PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Arsenal (Belarus) vs ML Vitebsk Result & Analysis

Date: 16/11/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Arsenal (Belarus)
Arsenal (Belarus)
vs
ML Vitebsk
ML Vitebsk
Belarus: Premier League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arsenal (Belarus) win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L11D10W00D03L11D00D10W02LH·DIN09/09A·FC 17/09H·NEM02/10A·FC 09/10H·FC 14/10A·SHA18/10A·SLA22/10H·BEL30/10A·FC 06/11H·BAT12/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.400.671.330.531.47
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.611.430.711.360.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L42W00D33D32W10W01L31W50W02LA·LOK28/08H·BAR03/09A·SHA11/09H·LID17/09A·NAF02/10H·OSI09/10A·ORS15/10H·SMO22/10A·OST05/11H·MOL12/11← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.881.421.831.501.921.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (24)1.881.421.831.501.921.33
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.17
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2.00
Dinamo Minsk
1.97
Bate Borisov
1.97
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.80
ML Vitebsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.47
Torpedo Zhodino
1.43
FC Gomel
1.37
Neman
1.37
Slavia Mozyr
1.23
FC Slutsk
1.07
Belshina
1.00
Dinamo Brest
0.90
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.81
FC Vitebsk
0.73
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.40
Arsenal (Belarus) is 0.69 points worse than ML Vitebsk in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
ML Vitebsk
2.50
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.83
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.70
Bate Borisov
1.70
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.67
Dinamo Minsk
1.67
FC Minsk
1.57
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
Neman
1.30
Belshina
1.23
Torpedo Zhodino
1.17
FC Gomel
1.10
Dinamo Brest
0.97
FC Vitebsk
0.93
FC Slutsk
0.87
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.70
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.69
Arsenal (Belarus) is 1.81 goals worse than ML Vitebsk in terms of goals scored per game (0.69 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.57
Bate Borisov
0.70
Dinamo Minsk
0.83
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.90
Torpedo Zhodino
1.07
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.10
Neman
1.10
FC Gomel
1.23
FC Slutsk
1.37
FC Minsk
1.43
Dinamo Brest
1.43
Arsenal (Belarus)
1.47
Slavia Mozyr
1.53
FC Vitebsk
1.63
Belshina
1.67
ML Vitebsk
2.00
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.43
Arsenal (Belarus) is 0.53 goals better than ML Vitebsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (24)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Slavia Mozyr
13.1
FC Minsk
10.7
Bate Borisov
10.5
Belshina
10.4
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.3
Dinamo Brest
10.1
FC Slutsk
10.0
Shakhter Soligorsk
9.9
Dinamo Minsk
9.6
Neman
9.2
FC Vitebsk
9.0
FC Gomel
8.7
Torpedo Zhodino
8.5
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Neman
6.4
Belshina
5.7
Torpedo Zhodino
5.4
Dinamo Minsk
5.1
FC Minsk
5.0
Bate Borisov
4.7
Dinamo Brest
4.7
FC Isloch Minsk R.
4.5
FC Slutsk
4.4
FC Vitebsk
4.2
Shakhter Soligorsk
4.2
Slavia Mozyr
4.0
FC Gomel
3.8
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Shakhter Soligorsk
32.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.7%
Under 9.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.3%
Under 3.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D00D00D02L10W00D10W01LH·DIN09/09A·FC 17/09H·NEM02/10A·FC 09/10H·FC 14/10A·SHA18/10A·SLA22/10H·BEL30/10A·FC 06/11H·BAT12/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.770.200.730.330.80
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.250.820.210.790.290.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W00D10W10W10W00D20W30W02LA·LOK28/08H·BAR03/09A·SHA11/09H·LID17/09A·NAF02/10H·OSI09/10A·ORS15/10H·SMO22/10A·OST05/11H·MOL12/11← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.461.000.421.080.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (24)1.040.461.000.421.080.50
Clean sheet %75% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D11D10W00D01L01L00D00D01LH·DIN09/09A·FC 17/09H·NEM02/10A·FC 09/10H·FC 14/10A·SHA18/10A·SLA22/10H·BEL30/10A·FC 06/11H·BAT12/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.470.600.200.67
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.360.610.500.570.210.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L00D23L22D00D01L11D20W00DA·LOK28/08H·BAR03/09A·SHA11/09H·LID17/09A·NAF02/10H·OSI09/10A·ORS15/10H·SMO22/10A·OST05/11H·MOL12/11← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.960.831.080.830.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (24)0.830.960.831.080.830.83
Clean sheet %38% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards86.8%--------
Over 3.5 cards72.3%--------
Under 11.5 corners71.0%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BEL (16)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Arsenal (Belarus)'s squad is €12m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€2m vs €14m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
Arsenal (Belarus)'s attack is €5m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€1m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Arsenal (Belarus)'s midfield is €2m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€0m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
Arsenal (Belarus)'s defence is €4m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€1m vs €5m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
A( wins
0
Draws
0
MV wins

