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Arsenal vs Brentford Result & Analysis

Date: 03/12/2025
Time: 19:30
Final 2-0
Arsenal
Arsenal
Vs
68%
21%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Referee: T Harrington

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arsenal win✓ Hit
67.7%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.43
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.7%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.53
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win✗ Miss
11.5%
Avg Implied 12.8% · @ 7.43
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W40W10W20W20W30W22D41W31W11DA·FUL18/10H·ATL21/10H·CRY26/10H·BRI29/10A·BUR01/11A·SLA04/11A·SUN08/11H·TOT23/11H·BAY26/11A·CHE30/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.672.130.601.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.501.002.000.751.171.17
vs Weaker (20)2.200.502.180.552.220.44
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L31W01L20W32W50W02L31W12L31WA·FUL20/09H·MAN27/09H·MAN05/10A·WES20/10H·LIV25/10A·GRI28/10A·CRY01/11H·NEW09/11A·BRI22/11H·BUR29/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.201.931.361.621.06
vs Stronger (5)1.201.201.251.251.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.751.252.201.401.431.14
vs Weaker (1)5.000.00--5.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.85+4.8%
Under 2.5
44.2%
@ 1.93-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
4.7%
Arsenal goals ↓
Brentford goals →
01234
06.3%3.3%1.6%0.4%0.1%
111%9.9%3.5%0.9%0.2%
212%9.6%3.8%1.0%0.2%
38.8%6.9%2.7%0.7%0.1%
44.7%3.7%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Arsenal is 0.84 points better than Brentford in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Arsenal is 0.42 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Arsenal is 0.66 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Arsenal is 8.5 percentage points better than Brentford in terms of average possession (56% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

For 5.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

1603361412274618243341066754117107716A·CHEH·BAYH·TOTA·SUNA·SLAA·BURH·BRIH·CRYH·ATLA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

806222131243122128443732030A·CHEH·BAYH·TOTA·SUNA·SLAA·BURH·BRIH·CRYH·ATLA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 14.0 · Total 23.9

⚠️ Fouls

3101312161311151313311310914611141041125292626312323172415A·CHEH·BAYH·TOTA·SUNA·SLAA·BURH·BRIH·CRYH·ATLA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

For 5.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1605647625632541063242102111181159165612H·BURA·BRIH·NEWA·CRYA·GRIH·LIVA·WESH·MANH·MANA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

60224213232113222142633252545H·BURA·BRIH·NEWA·CRYA·GRIH·LIVA·WESH·MANH·MANA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.4

⚠️ Fouls

24077910101311710971010101061410131114192318191720162424H·BURA·BRIH·NEWA·CRYA·GRIH·LIVA·WESH·MANH·MANA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.29.83.23.13.322.421.523.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)8.38.08.63.93.34.522.621.923.4
vs Weaker (33)10.19.810.52.93.02.822.421.423.4
% over line45%38%52%48%50%46%55%50%61%
% under line55%62%48%52%50%54%45%50%39%
This opponent (Brentford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.610.73.53.43.519.018.219.8
vs Stronger (9)10.99.615.53.83.93.517.217.317.0
vs Similar (38)10.19.610.53.63.73.619.518.620.1
vs Weaker (3)5.0-5.00.70.02.019.0-19.0
% over line57%48%67%44%44%44%32%30%33%
% under line43%52%33%56%56%56%68%70%67%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Tottenham
10.6
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.5
Brentford
10.3
West Ham
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Fulham
10.0
Aston Villa
10.0
Brighton
9.8
Everton
9.8
Sunderland
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Manchester City
9.4
Leeds
9.4
Crystal Palace
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Burnley
9.3
Chelsea
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.2
Chelsea
4.7
Sunderland
4.4
Brighton
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Wolves
4.1
Aston Villa
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Newcastle
3.7
Tottenham
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Everton
3.6
West Ham
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Burnley
3.4
Leeds
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.5
Wolves
23.9
Aston Villa
23.1
Brighton
22.8
Chelsea
22.7
Tottenham
22.6
Sunderland
22.6
Burnley
22.2
Arsenal
22.1
Everton
21.9
West Ham
21.9
Manchester United
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Leeds
21.7
Newcastle
21.7
Crystal Palace
21.5
Fulham
20.9
Liverpool
20.4
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.9%
Under 9.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.1%
Under 3.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
30.0%
Under 21.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D20W10W01L20W11D00DA·FUL18/10H·ATL21/10H·CRY26/10H·BRI29/10A·BUR01/11A·SLA04/11A·SUN08/11H·TOT23/11H·BAY26/11A·CHE30/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.300.800.270.530.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.200.600.250.750.170.50
vs Weaker (20)0.900.151.000.090.780.22
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W01L10W21W30W01L01L10W00DA·FUL20/09H·MAN27/09H·MAN05/10A·WES20/10H·LIV25/10A·GRI28/10A·CRY01/11H·NEW09/11A·BRI22/11H·BUR29/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.530.860.570.940.50
vs Stronger (5)0.600.400.750.500.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.580.900.600.860.57
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W40W00D20W00D20W21W21W20W11DA·FUL18/10H·ATL21/10H·CRY26/10H·BRI29/10A·BUR01/11A·SLA04/11A·SUN08/11H·TOT23/11H·BAY26/11A·CHE30/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.371.330.331.270.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.300.401.750.001.000.67
vs Weaker (20)1.300.351.180.451.440.22
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D10W11D20W01L30W02L31WA·FUL20/09H·MAN27/09H·MAN05/10A·WES20/10H·LIV25/10A·GRI28/10A·CRY01/11H·NEW09/11A·BRI22/11H·BUR29/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.671.070.790.690.56
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.500.751.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.671.300.800.570.57
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls91.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls83.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres30%
Kai Havertz26%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Leandro Trossard16%
Mikel Merino15%
Noni Madueke14%
Eberechi Eze14%
Martín Zubimendi9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Magalhães8%
Max Dowman8%
Declan Rice7%
Jurriën Timber7%
Ben White3%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Piero Hincapié3%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kepa Arrizabalaga36%
Riccardo Calafiori19%
Martín Zubimendi14%
Cristhian Mosquera14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Myles Lewis-Skelly14%
Declan Rice13%
Mikel Merino12%
Gabriel Jesus11%
Viktor Gyökeres11%
Ben White10%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Kai Havertz9%
Piero Hincapié8%
Bukayo Saka6%
Leandro Trossard6%
William Saliba6%
Eberechi Eze4%
Noni Madueke2%
David Raya2%
Martin Ødegaard0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Havertz22%
Leandro Trossard20%
Martin Ødegaard19%
Declan Rice15%
Bukayo Saka14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Gabriel Martinelli13%
Myles Lewis-Skelly11%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Mikel Merino9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Ben White7%
Viktor Gyökeres6%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Noni Madueke5%
Gabriel Jesus4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres24%
Bukayo Saka18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Eberechi Eze16%
Max Dowman15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Mikel Merino12%
Noni Madueke10%
Kai Havertz9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Martinelli8%
Martin Ødegaard6%
Jurriën Timber5%
Declan Rice4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Piero Hincapié0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Igor Thiago42%
Fabio Carvalho33%
Dango Ouattara16%
Kevin Schade15%
Mathias Jensen12%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Mikkel Damsgaard8%
Reiss Nelson7%
Nathan Collins5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Jordan Henderson3%
Yehor Yarmolyuk2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaly Janelt30%
Michael Kayode20%
Igor Thiago20%
Yehor Yarmolyuk19%
Jordan Henderson18%
Nathan Collins17%
Kevin Schade15%
Dango Ouattara14%
Kristoffer Ajer13%
Ethan Pinnock12%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mathias Jensen7%
Rico Henry7%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Caoimhin Kelleher3%
Keane Lewis-Potter2%
Reiss Nelson0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Frank Onyeka22%
Reiss Nelson14%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mikkel Damsgaard11%
Vitaly Janelt10%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Jordan Henderson9%
Dango Ouattara8%
Kevin Schade8%
Nathan Collins7%
Mathias Jensen7%
Kristoffer Ajer6%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Yehor Yarmolyuk5%
Rico Henry3%
Igor Thiago2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Igor Thiago25%
Kevin Schade21%
Dango Ouattara19%
Keane Lewis-Potter7%
Reiss Nelson7%
Mikkel Damsgaard3%
Sepp van den Berg3%
Mathias Jensen2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Nathan Collins0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Michael Kayode0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Arsenal's squad is €841m more valuable than Brentford's (€1406m vs €565m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Arsenal's attack is €380m more valuable than Brentford's (€608m vs €228m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Arsenal's midfield is €162m more valuable than Brentford's (€290m vs €128m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Arsenal's defence is €299m more valuable than Brentford's (€508m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
ARS wins
2
Draws
1
BRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arsenal vs Brentford · H/A from ARS
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25HARS Vs Brentford1-1
01/01/25ABrentford Vs ARS1-3
09/03/24HARS Vs Brentford2-1
25/11/23ABrentford Vs ARS0-1
11/02/23HARS Vs Brentford1-1
18/09/22ABrentford Vs ARS0-3
19/02/22HARS Vs Brentford2-1
13/08/21ABrentford Vs ARS2-0

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25AChelsea Vs ARS1-1
26/11/25HARS Vs Bayern München3-1
23/11/25HARS Vs Tottenham4-1
08/11/25ASunderland Vs ARS2-2
04/11/25ASlavia Praha Vs ARS0-3
01/11/25ABurnley Vs ARS0-2
29/10/25HARS Vs Brighton2-0
26/10/25HARS Vs Crystal Palace1-0
21/10/25HARS Vs Atletico Madrid4-0
18/10/25AFulham Vs ARS0-1

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25HBRE Vs Burnley3-1
22/11/25ABrighton Vs BRE2-1
09/11/25HBRE Vs Newcastle3-1
01/11/25ACrystal Palace Vs BRE2-0
28/10/25AGrimsby Vs BRE0-5
25/10/25HBRE Vs Liverpool3-2
20/10/25AWest Ham Vs BRE0-2
05/10/25HBRE Vs Manchester City0-1
27/09/25HBRE Vs Manchester United3-1
20/09/25AFulham Vs BRE3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD2.06
HomeWWWWW2.08
AwayWWWDD2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%58%
AVG goals2.662.812.50
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %24%31%17%
Scored1.902.041.75
Conceded0.760.770.75
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet42%42%42%
Corners9.499.179.83
Cards3.503.383.64
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.46
HomeWLWWW1.56
AwayLWWLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals3.083.442.72
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %42%56%28%
Scored1.681.841.52
Conceded1.401.601.20
BTTS62%68%56%
Clean Sheet24%8%40%
Corners10.159.6110.67
Cards3.703.743.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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