Arsenal (Belarus) are tipped to lose as the model favours an away win. The match is expected to see 2.4 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.1% probability. Arsenal, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, have averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded, while Torpedo Zhodino, on the road, average 0.67 scored and 1.89 conceded. The home win probability sits at 25%, the draw at 30%, and the away win at 45%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.9%), Under 5.5 (96.7%), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.4%). Arsenal have suffered five straight defeats, most recently losing 0-2 to Belshina, while Torpedo have come off a 0-0 draw against FC Dnepr Mogilev.
Results analysis
Arsenal’s five-game losing streak ended as the model’s predicted away win came to fruition, with Torpedo Zhodino triumphing 4-2. The pre-match favourite, Away win, had a 45% probability and was correct. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 (99.7%) and Under 6.5 (98.9%) were both fulfilled, as were Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2%). Two picks missed: Under 5.5 (96.7%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.3%). The final score of 2-4 confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal (Belarus) win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.56
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.84
William Hil
4.60
Pinnacle
4.57
Dafabet
4.50
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.57
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.78
1xBet
3.78
Dafabet
3.65
Superbet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.55
Torpedo Zhodino win✓ Hit
44.7%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.68
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.72
Dafabet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal (Belarus)
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.27
0.87
1.33
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.81
1.19
0.85
1.15
0.79
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Zhodino
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.27
1.56
1.12
1.07
1.43
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.56
1.33
1.22
0.67
1.89
vs Weaker (11)
1.91
0.91
1.86
1.00
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.5%
@ 1.28-2.3%
Under 1.5
30.5%
@ 3.25+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.17
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.9%
@ 1.94-6.4%
Under 2.5
58.1%
@ 1.82+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
SBO
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.81
Superbet
1.77
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.3%
@ 3.26-6.8%
Under 3.5
78.7%
@ 1.27+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.24
1xBet
3.24
Under
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.0%
@ 1.86-1.7%
No
52.0%
@ 1.84+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
No
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%@ 6.42+7.2%
0-1
11.8%@ 5.92+4.4%
0-0
10.7%@ 9.82+6.3%
0-2
9.0%@ 7.61+3.2%
1-2
8.8%@ 7.46+2.9%
1-0
8.0%@ 11.27+4.1%
2-1
6.3%@ 13.98+3.1%
2-0
4.6%@ 24.74+2.8%
Arsenal (Belarus) goals ↓
Torpedo Zhodino goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
9.0%
4.1%
1.4%
1
8.0%
14%
8.8%
4.0%
1.4%
2
4.6%
6.3%
4.3%
2.0%
0.7%
3
1.5%
2.0%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal (Belarus) goals (down), columns = Torpedo Zhodino goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Arsenal (Belarus) is 0.24 points worse than Torpedo Zhodino in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Arsenal (Belarus) is 0.05 goals better than Torpedo Zhodino in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Arsenal (Belarus) is 0.76 goals worse than Torpedo Zhodino in terms of goals conceded per game (2.43 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
Arsenal (Belarus) is 6.4 percentage points worse than Torpedo Zhodino in terms of average possession (48% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal (Belarus)
For 4.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.0 · Total 19.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torpedo Zhodino
For 6.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 15.7 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal (Belarus)
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.0
9.0
3.3
3.2
3.4
19.7
21.0
17.0
vs Stronger (5)
15.0
15.0
-
2.2
2.0
2.3
29.0
29.0
-
vs Similar (45)
8.0
7.0
9.0
3.4
3.3
3.5
17.8
18.3
17.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
29%
25%
33%
34%
33%
35%
33%
50%
0%
% under line
71%
75%
67%
66%
67%
65%
67%
50%
100%
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Zhodino
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.5
11.0
2.0
2.2
1.8
30.0
29.5
31.0
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.6
2.5
2.8
32.0
33.0
31.0
vs Weaker (17)
10.0
10.0
-
1.2
1.6
0.8
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
24%
23%
25%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
76%
77%
75%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Baranovichi
11.8
FC Gomel
11.8
Bate Borisov
11.2
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Dinamo Minsk
10.9
Belshina
10.8
Slavia Mozyr
10.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.7
Naftan
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
Neman
8.6
FC Minsk
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.4
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.3
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Neman
3.1
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.1
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
34.4
Torpedo Zhodino
30.0
FC Gomel
28.7
Bate Borisov
28.2
Baranovichi
28.2
Dinamo Brest
27.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.5
Slavia Mozyr
27.0
Dinamo Minsk
26.4
FC Dnepr Mogilev
23.2
Belshina
23.0
Neman
21.8
Naftan
21.5
FC Vitebsk
20.2
Arsenal (Belarus)
19.7
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.7%
Under 21.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arsenal (Belarus) or Draw✗ Miss
55.3%
Avg Implied 45.1% · @ 2.05
Edge
+10.2%
25%
30%
45%
covers Arsenal (Belarus) + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.00
SBO
1.94
Arsenal (Belarus) or Torpedo Zhodino✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
-4.4%
25%
30%
45%
covers Arsenal (Belarus) + Torpedo Zhodino
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
SBO
1.20
Draw or Torpedo Zhodino✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 80.3% · @ 1.15
Edge
-5.8%
25%
30%
45%
covers Draw + Torpedo Zhodino
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
SBO
1.12
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.5%
@ 1.57+3.5%
Under
37.5%
@ 2.26-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.29
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.7%
@ 3.90+1.8%
Under
74.3%
@ 1.22-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Superbet
3.70
Under
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 10.88-0.9%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.02+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
9.90
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.8%
@ 1.15-5.7%
Under
25.2%
@ 4.72+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.45
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.0%
@ 1.84-10.8%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.91+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
Superbet
1.85
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.1%
@ 3.62-9.5%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.25+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Under
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.1%
@ 8.30-5.8%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.02+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arsenal (Belarus), so a minus line means Arsenal (Belarus) give that many goals of a start and Torpedo Zhodino receive them. At -1, Arsenal (Belarus) must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arsenal (Belarus) win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Zhodino
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.75
0.56
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.61
0.78
0.56
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
0.45
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.2%
@ 1.37-0.2%
Under 0.5
32.8%
@ 2.84+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Under
William Hil
2.90
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.81
Superbet
2.77
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.6%
@ 2.80-2.5%
Under 1.5
69.4%
@ 1.38+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.80
Superbet
2.77
William Hil
2.75
Under
William Hil
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.1%
@ 7.08-2.8%
Under 2.5
89.9%
@ 1.05+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.30
William Hil
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Under
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.0%
@ 2.69+3.7%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.41-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.76
Pinnacle
2.75
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.38
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 10.30-0.6%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.01+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
9.60
Under
1xBet
1.01
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.0%
@ 1.74-7.0%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.97+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 4.85-5.7%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.14+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal (Belarus)
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.67
1.00
0.13
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.41
0.67
0.69
0.85
0.14
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Zhodino
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.81
0.56
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.94
0.56
0.67
0.22
1.22
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.45
1.14
0.43
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.23+2.4%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 3.62-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
Superbet
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.7%
@ 2.16-3.4%
Under 1.5
60.3%
@ 1.64+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.20
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.3%
@ 4.75-1.2%
Under 2.5
81.7%
@ 1.15+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.60
Under
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.3%
@ 2.26+7.4%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.56-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.23
Under
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 8.20+2.6%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.03-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.80
1xBet
7.60
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.1%
@ 1.53-6.5%
Under
45.9%
@ 2.35+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.30
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
17.6%
@ 3.44-9.1%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.25+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
4.7%
@ 9.40-5.0%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Under
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.8%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
92.3%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.9%
1.06
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.9%
1.05
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.2%
1.03
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.9%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-
-
+9.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.4%
1.25
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
-
+9.1%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.15
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+1.2%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.7%
1.27
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
+6.8%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
78.1%
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
-
-
-
-
+10.9%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.23
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.8%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
-5.7%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
74.5%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
SBO
1.12
-5.8%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
74.5%
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
74.3%
1.22
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-1.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
70.2%
1.24
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
SBO
1.20
-4.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Arsenal (Belarus)'s squad is €3m less valuable than Torpedo Zhodino's (€2m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Arsenal (Belarus) and Torpedo Zhodino have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Arsenal (Belarus)'s midfield is €1m less valuable than Torpedo Zhodino's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Arsenal (Belarus)'s defence is €1m less valuable than Torpedo Zhodino's (€1m vs €2m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Naftan