This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
2.27
1.40
1.67
1.20
2.87
vs Stronger (14)
0.79
3.21
1.00
2.17
0.62
4.00
vs Similar (14)
1.64
1.43
1.50
1.25
1.83
1.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.50
3.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
@ 2.02+4.6%
Under 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.81-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
Arminia Bielefeld goals ↓
SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
5.0%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
1
10%
12%
5.3%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.8%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
6.1%
5.9%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.7%
2.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arminia Bielefeld goals (down), columns = SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.26
Borussia Dortmund
2.03
Bayer Leverkusen
1.88
RB Leipzig
1.71
Union Berlin
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
1. FC Köln
1.53
FSV Mainz 05
1.35
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.24
VfL Wolfsburg
1.24
VfL Bochum
1.24
FC Augsburg
1.12
Hertha BSC
0.97
VfB Stuttgart
0.97
Arminia Bielefeld
0.82
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0.53
Arminia Bielefeld is 0.29 points better than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 0.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.85
Borussia Dortmund
2.50
Bayer Leverkusen
2.35
RB Leipzig
2.12
1899 Hoffenheim
1.71
SC Freiburg
1.71
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.59
1. FC Köln
1.53
Union Berlin
1.47
FSV Mainz 05
1.47
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.32
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
VfB Stuttgart
1.21
FC Augsburg
1.15
VfL Bochum
1.12
Hertha BSC
1.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0.82
Arminia Bielefeld
0.79
Arminia Bielefeld is 0.03 goals worse than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 0.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
1.09
RB Leipzig
1.09
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.32
SC Freiburg
1.35
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
1. FC Köln
1.44
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.44
VfL Bochum
1.53
Borussia Dortmund
1.53
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
FC Augsburg
1.65
VfB Stuttgart
1.74
1899 Hoffenheim
1.76
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.79
Hertha BSC
2.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.41
Arminia Bielefeld is 0.85 goals better than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 2.41).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arminia Bielefeld
For 5.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 8.7 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arminia Bielefeld
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.5
9.2
3.4
3.3
3.4
23.5
22.3
24.7
vs Stronger (43)
9.6
9.6
9.5
3.0
3.1
2.8
23.0
22.0
24.1
vs Similar (7)
7.7
8.3
7.2
6.0
5.0
6.8
26.3
24.7
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
44%
36%
34%
36%
32%
68%
60%
76%
% under line
60%
56%
64%
66%
64%
68%
32%
40%
24%
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.0
9.8
3.9
4.4
3.5
27.6
27.3
28.0
vs Stronger (16)
10.1
9.9
10.3
3.5
4.0
3.1
27.0
28.6
25.8
vs Similar (27)
9.4
9.5
9.2
4.2
4.4
4.0
27.4
26.9
28.0
vs Weaker (7)
11.3
12.7
10.2
3.9
5.0
3.0
30.0
26.3
32.8
% over line
48%
48%
48%
58%
64%
52%
86%
84%
88%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
42%
36%
48%
14%
16%
12%
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.7
Bayern München
10.2
VfL Wolfsburg
10.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.9
VfL Bochum
9.7
1899 Hoffenheim
9.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.5
FC Augsburg
9.5
Hertha BSC
9.4
Arminia Bielefeld
9.3
Borussia Dortmund
9.3
RB Leipzig
9.3
Bayer Leverkusen
9.3
SC Freiburg
9.0
1. FC Köln
9.0
FSV Mainz 05
9.0
VfB Stuttgart
8.9
Union Berlin
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4.3
Eintracht Frankfurt
4.2
FSV Mainz 05
4.1
VfL Wolfsburg
4.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.9
VfB Stuttgart
3.8
FC Augsburg
3.7
1. FC Köln
3.7
VfL Bochum
3.6
Hertha BSC
3.6
Bayer Leverkusen
3.6
Borussia Dortmund
3.6
1899 Hoffenheim
3.6
RB Leipzig
3.5
Union Berlin
3.5
SC Freiburg
3.5
Arminia Bielefeld
3.4
Bayern München
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
27.6
Hertha BSC
26.4
FSV Mainz 05
26.1
VfL Bochum
25.8
1. FC Köln
25.8
VfL Wolfsburg
25.4
VfB Stuttgart
25.3
RB Leipzig
25.1
SC Freiburg
24.8
1899 Hoffenheim
24.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
24.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
24.1
FC Augsburg
23.9
Arminia Bielefeld
23.5
Union Berlin
23.0
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
Bayer Leverkusen
22.3
Bayern München
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.2%
Under 9.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.4%
Under 3.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.6%
Under 21.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arminia Bielefeld
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.47
0.20
0.53
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (25)
0.24
0.56
0.23
0.62
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.00
0.53
0.73
0.40
1.27
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
1.29
0.17
0.83
0.38
1.62
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.79
0.75
0.62
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arminia Bielefeld
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (25)
0.56
0.72
0.38
0.69
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.60
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.27
0.87
0.93
0.80
1.60
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
1.93
0.83
1.33
0.25
2.38
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.64
0.75
0.62
1.50
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arminia Bielefeld · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joel Grodowski50%
Marvin Mehlem25%
Stefano Russo25%
Marius Wörl25%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Arne Sicker33%
Sam Schreck25%
Tim Handwerker25%
Joel Grodowski25%
Benjamin Boakye25%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Marius Wörl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maximilian Bauer25%
Isaiah Young25%
Henri Koudossou25%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Joel Grodowski0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
Marius Wörl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joel Grodowski50%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
Marius Wörl0%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Klaus75%
Ole Pohlmann25%
Paul Will0%
Dennis Srbeny0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Luca Itter0%
Krisztián Keresztes0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Aaron Keller0%
Omar Sillah0%
Sacha Banse0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Will25%
Krisztián Keresztes25%
Jannis Heuer25%
Aaron Keller25%
Dennis Srbeny0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Luca Itter0%
Felix Klaus0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Ole Pohlmann0%
Omar Sillah0%
Sacha Banse0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omar Sillah33%
Dennis Srbeny25%
Jannik Dehm25%
Luca Itter25%
Paul Will0%
Felix Klaus0%
Krisztián Keresztes0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Ole Pohlmann0%
Aaron Keller0%
Sacha Banse0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Felix Klaus50%
Ole Pohlmann25%
Sacha Banse25%
Paul Will0%
Dennis Srbeny0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Luca Itter0%
Krisztián Keresztes0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Aaron Keller0%
Omar Sillah0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
HB (24)
€25m
VB (24)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
Arminia Bielefeld's squad is €1m less valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€18m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HB (8)
€8m
AB (8)
€7m
VB (9)
€6m
SGF (6)
€4m
Arminia Bielefeld's attack is €3m more valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€7m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
Arminia Bielefeld's midfield is €2m less valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€4m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
HB (10)
€13m
SGF (10)
€9m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
Arminia Bielefeld's defence is €2m less valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€7m vs €9m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Bochum
FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
Hertha BSC