PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal (Belarus) faces a tough test at home against Slavia Mozyr, with the visitors' recent form suggesting a strong performance. Slavia Mozyr comes into this match on the back of a 3-0 win over FC Dnepr Mogilev, while Arsenal (Belarus) is still reeling from three straight defeats.
The model predicts an away win for Slavia Mozyr, with a 47% probability of this outcome, closely followed by a draw at 28% and a home win for Arsenal (Belarus) at 25%. The expected total goals in this match is 2.7, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.2%.
Arsenal (Belarus) has struggled at home, scoring an average of 0.67 goals and conceding 1.11, while facing opponents of similar strength. In contrast, Slavia Mozyr has averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.33 conceded when playing away against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Under 21.5 fouls and Under 9.5 corners, both of which are 100% likely. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with a 75.8% probability, and Under 3.5 goals, with a 72.1% probability. The home win percentage stands at 25%, the draw percentage at 28%, and the away win percentage at 47%.
The win extends Arsenal's (Belarus) losing streak to 5 games in a row after 4 consecutive defeats. The final score was 1-3 in favor of Slavia Mozyr, resulting in an away win. The model's call of an away win was correct, as Slavia Mozyr emerged victorious. The model's selection, an away win, had a pre-match probability of 47%. The model's other selection, Over 1.5, hit, with a probability of 75.9%, while Under 3.5 missed, with a probability of 71.9%.
Arsenal (Belarus)| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 1.23 | 0.80 | 1.33 | 0.80 | 1.13 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.81 | 1.15 | 0.77 | 1.15 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
Slavia Mozyr| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.70 | 1.10 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.69 | 1.00 | 1.85 | 0.77 | 1.54 | 1.23 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+5pp vs league) | |||||
| Slavia Mozyr goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 13% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Arsenal (Belarus)Slavia MozyrArsenal (Belarus)| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 10.0 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 20.2 | 20.7 | 19.0 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 15.0 | 15.0 | - | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 29.0 | 29.0 | - |
| vs Similar (45) | 8.5 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 17.3 | 16.5 | 19.0 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 40% | 33% | 50% | 34% | 35% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 0% |
| % under line | 60% | 67% | 50% | 66% | 65% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% |
Slavia Mozyr| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 12.0 | 12.0 | - | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 24.5 | 24.5 | - |
| vs Stronger (6) | - | - | - | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (44) | 12.0 | 12.0 | - | 3.3 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 24.5 | 24.5 | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 100% | 100% | - | 42% | 54% | 31% | 50% | 50% | - |
| % under line | 0% | 0% | - | 58% | 46% | 69% | 50% | 50% | - |
Arsenal (Belarus)| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.37 | 0.53 | 0.13 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.37 | 0.56 | 0.08 | 0.46 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
Slavia Mozyr| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.50 | 0.73 | 0.13 | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.77 | 0.46 | 0.85 | 0.15 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
Arsenal (Belarus)| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.87 | 0.20 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.33 | 1.67 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.44 | 0.59 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.21 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
Slavia Mozyr| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 0.60 | 1.07 | 0.67 | 0.87 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.92 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.85 | 0.46 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 cards | 90.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 4.5 cards | 80.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 76.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.31 | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.27 | +6.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 75.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 72.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 71.9% | 1.25 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | -1.9% | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 14/09/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 28/04/24 | A | 3-0 | |
| 22/10/22 | A | 1-1 | |
| 26/06/22 | H | 3-2 |
Arsenal (Belarus)| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 12/07/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 04/07/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 29/11/25 | A | 2-0 | |
| 22/11/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 08/11/25 | A | 1-0 | |
| 02/11/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 26/10/25 | A | 0-1 | |
| 17/10/25 | H | 0-1 |
Slavia Mozyr| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 11/07/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 29/11/25 | A | 0-3 | |
| 23/11/25 | H | 2-3 | |
| 09/11/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 01/11/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 25/10/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 05/10/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 27/09/25 | A | 2-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  FC Vitebsk | 7 | 18 | 86% | 2.6 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 1.4 | 29% | 14% | 0% | 9.8 | 50% | 2.8 | 0% | 20.2 | 25% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 46% |
| 2 |  FC Isloch Minsk R. | 6 | 16 | 83% | 2.7 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 11.6 | 80% | 3.2 | 20% | 26.2 | 75% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 47% |
| 3 |  Dinamo Brest | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 50% | 11.0 | 100% | 3.4 | 40% | 27.8 | 100% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 4 |  Neman | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 1.7 | 50% | 17% | 0% | 9.4 | 60% | 3.0 | 20% | 27.7 | 67% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 58% |
| 5 |  FC Minsk | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.3 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 11.2 | 60% | 1.8 | 0% | 19.4 | 20% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 48% |
| 6 |  Baranovichi | 7 | 9 | 29% | 1.3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 2.7 | 71% | 29% | 29% | 11.8 | 80% | 2.8 | 25% | 28.2 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 44% |
| 7 |  FC Gomel | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 1.8 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 11.8 | 75% | 3.2 | 50% | 28.7 | 100% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 55% |
| 8 |  ML Vitebsk | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 13.2 | 100% | 3.8 | 75% | 27.8 | 75% | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 63% |
| 9 |  Bate Borisov | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.0 | 60% | 40% | 20% | 11.8 | 100% | 3.7 | 33% | 25.3 | 67% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 10.2 | 50% | 4.2 | 75% | 26.5 | 75% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 49% |
| 11 |  Dinamo Minsk | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 12.2 | 100% | 3.0 | 33% | 27.8 | 75% | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 60% |
| 12 |  Belshina | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.2 | 83% | 17% | 17% | 11.4 | 80% | 2.6 | 40% | 21.8 | 60% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 43% |
| 13 |  FC Dnepr Mogilev | 7 | 4 | 0% | 0.6 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2.1 | 57% | 43% | 14% | 10.5 | 83% | 2.7 | 17% | 22.5 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 14 |  Torpedo Zhodino | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.3 | 50% | 33% | 33% | 10.2 | 75% | 3.2 | 75% | 30.5 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 54% |
| 15 |  Naftan | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4.2 | 100% | 67% | 50% | 10.2 | 60% | 1.8 | 0% | 21.4 | 20% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 43% |
| 16 | Arsenal (Belarus) | 7 | 3 | 14% | 0.4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 3.1 | 86% | 71% | 29% | 8.1 | 14% | 1.6 | 14% | 20.2 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 48% |