DUN18/04A·BAL21/04H·INS25/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.230.380.770.061.59
vs Stronger (23)0.221.350.440.780.071.71
vs Similar (7)0.140.860.250.750.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's University) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's University

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L00D30W11D00D00D00D10WH·ARD21/02A·NEW28/02H·LIM11/03A·INS14/03H·ARM21/03A·H&W28/03H·NEW04/04A·ANN11/04H·LOU18/04A·LIM24/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.710.640.310.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.290.290.570.290.000.29
vs Weaker (16)0.690.750.861.000.560.56
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Armagh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Armagh CityArmagh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L02L00D11D15L00D11D00D04L13LH·NEW21/02A·INS28/02H·BAL07/03A·LOU16/03A·QUE21/03A·WAR28/03A·ARD10/04A·DUN18/04A·BAL21/04H·INS25/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.900.231.770.592.00
vs Stronger (23)0.521.910.331.780.642.00
vs Similar (7)0.141.860.001.750.332.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's University) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's University

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L02L01L10W51W21W02L40W00D00DH·ARD21/02A·NEW28/02H·LIM11/03A·INS14/03H·ARM21/03A·H&W28/03H·NEW04/04A·ANN11/04H·LOU18/04A·LIM24/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.710.570.940.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.640.430.711.140.57
vs Weaker (16)0.880.561.000.430.780.67
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Armagh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (13)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (3)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (9)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
AC wins
1
Draws
2
QU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Armagh City vs Queen's University · H/A from AC
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26AQueen's University Vs AC8-1
25/10/25HAC Vs Queen's University0-2
13/09/25AQueen's University Vs AC1-1

Armagh CityArmagh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HAC Vs Institute1-4
21/04/26ABallinamallard United Vs AC6-0
18/04/26ADundela Vs AC0-0
10/04/26AArds Vs AC2-1
28/03/26AWarrenpoint Town Vs AC0-0
21/03/26AQueen's University Vs AC8-1
16/03/26ALoughgall Vs AC1-1
07/03/26HAC Vs Ballinamallard United0-0
28/02/26AInstitute Vs AC6-0
21/02/26HAC Vs Newington Youth1-2

QueenQueen's University

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/26ALimavady United Vs QU0-1
18/04/26HQU Vs Loughgall0-0
11/04/26AAnnagh United Vs QU0-4
04/04/26HQU Vs Newington Youth0-2
28/03/26AH&W Welders Vs QU2-3
21/03/26HQU Vs Armagh City8-1
14/03/26AInstitute Vs QU0-1
11/03/26HQU Vs Limavady United0-2
28/02/26ANewington Youth Vs QU2-0
21/02/26HQU Vs Ards2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Armagh City
Armagh City
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL0.54
HomeLLLDL0.56
AwayLDLDL0.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%12%12%
AVG goals3.843.364.32
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %72%68%76%
Over 3.5 %44%36%52%
Scored0.960.881.04
Conceded2.882.483.28
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet12%16%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Queen
Queen's University
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.50
HomeDLWLD1.45
AwayLWWWW1.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%35%45%
AVG goals2.552.552.55
Over 1.5 %78%70%85%
Over 2.5 %40%45%35%
Over 3.5 %25%25%25%
Scored1.351.401.30
Conceded1.201.151.25
BTTS38%40%35%
Clean Sheet32%35%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Newington YouthNewington Youth513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2H&W WeldersH&W Welders512
80%
2.4
93+6
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
3Glenavon FCGlenavon FC510
60%
2.0
148+6
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.81.6
-
4QueenQueen's University510
60%
2.0
115+6
3.2
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Annagh UnitedAnnagh United510
60%
2.0
129+3
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.8
-
6LoughgallLoughgall59
40%
1.8
107+3
3.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
7Newry City AFCNewry City AFC59
60%
1.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
8ArdsArds57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
10Moyola ParkMoyola Park57
40%
1.4
67-1
2.6
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
12InstituteInstitute54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
13DundelaDundela53
0%
0.6
710-3
3.4
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
14Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic53
20%
0.6
610-4
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
15Armagh CityArmagh City52
0%
0.4
37-4
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
16RathfrilandRathfriland50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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