Arsenal Tula's recent draw against Shinnik Yaroslavl has them looking to bounce back, but they've struggled at home, conceding an average of 3 goals per match against stronger opponents. Meanwhile, Rotor Volgograd has been on a roll, winning their last 4 matches, including a 4-1 victory over Chelyabinsk.
Given these trends, it's no surprise that the model picks Rotor Volgograd to win away, with a 43% chance of success. The model also suggests selecting Under 9.5 corners (100% probability), Under 21.5 fouls (100% probability), and Under 3.5 (81.5% probability) goals. The expected total goals is 2.2, with a most likely score of 1-1 (28% probability).
Arsenal Tula has a 26% chance of winning at home, while the draw is possible at 31%. Rotor Volgograd's away form is impressive, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.4 against weaker opponents.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Rotor Volgograd, did not deliver, as Arsenal Tula edged them 2-1 for a home win that extends their recent run of five matches. The model had picked an away win with a 43 % probability, but the outcome proved wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (98.5 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.9 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (95.8 %) hit, Home under 2.5 goals (93.1 %) hit, Home under 1.5 HT goals (93.0 %) missed, Away +2 handicap (90.5 %) hit, and Under 2.5 HT goals (89.0 %) hit. The most likely total of 2 goals came in line with the 28 % probability, and the 1-1 scoreline was the top-probable outcome at 14.4 %.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal Tula win✓ Hit
25.8%
Avg Implied 37.0% · @ 2.50
Edge
-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.54
SBO
2.54
1xBet
2.52
Dafabet
2.48
Superbet
2.47
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.06
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.19
Pinnacle
3.18
Marathonbet
3.10
Dafabet
3.05
Superbet
3.00
Rotor Volgograd win✗ Miss
43.2%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.83
Edge
+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.98
1xBet
2.96
Marathonbet
2.88
Dafabet
2.85
Superbet
2.82
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal Tula
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.33
0.94
1.12
1.21
1.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.11
1.36
1.00
1.14
1.21
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.90
1.67
0.67
0.93
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.27
1.00
1.58
0.83
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.4%
@ 1.42+1.6%
Under 1.5
33.6%
@ 2.61-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.79
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Superbet
2.52
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.3%
@ 2.39-1.0%
Under 2.5
61.7%
@ 1.55+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.42
Pinnacle
2.42
Marathonbet
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Superbet
1.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.5%
@ 4.38-2.4%
Under 3.5
81.5%
@ 1.16+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.63
1xBet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.35
Superbet
4.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
@ 1.99-1.2%
No
54.7%
@ 1.73+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
No
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.70
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 5.44+6.4%
0-1
12.6%@ 6.61+6.1%
0-0
12.2%@ 6.89+5.9%
0-2
9.0%@ 12.44+5.5%
1-0
8.8%@ 6.21+1.9%
1-2
8.4%@ 10.38+4.2%
2-1 ✓
6.1%@ 9.81+1.7%
2-0
4.7%@ 10.94+0.8%
Arsenal Tula goals ↓
Rotor Volgograd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
9.0%
3.8%
1.2%
1
8.8%
14%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
2
4.7%
6.1%
3.9%
1.7%
0.5%
3
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal Tula goals (down), columns = Rotor Volgograd goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Arsenal Tula is 0.12 points worse than Rotor Volgograd in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Arsenal Tula is 0.38 goals worse than Rotor Volgograd in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Arsenal Tula is 0.62 goals worse than Rotor Volgograd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal Tula
For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Rotor Volgograd
For 8.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 13.5 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal Tula
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.7
2.5
2.8
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
1.7
1.7
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.7
2.6
2.8
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
32%
32%
32%
-
-
-
% under line
0%
0%
0%
68%
68%
68%
-
-
-
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
13.0
9.0
2.6
2.6
2.7
28.5
30.0
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
11.0
13.0
9.0
2.5
2.7
2.2
28.5
30.0
27.0
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
3.3
2.2
4.4
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
34%
33%
35%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
66%
67%
65%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.3%
@ 2.11-1.4%
Under 9.5
57.7%
@ 1.64+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
Superbet
2.07
Under
Superbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.60
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.0%
Under 3.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arsenal Tula or Draw✓ Hit
56.8%
Avg Implied 67.1% · @ 1.38
Edge
-10.3%
26%
31%
43%
covers Arsenal Tula + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
SBO
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Arsenal Tula or Rotor Volgograd✓ Hit
69.0%
Avg Implied 69.7% · @ 1.32
Edge
-0.7%
