Arsenal Tivat vs Dečić Result & Analysis

Arsenal Tivat’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding just under a goal per match, while Dečić’s away form shows a slightly higher concession rate. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring affair with the most likely outcome an away win. Home win 29%, draw 35%, away win 36%. The expected total goals is 1.9, with the single most probable scoreline 0-0 at 16.5%. The match is projected to end 0-0, a 28% chance of that total. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 at 87.7% and Under 2.5 at 70.7%. Arsenal Tivat averages 1.33 goals scored and 0.89 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Dečić averages 0.90 scored and 1.20 conceded on the road. The model’s selection favours an away win, with a 36% probability, while the draw sits at 35% and the home win at 29%. The under 3.5 and under 2.5 selections are the only other picks offered, each with their respective probabilities.

The pre-match favourite, the away side, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the model’s prediction of an away win with a 36% chance. Arsenal Tivat, coming off a defeat and in a run of five losses, could not overturn Dečić’s four-game winning streak. The model’s selection for Under 3.5 goals hit, with an 87.7% probability, as did Under 2.5 goals at 70.7%. The most likely scoreline of 0-0, with a 16.5% chance, materialised, confirming the model’s forecast of a low-scoring affair. The predicted total of 2 goals was missed, and the favourite’s call was wrong.