Arsenal’s 2-game winning streak and a 1-0 victory over Aston Villa set a strong tone for this match, while Ipswich’s recent 2-5 loss to Manchester United shows they are still finding form away from home. The model rates a home win as the clear favourite, assigning a 68% probability to Arsenal triumphing, a 20% chance of a draw, and only 12% for Ipswich to win. This preference is reinforced by Arsenal’s home form: they average 2.5 goals scored and concede just 0.67 against weaker opponents, whereas Ipswich, playing away against a stronger side, averages only 1 goal scored and concedes 4.0. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a moderately high-scoring game, with the most likely scoreline being 2-0 for Arsenal at 11.2%. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 83.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 82.7%, Over 8.5 corners at 78.5%, and Under 25.5 fouls at 77.9%. All figures are presented as percentages, with the single most probable result being a home win.
Results analysis
Arsenal’s 1-0 win over Ipswich extended their two-game winning run, keeping the home side’s recent form on a positive trajectory. The final score of 1-0 was well below the model’s expected total of 3.1 goals, and the actual result matched the model’s pick of a home win, confirming the prediction with a 68% probability. The model’s favourite was indeed Arsenal, and the call was correct. Regarding the suggested picks, the over 2.5 cards selection missed, as did the over 1.5, over 8.5 corners, and the under 25.5 fouls hit, each with probabilities of 83.6%, 82.7%, 78.5%, and 77.9% respectively.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal win✓ Hit
68.1%
Avg Implied 84.0% · @ 1.14
Edge
-15.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 10.9% · @ 8.78
Edge
+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ipswich win✗ Miss
12.0%
Avg Implied 5.1% · @ 18.59
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
0.80
2.40
0.67
1.93
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.88
0.88
2.00
0.67
1.80
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
2.27
0.77
2.50
0.67
2.00
0.90
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.53
1.40
1.40
1.40
1.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (19)
1.11
1.63
1.00
1.70
1.22
1.56
vs Weaker (9)
2.22
1.00
2.75
0.50
1.80
1.40
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.4%
@ 1.38-8.7%
Under 2.5
39.6%
@ 3.08+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
1-0 ✓
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.8%
Arsenal goals ↓
Ipswich goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
2.9%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
9.1%
9.5%
3.7%
1.1%
0.2%
2
11%
9.7%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
8.5%
7.3%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
4
4.8%
4.1%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Ipswich goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Arsenal is 1.37 points better than Ipswich in terms of average points per game (1.95 vs 0.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Arsenal is 0.87 goals better than Ipswich in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 0.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Arsenal is 1.26 goals better than Ipswich in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 2.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Arsenal is 17.3 percentage points better than Ipswich in terms of average possession (57% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal
For 7.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 8.4 · Total 19.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ipswich
For 4.2 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.1
9.7
3.7
3.6
3.9
21.7
21.0
22.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
8.9
6.9
10.6
4.1
4.1
4.1
23.9
24.6
23.4
vs Weaker (35)
9.7
10.1
9.2
3.5
3.3
3.8
20.7
19.4
22.1
% over line
55%
48%
62%
52%
48%
56%
45%
30%
58%
% under line
45%
52%
38%
48%
52%
44%
55%
70%
42%
This opponent (Ipswich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.9
11.3
3.7
3.8
3.5
23.0
22.7
23.3
vs Stronger (2)
11.5
12.0
11.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
23.0
27.0
19.0
vs Similar (28)
10.4
9.5
11.4
3.9
3.9
3.9
23.2
22.3
24.2
vs Weaker (20)
10.8
10.2
11.3
3.2
3.7
2.8
22.7
22.8
22.7
% over line
65%
52%
79%
56%
56%
56%
59%
56%
62%
% under line
35%
48%
21%
44%
44%
44%
41%
44%
38%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.9
Bournemouth
12.1
Manchester United
11.4
Southampton
11.2
Brentford
11.2
Manchester City
11.1
Everton
10.7
Newcastle
10.7
Ipswich
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.6
Crystal Palace
10.5
Chelsea
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Aston Villa
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Brighton
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Arsenal
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.0
Chelsea
4.9
Wolves
4.8
Brighton
4.8
Newcastle
4.7
Southampton
4.6
Bournemouth
4.6
Tottenham
4.6
Liverpool
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Brentford
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
West Ham
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Ipswich
3.7
Manchester City
3.5
Everton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.2
Wolves
23.8
Aston Villa
23.6
Chelsea
23.1
Bournemouth
23.0
Newcastle
22.9
Crystal Palace
22.9
Ipswich
22.9
Southampton
22.8
Brighton
22.7
Liverpool
21.8
Leicester
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Arsenal
21.7
Everton
21.4
West Ham
21.3
Fulham
20.7
Brentford
20.4
Manchester United
20.3
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
