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Arsenal Tivat vs Petrovac Result & Analysis

Date: 07/12/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 1-1
Arsenal Tivat
Arsenal Tivat
Vs
29%
28%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arsenal Tivat win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrovac win✗ Miss
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W22D11D10W30W02L12L00D22DA·SUT17/09A·PET01/10A·JED09/10H·JEZ15/10A·MOR22/10H·ISK30/10A·BUD06/11H·DEČ12/11A·RUD26/11H·SUT03/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.501.111.561.561.44
vs Stronger (4)0.752.501.003.000.502.00
vs Similar (12)1.751.251.331.002.171.50
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %22% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L33D11D11D21W10W12L02L10WA·ISK17/09H·ARS01/10A·BUD09/10H·JED15/10A·DEČ22/10H·JEZ29/10A·RUD06/11H·MOR12/11A·SUT27/11H·ISK03/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.331.331.561.331.11
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.441.501.501.751.381.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %28% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tivat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.3%
Under 2.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.5%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
Arsenal Tivat goals ↓
Petrovac goals →
01234
08.3%9.2%7.7%3.8%1.4%
17.1%13%9.0%4.4%1.6%
24.9%7.2%5.3%2.6%1.0%
31.9%2.8%2.1%1.0%0.4%
40.6%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal Tivat goals (down), columns = Petrovac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
1.94
Sutjeska
1.94
Arsenal Tivat
1.39
Dečić
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.31
Mornar
1.26
Petrovac
1.25
Jezero
1.19
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.11
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.86
Kom
0.50
Berane
0.00
Arsenal Tivat is 0.14 points better than Petrovac in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sutjeska
2.08
Buducnost Podgorica
1.69
Petrovac
1.39
Dečić
1.22
Jedinstvo
1.19
Arsenal Tivat
1.08
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.03
Kom
1.00
Jezero
0.97
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.92
Mornar
0.89
Berane
0.00
Arsenal Tivat is 0.31 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sutjeska
0.94
Buducnost Podgorica
1.03
Dečić
1.03
Jezero
1.06
Mornar
1.08
Arsenal Tivat
1.08
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.50
Kom
1.50
Petrovac
1.58
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.61
Berane
2.00
Arsenal Tivat is 0.50 goals better than Petrovac in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W22D10W00D00D01L01L00D01LA·SUT17/09A·PET01/10A·JED09/10H·JEZ15/10A·MOR22/10H·ISK30/10A·BUD06/11H·DEČ12/11A·RUD26/11H·SUT03/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.560.110.670.890.44
vs Stronger (4)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.750.330.170.331.330.33
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %56% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L20W10W10W21W00D10W00D00DA·ISK17/09H·ARS01/10A·BUD09/10H·JED15/10A·DEČ22/10H·JEZ29/10A·RUD06/11H·MOR12/11A·SUT27/11H·ISK03/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.560.670.890.670.22
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.620.751.000.750.25
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %61% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tivat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D00D01L10W30W01L11D00D21WA·SUT17/09A·PET01/10A·JED09/10H·JEZ15/10A·MOR22/10H·ISK30/10A·BUD06/11H·DEČ12/11A·RUD26/11H·SUT03/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.941.000.890.671.00
vs Stronger (4)0.751.501.002.000.501.00
vs Similar (12)1.000.921.170.670.831.17
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D13L01L01L00D10W02L02L10WA·ISK17/09H·ARS01/10A·BUD09/10H·JED15/10A·DEČ22/10H·JEZ29/10A·RUD06/11H·MOR12/11A·SUT27/11H·ISK03/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.780.670.670.670.89
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.880.750.750.621.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tivat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tivat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Arsenal Tivat's squad is €2m less valuable than Petrovac's (€1m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Arsenal Tivat and Petrovac have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
AT (4)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
Arsenal Tivat and Petrovac have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Arsenal Tivat's defence is €1m less valuable than Petrovac's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
AT wins
0
Draws
1
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arsenal Tivat vs Petrovac · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22APetrovac Vs AT1-2
23/07/22HAT Vs Petrovac0-2

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/22HAT Vs Sutjeska2-2
26/11/22ARudar (Montenegro) Vs AT0-0
12/11/22HAT Vs Dečić1-2
06/11/22ABuducnost Podgorica Vs AT2-0
30/10/22HAT Vs Iskra (Montenegro)3-0
22/10/22AMornar Vs AT0-1
15/10/22HAT Vs Jezero1-1
09/10/22AJedinstvo Vs AT2-2
01/10/22APetrovac Vs AT1-2
17/09/22ASutjeska Vs AT2-1

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/22HPET Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-0
27/11/22ASutjeska Vs PET2-0
12/11/22HPET Vs Mornar1-2
06/11/22ARudar (Montenegro) Vs PET0-1
29/10/22HPET Vs Jezero2-1
22/10/22ADečić Vs PET1-1
15/10/22HPET Vs Jedinstvo1-1
09/10/22ABuducnost Podgorica Vs PET3-3
01/10/22HPET Vs Arsenal Tivat1-2
17/09/22AIskra (Montenegro) Vs PET1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arsenal Tivat
Arsenal Tivat
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.39
HomeLDWLD1.22
AwayWDWLD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%33%44%
AVG goals2.832.673.00
Over 1.5 %83%89%78%
Over 2.5 %61%56%67%
Over 3.5 %28%22%33%
Scored1.331.111.56
Conceded1.501.561.44
BTTS56%44%67%
Clean Sheet22%22%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.50
HomeLDWLW1.33
AwayWDDWL1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%33%44%
AVG goals2.672.892.44
Over 1.5 %72%78%67%
Over 2.5 %50%67%33%
Over 3.5 %28%33%22%
Scored1.331.331.33
Conceded1.331.561.11
BTTS56%67%44%
Clean Sheet28%22%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SutjeskaSutjeska3670
56%
1.9
7534+41
3.0
86%
64%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.9
-
2Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3670
56%
1.9
6137+24
2.7
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.71.0
-
3DečićDečić3650
33%
1.4
4437+7
2.2
67%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.0
-
4Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3650
36%
1.4
3939+0
2.2
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.1
-
5MornarMornar3848
34%
1.3
3441-7
2.0
53%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
6JedinstvoJedinstvo3647
36%
1.3
4354-11
2.7
69%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
-
7PetrovacPetrovac3645
31%
1.2
5057-7
3.0
78%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.6
-
8JezeroJezero3643
28%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
61%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.1
-
9Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3842
26%
1.1
3953-14
2.4
63%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3631
19%
0.9
3358-25
2.5
78%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
11KomKom21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
12BeraneBerane20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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