Arsenal Tivat vs Buducnost Podgorica Result & Analysis

Arsenal Tivat are tipped to win, the model’s pick for a home victory with a 45% chance, while a draw sits at 29% and an away win at 27%. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.7% probability. Arsenal’s home form shows they have scored an average of 1.0 goal and conceded 0.0 against weaker opposition, whereas Buducnost Podgorica, playing away, have also averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded against weaker teams. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 with a 74.7% chance and Over 1.5 with a 73.5% chance. The match is expected to be competitive but with Arsenal favored to edge out the win.

The upset was stark: Arsenal Tivat lost 0-4 to Buducnost Podgorica, extending the latter’s recent run of victories after a draw. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 45% chance, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s other selections were mixed: Under 3.5, at 74.7%, missed, while Over 1.5, at 73.5%, hit. The most likely scoreline had been 1-1 with 13.7% probability, but the game finished 0-4. The final result was an away win, contradicting the model’s prediction and showcasing the unpredictability of the league.