Head-to-head

Arsenal (Belarus) vs ML Vitebsk · H/A from A(
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22HA( Vs Bate Borisov0-2
06/11/22AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs A(0-1
30/10/22HA( Vs Belshina0-0
22/10/22ASlavia Mozyr Vs A(1-1
18/10/22AShakhter Soligorsk Vs A(3-0
14/10/22HA( Vs FC Minsk0-0
09/10/22AFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Vs A(0-1
02/10/22HA( Vs Neman1-1
17/09/22AFC Isloch Minsk R. Vs A(2-1
09/09/22HA( Vs Dinamo Brest0-2

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22HMV Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 40-2
05/11/22AOstrovets FC Vs MV0-5
22/10/22HMV Vs Smorgon3-1
15/10/22AOrsha Vs MV1-0
09/10/22HMV Vs Osipovichy1-0
02/10/22ANaftan Vs MV2-3
17/09/22HMV Vs Lida3-3
11/09/22AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs MV0-0
03/09/22HMV Vs Baranovichi4-2
28/08/22ALokomotiv Gomel Vs MV2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arsenal (Belarus)
Arsenal (Belarus)
Belarus: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL0.77
HomeLDDDL0.73
AwayLWLDW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%13%20%
AVG goals2.002.002.00
Over 1.5 %63%67%60%
Over 2.5 %33%33%33%
Over 3.5 %10%13%7%
Scored0.600.670.53
Conceded1.401.331.47
BTTS40%47%33%
Clean Sheet23%27%20%
Corners---
Cards---
ML Vitebsk
ML Vitebsk
Belarus: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.71
HomeWDWWL1.83
AwayLDWLW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals3.293.333.25
Over 1.5 %71%75%67%
Over 2.5 %67%67%67%
Over 3.5 %58%67%50%
Scored1.881.831.92
Conceded1.421.501.33
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet33%25%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk3065
67%
2.2
5517+38
2.4
63%
40%
20%
11.4
75%
5.0
75%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
2FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk3060
60%
2.0
5027+23
2.6
73%
50%
30%
7.8
0%
2.7
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
3Bate BorisovBate Borisov3059
53%
2.0
5121+30
2.4
73%
53%
23%
10.2
62%
5.0
83%
-
0%
4
1211.70.7
-
4Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk3059
53%
2.0
5025+25
2.5
63%
50%
37%
9.5
50%
5.4
86%
-
0%
9
3231.70.8
-
5FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Isloch Minsk R.3054
53%
1.8
5133+18
2.8
80%
53%
30%
10.3
71%
4.5
67%
-
0%
4
1121.71.1
-
6FC MinskFC Minsk3044
40%
1.5
4743+4
3.0
77%
47%
40%
10.7
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
3
1111.61.4
-
7Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodino3043
37%
1.4
3532+3
2.2
57%
37%
27%
8.5
25%
5.4
86%
-
0%
5
2221.21.1
-
8NemanNeman3041
30%
1.4
3933+6
2.4
77%
40%
27%
9.2
50%
6.4
86%
-
0%
4
1211.31.1
-
9FC GomelFC Gomel3041
37%
1.4
3337-4
2.3
67%
47%
20%
9.0
62%
3.8
60%
-
0%
4
2111.11.2
-
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr3037
33%
1.2
4246-4
2.9
83%
50%
40%
13.1
67%
4.0
50%
-
0%
4
1121.41.5
-
11FC SlutskFC Slutsk3032
23%
1.1
2641-15
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.0
67%
4.4
50%
-
0%
2
1110.91.4
-
12BelshinaBelshina3030
20%
1.0
3750-13
2.9
73%
60%
47%
10.4
50%
5.7
71%
-
0%
2
1011.21.7
-
13Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest3027
17%
0.9
2943-14
2.4
70%
43%
30%
10.1
57%
4.7
86%
-
0%
7
2131.01.4
-
14Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)3226
19%
0.8
2247-25
2.2
66%
38%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.71.5
-
15FC VitebskFC Vitebsk3022
13%
0.7
2849-21
2.6
77%
47%
23%
9.0
40%
4.2
62%
-
0%
3
2010.91.6
-
16FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev3012
10%
0.4
2173-52
3.1
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.72.4
-
17ML VitebskML Vitebsk23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.52.0
-
Belarus: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches