Arsenal are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 68% chance of a home win and picking that outcome as the most likely result. Their recent 2-game winning streak and the fact that they are playing at home against a weaker opponent explain the high probability. The expected total goals is 3.2, so the model anticipates a fairly high-scoring affair. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Arsenal, with an 11% chance. Arsenal’s home form shows they average 2.17 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded against weaker sides, while Aston Villa’s away form is less convincing. The model’s suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 85.2%, Over 1.5 at 83.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 77.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 74.9%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 73.6%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 68% home win, 20% draw, and 12% away win.
Results analysis
Arsenal’s 2-2 draw with Aston Villa stunned the pundits, as the pre-match favourite - a home win with a 68% probability - failed to materialise. The match finished a draw, the most likely scoreline being 2-0, which was missed. The model’s selection of a home win was wrong. The suggested picks delivered mixed results: Under 25.5 fouls (85.2%) missed, Over 1.5 (83.4%) hit, Under 5.5 cards (77.4%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (77.2%) hit, Over 8.5 corners (74.9%) hit, and Under 23.5 fouls (73.6%) missed. Arsenal’s recent form, a two-game winning streak, and Aston Villa’s comeback from two defeats set the stage for an unexpected stalemate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal win✗ Miss
68.3%
Avg Implied 61.0% · @ 1.57
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
19.7%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 4.14
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
12.0%
Avg Implied 15.8% · @ 6.06
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
0.90
2.06
0.81
1.93
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.88
1.00
1.75
0.75
2.00
1.25
vs Weaker (22)
2.05
0.86
2.17
0.83
1.90
0.90
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.30
1.56
1.00
1.43
1.64
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.67
1.38
1.12
1.20
2.10
vs Weaker (9)
2.11
0.67
2.20
0.80
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.4%
@ 1.77+7.4%
Under 2.5
38.6%
@ 2.08-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
5.0%
4-0
4.8%
Arsenal goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
2.8%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.8%
9.3%
3.7%
1.1%
0.2%
2
11%
9.7%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
8.4%
7.4%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
4
4.8%
4.2%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Arsenal is 0.21 points better than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.95 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Arsenal is 0.29 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Arsenal is 0.45 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Arsenal is 7.3 percentage points better than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (57% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal
For 6.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
For 7.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.4
3.6
3.2
4.0
22.0
21.3
22.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
9.1
7.0
10.6
3.5
2.9
4.1
24.1
25.0
23.4
vs Weaker (35)
9.3
9.7
8.8
3.6
3.4
3.9
21.1
19.9
22.4
% over line
53%
45%
61%
50%
46%
54%
47%
32%
61%
% under line
47%
55%
39%
50%
54%
46%
53%
68%
39%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.1
10.0
4.7
4.6
4.8
23.9
23.9
23.9
vs Stronger (5)
8.2
8.7
7.5
4.4
5.0
3.5
20.4
21.3
19.0
vs Similar (34)
10.3
10.4
10.2
4.7
4.3
5.1
23.5
23.6
23.4
vs Weaker (11)
10.2
10.2
10.2
4.8
5.2
4.4
26.9
25.8
28.5
% over line
51%
50%
52%
66%
69%
62%
70%
75%
65%
% under line
49%
50%
48%
34%
31%
38%
30%
25%
35%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.9
Bournemouth
11.9
Manchester United
11.2
Southampton
11.0
Manchester City
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Everton
10.8
Liverpool
10.7
Newcastle
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Ipswich
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Crystal Palace
10.4
Aston Villa
10.3
Chelsea
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Brighton
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Leicester
9.8
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.0
Aston Villa
4.9
Brighton
4.7
Southampton
4.6
Bournemouth
4.6
Newcastle
4.6
Wolves
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Liverpool
4.3
Manchester United
4.2
Fulham
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
West Ham
4.0
Leicester
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.1
Aston Villa
23.6
Wolves
23.4
Crystal Palace
23.2
Bournemouth
23.2
Southampton
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Newcastle
23.0
Ipswich
23.0
Brighton
22.9
Arsenal
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Everton
21.6
Leicester
21.5
Liverpool
21.5
West Ham
21.2
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.3
Brentford
19.6
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.6%
Under 9.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
41.9%
Under 21.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.40
0.94
0.25
1.21
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.38
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.05
0.41
0.92
0.25
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.56
0.50
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.72
0.75
0.62
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.33
0.40
0.60
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
1.12
0.56
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (22)
1.00
0.45
1.25
0.58
0.70
0.30
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
1.00
0.50
0.79
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.94
0.62
0.50
0.60
1.30
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.33
1.80
0.20
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kai Havertz42%
Bukayo Saka30%
Ethan Nwaneri22%
Gabriel Martinelli20%
Mikel Merino18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Declan Rice15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Gabriel Magalhães12%
Martin Ødegaard11%
Riccardo Calafiori10%
Thomas Partey8%
Kieran Tierney5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Jurriën Timber4%
William Saliba4%
Jorginho4%
Raheem Sterling4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Riccardo Calafiori24%
Kai Havertz19%
Jurriën Timber19%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Jorginho19%
Raheem Sterling18%
Declan Rice17%
Myles Lewis-Skelly15%
Gabriel Magalhães14%
Bukayo Saka14%
Thomas Partey13%
Ben White12%
David Raya9%
Mikel Merino9%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Leandro Trossard7%
Jakub Kiwior7%
William Saliba6%
Gabriel Martinelli6%
Ethan Nwaneri3%
Kieran Tierney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka30%
Martin Ødegaard22%
Declan Rice17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Kai Havertz11%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Mikel Merino9%
Jurriën Timber8%
Ben White8%
Gabriel Jesus7%
Riccardo Calafiori7%
Ethan Nwaneri5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Thomas Partey4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
William Saliba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bukayo Saka30%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Declan Rice8%
Gabriel Magalhães5%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Mikel Merino2%
Jurriën Timber2%
Thomas Partey0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Arsenal's squad is €870m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€1406m vs €536m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Arsenal's attack is €388m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€608m vs €220m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Arsenal's midfield is €130m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€290m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Arsenal's defence is €352m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€508m vs €156m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton