Arsenal are favoured to win, with a 57% chance of triumph, a 24% draw probability and a 19% chance for Chelsea. The model expects three total goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with an 11.1% probability. Arsenal’s home form shows they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Chelsea’s away form yields 1.14 goals scored and 2.29 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners (90.1%), Over 19.5 fouls (88.2%), Over 2.5 cards (85.6%), Under 10.5 corners (83.4%), Over 1.5 (81.7% miss), Over 21.5 fouls (77.7%), Under 9.5 corners (73.9%), and Over 3.5 cards (70.3%). Arsenal have been unbeaten in their last five matches, while Chelsea are on a three-game winning streak.
Results analysis
Arsenal’s unbeaten run in their last five fixtures continued as they edged Chelsea 1-0, a result that matched the model’s prediction. The pre-match favourite, a Home win at 57%, proved correct, and the model’s selection was right. The suggested picks delivered strong performance: Under 11.5 corners hit at 90.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 88.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.6%, Under 10.5 corners at 83.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 77.7%, Under 9.5 corners at 73.9%, and Over 3.5 cards at 70.3% all came in. Only Over 1.5 missed, scoring 81.7%. The match confirmed the model’s accuracy across both outcome and ancillary selections.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal win✓ Hit
57.1%
Avg Implied 55.5% · @ 1.73
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.68
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied 18.3% · @ 5.24
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
0.90
1.93
0.86
2.12
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
2.67
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.80
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.76
0.86
1.70
0.80
1.82
0.91
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
1.13
2.86
0.71
1.69
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.45
1.82
2.00
1.00
1.14
2.29
vs Weaker (19)
2.68
0.74
3.20
0.60
2.11
0.89
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.7%
@ 2.06+12.0%
Under 2.5
41.3%
@ 1.80-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0 ✓
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
Arsenal goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
4.1%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
1
8.4%
11%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.2%
9.9%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.1%
6.5%
3.5%
1.3%
0.3%
4
3.0%
3.2%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Arsenal is 0.13 points better than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.95 vs 1.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Arsenal is 0.13 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Arsenal is 0.24 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Arsenal is 0.4 percentage points better than Chelsea in terms of average possession (57% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal
For 7.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 4.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.4
3.6
3.4
3.8
21.5
20.6
22.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
8.9
7.5
10.1
3.4
2.9
3.9
19.6
19.7
19.6
vs Weaker (36)
9.4
9.7
9.1
3.7
3.6
3.8
22.3
20.9
23.6
% over line
50%
43%
57%
54%
56%
52%
45%
33%
57%
% under line
50%
57%
43%
46%
44%
48%
55%
67%
43%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.0
9.2
4.4
3.7
5.0
22.5
21.3
23.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
9.2
9.8
8.7
5.0
4.6
5.2
25.2
24.1
26.0
vs Weaker (30)
9.9
10.1
9.5
4.0
3.3
4.8
20.7
19.9
21.7
% over line
57%
57%
57%
62%
52%
72%
61%
52%
70%
% under line
43%
43%
43%
38%
48%
28%
39%
48%
30%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.3
Bournemouth
11.5
Brentford
10.9
Newcastle
10.8
Everton
10.8
Nottingham Forest
10.7
Fulham
10.7
Manchester United
10.7
Southampton
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Manchester City
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.3
Brighton
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Wolves
10.0
West Ham
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Arsenal
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.7
Chelsea
4.7
Aston Villa
4.7
Wolves
4.5
Brighton
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Southampton
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Fulham
4.1
Liverpool
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Leicester
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
West Ham
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Brentford
3.6
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Tottenham
23.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Wolves
23.6
Southampton
23.1
Brighton
22.8
Newcastle
22.7
Ipswich
22.5
Crystal Palace
22.4
Chelsea
22.3
Arsenal
21.8
West Ham
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Leicester
21.7
Everton
21.6
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.8
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
26.1%
Under 9.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.3%
Under 3.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.7%
Under 21.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
0.71
0.36
1.12
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.44
0.75
0.25
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
0.90
0.57
0.70
0.40
1.09
0.73
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.50
1.50
0.29
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.82
1.00
0.25
0.57
1.14
vs Weaker (19)
1.37
0.32
1.70
0.30
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.37
1.21
0.50
1.00
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.67
0.56
1.75
0.75
1.60
0.40
vs Weaker (21)
0.86
0.29
1.00
0.40
0.73
0.18
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
1.36
0.43
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.57
1.14
vs Weaker (19)
1.32
0.42
1.50
0.30
1.11
0.56
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kai Havertz42%
Bukayo Saka30%
Ethan Nwaneri22%
Gabriel Martinelli20%
Mikel Merino18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Declan Rice15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Gabriel Magalhães12%
Martin Ødegaard11%
Riccardo Calafiori10%
Thomas Partey8%
Kieran Tierney5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Jurriën Timber4%
William Saliba4%
Jorginho4%
Raheem Sterling4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Riccardo Calafiori24%
Kai Havertz19%
Jurriën Timber19%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Jorginho19%
Raheem Sterling18%
Declan Rice17%
Myles Lewis-Skelly15%
Gabriel Magalhães14%
Bukayo Saka14%
Thomas Partey13%
Ben White12%
David Raya9%
Mikel Merino9%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Leandro Trossard7%
Jakub Kiwior7%
William Saliba6%
Gabriel Martinelli6%
Ethan Nwaneri3%
Kieran Tierney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka30%
Martin Ødegaard22%
Declan Rice17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Kai Havertz11%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Mikel Merino9%
Jurriën Timber8%
Ben White8%
Gabriel Jesus7%
Riccardo Calafiori7%
Ethan Nwaneri5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Thomas Partey4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
William Saliba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bukayo Saka30%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Declan Rice8%
Gabriel Magalhães5%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Mikel Merino2%
Jurriën Timber2%
Thomas Partey0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolas Jackson32%
Christopher Nkunku26%
Cole Palmer24%
Marc Guiu21%
João Félix20%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Noni Madueke20%
Enzo Fernández17%
Marc Cucurella15%
Pedro Neto13%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall13%
Jadon Sancho12%
Axel Disasi12%
Renato Veiga11%
Tyrique George8%
Tosin Adarabioyo8%
Reece James7%
Levi Colwill5%
Moisés Caicedo4%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wesley Fofana50%
Moisés Caicedo29%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Levi Colwill24%
Nicolas Jackson24%
Roméo Lavia22%
Renato Veiga22%
Marc Cucurella21%
João Félix20%
Enzo Fernández20%
Tosin Adarabioyo19%
Pedro Neto18%
Axel Disasi18%
Cole Palmer17%
Cesare Casadei17%
Robert Sánchez15%
Trevoh Chalobah11%
Malo Gusto10%
Filip Jørgensen9%
Josh Acheampong8%
Jadon Sancho7%
Noni Madueke7%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall6%
Christopher Nkunku5%
Tyrique George4%
Reece James4%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Fernández24%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Pedro Neto18%
Cole Palmer17%
Jadon Sancho17%
Tyrique George17%
Nicolas Jackson15%
Axel Disasi12%
João Félix10%
Noni Madueke10%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Christopher Nkunku10%
Reece James7%
Moisés Caicedo7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Roméo Lavia6%
Renato Veiga6%
Trevoh Chalobah5%
Malo Gusto5%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu36%
João Félix35%
Cole Palmer28%
Nicolas Jackson26%
Noni Madueke22%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Carney Chukwuemeka20%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Pedro Neto9%
Enzo Fernández9%
Mykhaylo Mudryk7%
Axel Disasi6%
Marc Cucurella4%
Tyrique George4%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Malo Gusto2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Renato Veiga0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Arsenal and Chelsea have a similar squad value (both €1406m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Arsenal's attack is €6m less valuable than Chelsea's (€608m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Arsenal's midfield is €12m more valuable than Chelsea's (€290m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Arsenal's defence is €6m less valuable than Chelsea's (€508m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Manchester City
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton