Arsenal’s strong home form, with an average of two goals scored and one conceded, sets them up as the clear favourite to win, a fact the model captures with a 65% home win probability. Chelsea’s away record shows a higher average of 2.17 goals conceded, making the venue a decisive factor. The model’s pick is a home victory, reflected in the 65% figure, while the draw and away win probabilities sit at 20% and 15% respectively. The expected total of 3.4 goals translates to an average of three goals per match, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9.7% chance. Arsenal’s home scoring and conceding rates against similar-strength opponents, combined with Chelsea’s away scoring and conceding figures, explain the predicted outcome. Suggested picks include Over 8.5 corners at 87.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 86.3%, Over 1.5 at 85.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 83.7%, Over 9.5 corners at 79.8%, Over 3.5 cards at 71.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 70.9% and Over 10.5 corners at 70.3%. All selections are presented with their exact probabilities, and the model’s edge percentages are noted where available.
Results analysis
Arsenal’s 5-0 triumph over Chelsea extended their unbeaten run, confirming the model’s home-win pick with a 65% probability. The prediction of a 3-0 scoreline was missed, yet the 5-0 result still fell within the model’s broader 3-goal expectation. The model’s favourite was right, and its 65% chance proved accurate. Among the suggested picks, Over 2.5 cards (86.3%) and Over 1.5 (85.7%) hit, as did Over 19.5 fouls (83.7%) and Over 21.5 fouls (70.9%) and Over 3.5 cards (71.5%). Over 8.5 corners (87.5%), Over 9.5 corners (79.8%) and Over 10.5 corners (70.3%) missed, while Over 2.5 cards was the only hit in the card category. Overall, the model’s selections delivered a balanced mix of successes and misses.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal win✓ Hit
64.6%
Avg Implied 69.0% · @ 1.39
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.3%
Avg Implied 18.4% · @ 5.21
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
15.1%
Avg Implied 12.5% · @ 7.66
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.77
2.43
0.79
2.00
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.88
2.00
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (22)
2.64
0.73
2.55
0.73
2.73
0.73
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.70
2.27
1.60
1.73
1.80
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
2.50
4.00
4.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.75
2.08
2.00
2.00
1.50
2.17
vs Weaker (16)
2.12
1.31
2.25
1.00
2.00
1.62
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.3%
@ 1.56+4.1%
Under 2.5
34.7%
@ 2.46-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.3%
Under 3.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
Arsenal goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
2.8%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.2%
9.3%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
2
9.2%
9.7%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
7.1%
7.5%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
4
4.1%
4.3%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Arsenal is 0.68 points better than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (2.34 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Arsenal is 0.37 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (2.39 vs 2.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Arsenal is 0.89 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 1.66).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Arsenal is 0.1 percentage points better than Chelsea in terms of average possession (59% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal
For 5.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 5.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.4
3.5
3.6
3.5
22.1
21.5
22.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
8.6
8.6
8.7
4.2
4.4
4.0
23.5
21.7
25.3
vs Weaker (36)
9.4
9.2
9.7
3.3
3.3
3.3
21.5
21.4
21.6
% over line
44%
44%
44%
48%
48%
48%
48%
40%
56%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
52%
52%
52%
52%
60%
44%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.9
5.0
5.0
5.0
23.6
23.4
23.7
vs Stronger (3)
8.7
6.0
10.0
4.7
8.0
3.0
22.3
27.0
20.0
vs Similar (25)
9.7
10.5
8.7
4.9
4.8
5.1
23.2
22.1
24.7
vs Weaker (22)
10.8
10.5
11.2
5.2
5.1
5.4
24.1
24.7
23.4
% over line
52%
63%
39%
86%
85%
87%
52%
59%
43%
% under line
48%
37%
61%
14%
15%
13%
48%
41%
57%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.5
Tottenham
11.7
Bournemouth
11.7
Liverpool
10.9
Luton
10.8
Everton
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Manchester City
10.5
Newcastle
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Brentford
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Burnley
10.3
Aston Villa
10.1
Chelsea
10.1
Wolves
10.1
Crystal Palace
9.7
West Ham
9.7
Brighton
9.5
Arsenal
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.2
Brighton
5.2
Chelsea
5.0
Wolves
4.9
Tottenham
4.8
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Sheffield United
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Burnley
4.0
Brentford
3.9
Bournemouth
3.9
Everton
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Arsenal
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Luton
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.3
Wolves
24.0
Crystal Palace
23.9
Aston Villa
23.8
Chelsea
23.6
Brighton
23.4
Luton
23.2
Newcastle
23.0
Bournemouth
22.2
Arsenal
22.1
Liverpool
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Everton
21.8
Brentford
21.5
Burnley
21.5
Fulham
21.3
West Ham
20.4
Sheffield United
20.2
Manchester United
20.2
Manchester City
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
79.8%
Under 9.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.5%
Under 3.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.9%
Under 21.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.30
1.36
0.36
1.12
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (22)
1.45
0.23
1.45
0.18
1.45
0.27
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
1.13
0.60
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
1.00
0.44
1.12
0.38
0.88
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.47
1.07
0.43
0.88
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.38
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.60
vs Weaker (22)
1.18
0.50
1.09
0.55
1.27
0.45
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.10
1.13
1.00
0.93
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.92
1.33
1.00
1.33
0.83
1.33
vs Weaker (16)
1.12
0.88
1.12
0.62
1.12
1.12
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 8.5 corners
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bukayo Saka41%
Leandro Trossard37%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Martin Ødegaard23%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Declan Rice15%
Edward Nketiah12%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Fábio Vieira7%
Gabriel Magalhães7%
Benjamin White6%
William Saliba4%
Jakub Kiwior4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko3%
Jorginho3%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
David Raya0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kai Havertz28%
Thomas Partey27%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Benjamin White21%
Declan Rice15%
William Saliba10%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Bukayo Saka9%
Edward Nketiah9%
Gabriel Magalhães9%
Jakub Kiwior7%
Jorginho6%
Reiss Nelson5%
David Raya5%
Leandro Trossard5%
Martin Ødegaard5%
Takehiro Tomiyasu4%
Gabriel Martinelli2%
Cédric Soares0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Fábio Vieira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka27%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Martin Ødegaard18%
Declan Rice17%
Kai Havertz15%
Fábio Vieira14%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Jakub Kiwior11%
Reiss Nelson10%
Benjamin White9%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Emile Smith Rowe6%
Oleksandr Zinchenko6%
Edward Nketiah6%
Jorginho6%
Leandro Trossard5%
William Saliba2%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
David Raya0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriel Jesus26%
Bukayo Saka23%
Martin Ødegaard16%
Edward Nketiah15%
Kai Havertz13%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Leandro Trossard12%
Fábio Vieira7%
Declan Rice6%
Gabriel Magalhães4%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Jorginho0%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
David Raya0%
Benjamin White0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cole Palmer45%
Nicolas Jackson31%
Christopher Nkunku27%
Raheem Sterling23%
Noni Madueke22%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Conor Gallagher11%
Thiago Silva10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Armando Broja8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Axel Disasi6%
Levi Colwill4%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marc Cucurella48%
Ben Chilwell38%
Moisés Caicedo31%
Nicolas Jackson29%
Malo Gusto26%
Enzo Fernández25%
Raheem Sterling23%
Carney Chukwuemeka22%
Conor Gallagher22%
Cole Palmer21%
Axel Disasi19%
Benoît Badiashile17%
Lesley Ugochukwu17%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Thiago Silva13%
Robert Sánchez12%
Reece James10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Đorđe Petrović9%
Noni Madueke9%
Levi Colwill9%
Ian Maatsen8%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cole Palmer30%
Reece James20%
Conor Gallagher19%
Malo Gusto19%
Nicolas Jackson14%
Raheem Sterling13%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Marc Cucurella10%
Noni Madueke9%
Moisés Caicedo9%
Ben Chilwell8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Benoît Badiashile6%
Levi Colwill4%
Thiago Silva3%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Axel Disasi0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cole Palmer39%
Nicolas Jackson23%
Raheem Sterling16%
Noni Madueke13%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Conor Gallagher8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Axel Disasi3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Thiago Silva0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Arsenal and Chelsea have a similar squad value (both €1406m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Arsenal's attack is €6m less valuable than Chelsea's (€608m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Arsenal's midfield is €12m more valuable than Chelsea's (€290m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Arsenal's defence is €6m less valuable than Chelsea's (€508m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Newcastle
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United