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Arsenal vs Brighton Result & Analysis

Date: 27/12/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Arsenal
Arsenal
Vs
68%
20%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Referee: J Brooks

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arsenal win✓ Hit
67.8%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.32
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.4%
Avg Implied 17.4% · @ 5.45
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
11.8%
Avg Implied 10.7% · @ 8.87
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D41W31W11D20W12L30W21W10W11DA·SUN08/11H·TOT23/11H·BAY26/11A·CHE30/11H·BRE03/12A·AST06/12A·CLU10/12H·WOL13/12A·EVE20/12H·CRY23/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.572.360.361.620.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.621.002.670.671.001.20
vs Weaker (22)2.090.412.270.271.910.55
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L02L30W00D21W20W34L11D02L00DA·MAN25/10A·ARS29/10H·LEE01/11A·CRY09/11H·BRE22/11A·NOT30/11H·AST03/12H·WES07/12A·LIV13/12H·SUN20/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.401.671.402.001.40
vs Stronger (4)1.251.752.501.500.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.581.461.541.381.641.55
vs Weaker (2)6.000.00--6.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.53-3.7%
Under 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.45+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.4%
Under 3.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.7%
Arsenal goals ↓
Brighton goals →
01234
05.8%3.2%1.7%0.5%0.1%
19.9%9.7%3.6%1.0%0.2%
212%9.7%4.0%1.1%0.2%
38.6%7.1%2.9%0.8%0.2%
44.7%3.9%1.6%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Arsenal is 0.84 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Arsenal is 0.50 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Arsenal is 0.50 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Arsenal is 2.3 percentage points better than Brighton in terms of average possession (56% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

For 4.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 6.9

🚩 Corners

1208232851334833614122105866126754H·CRYA·EVEH·WOLA·CLUA·ASTH·BREA·CHEH·BAYH·TOTA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

801224221622213121442218443H·CRYA·EVEH·WOLA·CLUA·ASTH·BREA·CHEH·BAYH·TOTA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.1

⚠️ Fouls

290912547159108107913121613111513132192219181625292626H·CRYA·EVEH·WOLA·CLUA·ASTH·BREA·CHEH·BAYH·TOTA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

For 4.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

16034221065629748447286174161111111211107H·SUNA·LIVH·WESH·ASTA·NOTH·BREA·CRYH·LEEA·ARSA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

60222122221424112224344165124H·SUNA·LIVH·WESH·ASTA·NOTH·BREA·CRYH·LEEA·ARSA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

26011151581281091011109121010714913426232019211922172317H·SUNA·LIVH·WESH·ASTA·NOTH·BREA·CRYH·LEEA·ARSA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.89.43.13.13.221.621.122.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.38.08.64.13.84.522.621.923.4
vs Weaker (34)9.59.29.82.72.82.621.220.821.5
% over line41%33%48%44%46%42%49%46%52%
% under line59%67%52%56%54%58%51%54%48%
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.49.83.83.54.022.723.122.4
vs Stronger (6)6.86.07.73.73.34.024.026.022.0
vs Similar (42)10.09.910.13.93.54.222.622.722.4
vs Weaker (2)10.0-10.02.0-2.022.5-22.5
% over line61%55%67%56%50%62%54%50%58%
% under line39%45%33%44%50%38%46%50%42%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.3
Bournemouth
10.3
Tottenham
10.3
West Ham
10.2
Liverpool
10.1
Brentford
9.9
Fulham
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Everton
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Aston Villa
9.7
Sunderland
9.5
Burnley
9.4
Arsenal
9.2
Crystal Palace
9.1
Manchester City
9.1
Leeds
9.0
Wolves
9.0
Chelsea
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.8
Chelsea
4.5
Sunderland
4.4
Manchester United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Brighton
4.1
Wolves
4.0
Tottenham
3.9
Aston Villa
3.8
Newcastle
3.8
Crystal Palace
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Everton
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Manchester City
3.4
West Ham
3.4
Burnley
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.4
Wolves
24.4
Aston Villa
23.4
Brighton
22.8
Chelsea
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.5
Tottenham
22.3
Sunderland
22.2
West Ham
22.2
Manchester United
22.1
Everton
21.9
Burnley
21.7
Leeds
21.6
Arsenal
21.5
Newcastle
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.0
Liverpool
20.6
Fulham
20.6
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.0%
Under 9.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.6%
Under 3.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
48.2%
Under 21.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W11D00D10W01L10W00D10W00DA·SUN08/11H·TOT23/11H·BAY26/11A·CHE30/11H·BRE03/12A·AST06/12A·CLU10/12H·WOL13/12A·EVE20/12H·CRY23/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.270.710.140.500.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.250.620.330.670.200.60
vs Weaker (22)0.730.140.820.000.640.27
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D01L10W22D00D01L00DA·MAN25/10A·ARS29/10H·LEE01/11A·CRY09/11H·BRE22/11A·NOT30/11H·AST03/12H·WES07/12A·LIV13/12H·SUN20/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.670.530.600.67
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.501.500.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.540.580.690.380.360.82
vs Weaker (2)2.500.00--2.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W20W11D10W11D20W21W00D11DA·SUN08/11H·TOT23/11H·BAY26/11A·CHE30/11H·BRE03/12A·AST06/12A·CLU10/12H·WOL13/12A·EVE20/12H·CRY23/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.301.640.211.120.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.380.382.330.000.800.60
vs Weaker (22)1.360.271.450.271.270.27
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D02L20W00D20W10W12L11D01L00DA·MAN25/10A·ARS29/10H·LEE01/11A·CRY09/11H·BRE22/11A·NOT30/11H·AST03/12H·WES07/12A·LIV13/12H·SUN20/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.801.000.871.400.73
vs Stronger (4)1.000.752.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (24)1.040.880.851.001.270.73
vs Weaker (2)3.500.00--3.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres30%
Kai Havertz26%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Leandro Trossard16%
Mikel Merino15%
Noni Madueke14%
Eberechi Eze14%
Martín Zubimendi9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Magalhães8%
Max Dowman8%
Declan Rice7%
Jurriën Timber7%
Ben White3%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Piero Hincapié3%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kepa Arrizabalaga36%
Riccardo Calafiori19%
Martín Zubimendi14%
Cristhian Mosquera14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Myles Lewis-Skelly14%
Declan Rice13%
Mikel Merino12%
Gabriel Jesus11%
Viktor Gyökeres11%
Ben White10%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Kai Havertz9%
Piero Hincapié8%
Bukayo Saka6%
Leandro Trossard6%
William Saliba6%
Eberechi Eze4%
Noni Madueke2%
David Raya2%
Martin Ødegaard0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Havertz22%
Leandro Trossard20%
Martin Ødegaard19%
Declan Rice15%
Bukayo Saka14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Gabriel Martinelli13%
Myles Lewis-Skelly11%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Mikel Merino9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Ben White7%
Viktor Gyökeres6%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Noni Madueke5%
Gabriel Jesus4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres24%
Bukayo Saka18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Eberechi Eze16%
Max Dowman15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Mikel Merino12%
Noni Madueke10%
Kai Havertz9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Martinelli8%
Martin Ødegaard6%
Jurriën Timber5%
Declan Rice4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Piero Hincapié0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck28%
Matt O'Riley17%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Diego Gómez16%
Brajan Gruda15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Yasin Ayari12%
Kaoru Mitoma11%
Tom Watson10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Charalampos Kostoulas8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Jan Paul van Hecke5%
Pascal Groß5%
James Milner5%
Joël Veltman4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Diego Coppola0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Coppola33%
Lewis Dunk32%
Mats Wieffer29%
Diego Gómez27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Carlos Baleba20%
Kaoru Mitoma19%
Joël Veltman18%
Olivier Boscagli18%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu17%
Danny Welbeck12%
Charalampos Kostoulas12%
Brajan Gruda10%
Tom Watson10%
Pascal Groß10%
James Milner9%
Stefanos Tzimas8%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Bart Verbruggen8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Georginio Rutter6%
Yasin Ayari3%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Harry Howell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Coppola22%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Brajan Gruda15%
Pascal Groß14%
Yankuba Minteh11%
Mats Wieffer11%
Jack Hinshelwood10%
Tom Watson10%
Yasin Ayari9%
Georginio Rutter9%
Jan Paul van Hecke8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Danny Welbeck5%
James Milner5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Kaoru Mitoma4%
Joël Veltman4%
Diego Gómez3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matt O'Riley17%
Danny Welbeck15%
Yasin Ayari12%
Diego Gómez11%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Georginio Rutter6%
Brajan Gruda5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Jan Paul van Hecke2%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Jason Steele0%
Pascal Groß0%
Solly March0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Tom Watson0%
Diego Coppola0%
Stefanos Tzimas0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Yankuba Minteh0%
Harry Howell0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Arsenal's squad is €787m more valuable than Brighton's (€1406m vs €620m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Arsenal's attack is €418m more valuable than Brighton's (€608m vs €190m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Arsenal's midfield is €110m more valuable than Brighton's (€290m vs €180m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Arsenal's defence is €260m more valuable than Brighton's (€508m vs €249m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
ARS wins
2
Draws
2
BHA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arsenal vs Brighton · H/A from ARS
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/25HARS Vs Brighton2-0
04/01/25ABrighton Vs ARS1-1
31/08/24HARS Vs Brighton1-1
06/04/24ABrighton Vs ARS0-3
17/12/23HARS Vs Brighton2-0
14/05/23HARS Vs Brighton0-3
31/12/22ABrighton Vs ARS2-4
09/04/22HARS Vs Brighton1-2

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/25HARS Vs Crystal Palace1-1
20/12/25AEverton Vs ARS0-1
13/12/25HARS Vs Wolves2-1
10/12/25AClub Brugge KV Vs ARS0-3
06/12/25AAston Villa Vs ARS2-1
03/12/25HARS Vs Brentford2-0
30/11/25AChelsea Vs ARS1-1
26/11/25HARS Vs Bayern München3-1
23/11/25HARS Vs Tottenham4-1
08/11/25ASunderland Vs ARS2-2

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/25HBHA Vs Sunderland0-0
13/12/25ALiverpool Vs BHA2-0
07/12/25HBHA Vs West Ham1-1
03/12/25HBHA Vs Aston Villa3-4
30/11/25ANottingham Forest Vs BHA0-2
22/11/25HBHA Vs Brentford2-1
09/11/25ACrystal Palace Vs BHA0-0
01/11/25HBHA Vs Leeds3-0
29/10/25AArsenal Vs BHA2-0
25/10/25AManchester United Vs BHA4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD2.14
HomeWWWWD2.21
AwayDDLWW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%67%62%
AVG goals2.622.752.50
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %22%29%15%
Scored1.922.081.77
Conceded0.700.670.73
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet46%46%46%
Corners9.128.799.44
Cards3.273.083.46
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.54
HomeWWLDD1.67
AwayLLDWL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals3.182.793.54
Over 1.5 %90%83%96%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %40%25%54%
Scored1.781.542.00
Conceded1.401.251.54
BTTS62%71%54%
Clean Sheet26%21%31%
Corners9.599.419.75
Cards4.093.774.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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