68.0%
Under 9.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.2%
Under 3.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.6%
Under 21.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.33
1.00
0.20
1.27
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.25
0.38
1.33
0.33
1.20
0.40
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.32
0.92
0.17
1.30
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.67
0.80
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.95
0.60
1.20
0.78
0.67
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.22
1.00
0.00
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.47
1.40
0.47
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (22)
1.18
0.45
1.58
0.50
0.70
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.73
0.60
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.68
0.40
0.50
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
0.78
1.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kai Havertz42%
Bukayo Saka30%
Ethan Nwaneri22%
Gabriel Martinelli20%
Mikel Merino18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Declan Rice15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Gabriel Magalhães12%
Martin Ødegaard11%
Riccardo Calafiori10%
Thomas Partey8%
Kieran Tierney5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Jurriën Timber4%
William Saliba4%
Jorginho4%
Raheem Sterling4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Riccardo Calafiori24%
Kai Havertz19%
Jurriën Timber19%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Jorginho19%
Raheem Sterling18%
Declan Rice17%
Myles Lewis-Skelly15%
Gabriel Magalhães14%
Bukayo Saka14%
Thomas Partey13%
Ben White12%
David Raya9%
Mikel Merino9%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Leandro Trossard7%
Jakub Kiwior7%
William Saliba6%
Gabriel Martinelli6%
Ethan Nwaneri3%
Kieran Tierney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka30%
Martin Ødegaard22%
Declan Rice17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Kai Havertz11%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Mikel Merino9%
Jurriën Timber8%
Ben White8%
Gabriel Jesus7%
Riccardo Calafiori7%
Ethan Nwaneri5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Thomas Partey4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
William Saliba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bukayo Saka30%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Declan Rice8%
Gabriel Magalhães5%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Mikel Merino2%
Jurriën Timber2%
Thomas Partey0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Ipswich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Liam Delap28%
Sammie Szmodics19%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace18%
George Hirst17%
Julio Enciso15%
Nathan Broadhead10%
Omari Hutchinson9%
Conor Chaplin9%
Ali Al-Hamadi8%
Jack Taylor6%
Jack Clarke6%
Kalvin Phillips5%
Jacob Greaves4%
Ben Johnson4%
Jens Cajuste3%
Leif Davis3%
Sam Morsy3%
Arijanet Murić0%
Massimo Luongo0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Luke Woolfenden0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Conor Townsend0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Christian Walton0%
Marcus Harness0%
Wes Burns0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Alex Palmer0%
Harry Clarke0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sam Morsy32%
Liam Delap30%
Harry Clarke25%
Julio Enciso23%
Ali Al-Hamadi23%
Kalvin Phillips23%
Ben Godfrey20%
Jacob Greaves19%
Axel Tuanzebe17%
Dara O'Shea16%
Omari Hutchinson16%
Leif Davis15%
Ben Johnson15%
Alex Palmer13%
Luke Woolfenden11%
Jack Taylor11%
George Hirst10%
Conor Townsend10%
Sammie Szmodics10%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace9%
Conor Chaplin9%
Massimo Luongo7%
Jens Cajuste6%
Jack Clarke6%
Arijanet Murić5%
Wes Burns5%
Nathan Broadhead5%
Cameron Burgess5%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Christian Walton0%
Marcus Harness0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julio Enciso23%
Conor Townsend20%
Jack Clarke17%
Cameron Burgess14%
Ben Johnson11%
Ali Al-Hamadi8%
George Hirst7%
Omari Hutchinson6%
Leif Davis6%
Dara O'Shea5%
Wes Burns5%
Liam Delap5%
Nathan Broadhead5%
Axel Tuanzebe4%
Conor Chaplin4%
Jens Cajuste3%
Sam Morsy3%
Arijanet Murić0%
Massimo Luongo0%
Sammie Szmodics0%
Luke Woolfenden0%
Jack Taylor0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Christian Walton0%
Marcus Harness0%
Alex Palmer0%
Jacob Greaves0%
Harry Clarke0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso31%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace27%
Liam Delap20%
Sammie Szmodics14%
Conor Chaplin13%
Ali Al-Hamadi8%
Leif Davis3%
Jack Taylor3%
Arijanet Murić0%
Massimo Luongo0%
George Hirst0%
Jens Cajuste0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Luke Woolfenden0%
Ben Johnson0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Jack Clarke0%
Conor Townsend0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Christian Walton0%
Sam Morsy0%
Marcus Harness0%
Wes Burns0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Alex Palmer0%
Nathan Broadhead0%
Jacob Greaves0%
Harry Clarke0%
Omari Hutchinson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Arsenal's squad is €1126m more valuable than Ipswich's (€1406m vs €280m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Arsenal's attack is €478m more valuable than Ipswich's (€608m vs €130m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Arsenal's midfield is €224m more valuable than Ipswich's (€290m vs €66m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Arsenal's defence is €424m more valuable than Ipswich's (€508m vs €85m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Southampton