26%
31%
43%
covers Arsenal Tula + Rotor Volgograd
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
SBO
1.29
Draw or Rotor Volgograd✗ Miss
74.2%
Avg Implied 63.2% · @ 1.46
Edge
+11.0%
26%
31%
43%
covers Draw + Rotor Volgograd
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.46
SBO
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.8%
@ 1.35-7.4%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.90+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.06
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.72
Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
24.1%
@ 2.75-9.7%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.40+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.88
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.36
Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 6.57-7.0%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.06+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.80
Superbet
6.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Arsenal Tula over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.3%
@ 1.42+7.1%
Under
27.7%
@ 2.67-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.81
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.64
Superbet
2.57
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.8%
@ 3.02+6.3%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.33-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.19
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
2.90
1xBet
2.90
Under
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 7.70+2.1%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.03-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.10
Superbet
6.80
Under
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Rotor Volgograd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arsenal Tula, so a minus line means Arsenal Tula give that many goals of a start and Rotor Volgograd receive them. At -1, Arsenal Tula must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arsenal Tula win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arsenal Tula)Actual: Rotor Volgograd
Arsenal Tula -2
2.5%
Draw -2
7.0%
Rotor Volgograd +2
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Arsenal Tula)Actual: Draw
Arsenal Tula -1
9.5%
@ 5.15-7.8%
Draw -1
16.3%
@ 3.84-6.9%
Rotor Volgograd +1
74.2%
@ 1.50+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.15
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Away
Marathonbet
1.50
Handicap +1 (Arsenal Tula)Actual: Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula +1
56.8%
@ 1.37-8.4%
Draw +1
22.9%
@ 4.30+2.1%
Rotor Volgograd -1
20.3%
@ 6.35+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.37
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
6.35
Handicap +2 (Arsenal Tula)Actual: Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula +2
79.7%
Draw +2
13.1%
Rotor Volgograd -2
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal Tula
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.50
0.75
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.79
0.50
0.71
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.37
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.42
0.67
0.50
0.43
0.36
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.1%
@ 1.50+8.3%
Under 0.5
29.9%
@ 2.43-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.57
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Superbet
2.32
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.0%
@ 3.32+4.4%
Under 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.26-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.35
Superbet
3.25
Under
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.0%
@ 8.53+0.4%
Under 2.5
89.0%
@ 1.01-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Marathonbet
8.90
Superbet
7.80
Under
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.4%
Under
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
55.5%
Under
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.7%
Under
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal Tula
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.44
0.38
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.57
0.50
0.43
0.79
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.07
0.27
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.58
0.92
0.33
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.1%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.01
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.0%
1.03
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.5%
1.16
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.5%
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-
+2.2%
-
Home under 1.5 goals
75.9%
1.40
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.36
-
+9.7%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
74.2%
1.46
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.46
SBO
1.36
-
+11.0%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
74.2%
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
-
-
-
-
+14.8%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.3%
1.42
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.1%
1.50
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Arsenal Tula and Rotor Volgograd have a similar squad value (both €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Arsenal Tula and Rotor Volgograd have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Arsenal Tula and Rotor Volgograd have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Arsenal Tula and Rotor Volgograd have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Veles
Ural
FC UFA
Torpedo Moskva
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak Kostroma
FK Neftekhimik
Enisey
Volga Ulyanovsk
Leningradets
KAMAZ
Tekstilshchik
Chelyabinsk
Ska-khabarovsk