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Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town Result & Analysis

Date: 17/01/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-5
Armagh City
Armagh City
Vs
19%
23%
58%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Warrenpoint Town
Warrenpoint Town
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Armagh City win✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town win✓ Hit
57.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Armagh CityArmagh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
120-1210W02L02L03L31W13L03L12L08L012LH·ARD08/11H·WAR15/11A·ANN22/11H·H&W29/11A·DUN06/12A·LIM13/12H·BAL20/12A·LOU26/12H·ARD30/12A·H&W03/01
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
3.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.701.062.251.293.21
vs Stronger (24)1.212.791.312.311.093.36
vs Similar (6)1.002.330.002.002.002.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D33D10W20W23L11D40W10W00D03LH·H&W18/10A·LIM01/11H·INS08/11A·ARM15/11A·DUN22/11H·QUE29/11A·BAL13/12H·LOU20/12A·ARD26/12H·H&W30/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.331.731.201.201.47
vs Stronger (26)1.191.311.460.920.921.69
vs Similar (4)3.251.503.503.003.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
Armagh City goals ↓
Warrenpoint Town goals →
01234
05.5%8.0%9.1%6.1%3.1%
13.9%11%9.9%6.7%3.3%
22.7%5.4%5.4%3.6%1.8%
31.0%2.0%2.0%1.3%0.7%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Armagh City goals (down), columns = Warrenpoint Town goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Limavady United
2.13
Annagh United
1.89
H&W Welders
1.74
Newington Youth
1.58
Institute
1.55
Queen's University
1.50
Loughgall
1.47
Ards
1.37
Warrenpoint Town
1.08
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Dundela
0.74
Armagh City
0.50
Armagh City is 0.58 points worse than Warrenpoint Town in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
H&W Welders
2.29
Newington Youth
2.03
Limavady United
1.82
Institute
1.55
Ards
1.47
Annagh United
1.45
Queen's University
1.34
Loughgall
1.32
Warrenpoint Town
1.18
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Dundela
1.13
Armagh City
0.79
Armagh City is 0.39 goals worse than Warrenpoint Town in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 1.18).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Limavady United
0.89
Loughgall
1.00
Annagh United
1.03
Queen's University
1.21
Institute
1.21
H&W Welders
1.26
Ards
1.34
Warrenpoint Town
1.39
Ballinamallard United
1.58
Newington Youth
1.63
Dundela
2.03
Armagh City
2.95
Armagh City is 1.55 goals worse than Warrenpoint Town in terms of goals conceded per game (2.95 vs 1.39).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Armagh CityArmagh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L02L00D01L03L00D01L04L05LH·ARD08/11H·WAR15/11A·ANN22/11H·H&W29/11A·DUN06/12A·LIM13/12H·BAL20/12A·LOU26/12H·ARD30/12A·H&W03/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.370.750.880.291.93
vs Stronger (24)0.621.420.920.850.272.09
vs Similar (6)0.171.170.001.000.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L00D20W01L10W20W00D00D02LH·H&W18/10A·LIM01/11H·INS08/11A·ARM15/11A·DUN22/11H·QUE29/11A·BAL13/12H·LOU20/12A·ARD26/12H·H&W30/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.800.530.600.73
vs Stronger (26)0.540.650.690.460.380.85
vs Similar (4)1.750.501.501.002.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Armagh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Armagh CityArmagh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D00D00D03L30W10W03L11D04L07LH·ARD08/11H·WAR15/11A·ANN22/11H·H&W29/11A·DUN06/12A·LIM13/12H·BAL20/12A·LOU26/12H·ARD30/12A·H&W03/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.330.311.381.001.29
vs Stronger (24)0.581.380.381.460.821.27
vs Similar (6)0.831.170.001.001.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L20W10W00D22D01L20W10W00D01LH·H&W18/10A·LIM01/11H·INS08/11A·ARM15/11A·DUN22/11H·QUE29/11A·BAL13/12H·LOU20/12A·ARD26/12H·H&W30/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.930.670.600.73
vs Stronger (26)0.650.650.770.460.540.85
vs Similar (4)1.501.002.002.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Armagh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
Armagh City and Warrenpoint Town have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
Armagh City and Warrenpoint Town have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
AC wins
0
Draws
1
WT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town · H/A from AC
DateH/AGameScore
15/11/25HAC Vs Warrenpoint Town0-2
30/08/25AWarrenpoint Town Vs AC3-5

Armagh CityArmagh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/01/26AH&W Welders Vs AC12-0
30/12/25HAC Vs Ards0-8
26/12/25ALoughgall Vs AC2-1
20/12/25HAC Vs Ballinamallard United0-3
13/12/25ALimavady United Vs AC3-1
06/12/25ADundela Vs AC1-3
29/11/25HAC Vs H&W Welders0-3
22/11/25AAnnagh United Vs AC2-0
15/11/25HAC Vs Warrenpoint Town0-2
08/11/25HAC Vs Ards1-0

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/25HWT Vs H&W Welders0-3
26/12/25AArds Vs WT0-0
20/12/25HWT Vs Loughgall1-0
13/12/25ABallinamallard United Vs WT0-4
29/11/25HWT Vs Queen's University1-1
22/11/25ADundela Vs WT3-2
15/11/25AArmagh City Vs WT0-2
08/11/25HWT Vs Institute1-0
01/11/25ALimavady United Vs WT3-3
18/10/25HWT Vs H&W Welders2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Armagh City
Armagh City
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.82
HomeWLLLL0.88
AwayLWLLL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%23%17%
AVG goals3.763.653.88
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %70%73%67%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.341.351.33
Conceded2.422.312.54
BTTS62%54%71%
Clean Sheet14%15%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Warrenpoint Town
Warrenpoint Town
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL1.62
HomeDWDWL1.92
AwayDWLWD1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%33%
AVG goals2.983.152.79
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %34%38%29%
Scored1.701.881.50
Conceded1.281.271.29
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Limavady UnitedLimavady United3881
63%
2.1
6934+35
2.7
68%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3872
58%
1.9
5539+16
2.5
71%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
50%
1.7
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
4Newington YouthNewington Youth3860
47%
1.6
7762+15
3.7
87%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5InstituteInstitute3859
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
71%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6QueenQueen's University3857
39%
1.5
5146+5
2.6
76%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LoughgallLoughgall3856
37%
1.5
5038+12
2.3
74%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
8ArdsArds3852
39%
1.4
5651+5
2.8
74%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3841
29%
1.1
4553-8
2.6
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
10Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3838
24%
1.0
4460-16
2.7
68%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
11DundelaDundela3828
13%
0.7
4377-34
3.2
89%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Armagh CityArmagh City3819
11%
0.5
30112-82
3.7
87%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.9
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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