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Arsenal vs Manchester City Result & Analysis

Date: 02/02/2025
Time: 16:30
Final 5-1
Arsenal
Arsenal
Vs
45%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Referee: P Bankes

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arsenal win✓ Hit
45.0%
Avg Implied 50.3% · @ 1.91
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.93
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.81
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W31W11D02L11D21W22D30W10W21WH·IPS27/12A·BRE01/01A·BRI04/01H·NEW07/01H·MAN12/01H·TOT15/01H·AST18/01H·DIN22/01A·WOL25/01A·GIR29/01
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.130.902.180.822.081.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.860.861.750.752.001.00
vs Weaker (23)2.220.912.310.852.101.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-812L11D20W41W80W22D60W24L31W31WA·AST21/12H·EVE26/12A·LEI29/12H·WES04/01H·SAL11/01A·BRE14/01A·IPS19/01A·PAR22/01H·CHE25/01H·CLU29/01
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.472.601.201.731.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.142.141.671.000.753.00
vs Weaker (23)2.481.262.831.252.091.27
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.4%
Under 1.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.5%
@ 1.62-2.6%
Under 2.5
43.5%
@ 2.34+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 3.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.8%
No
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
Arsenal goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
01234
06.4%5.6%4.3%1.9%0.6%
17.6%12%7.2%3.1%1.0%
27.2%9.3%6.0%2.6%0.8%
34.0%5.2%3.3%1.4%0.5%
41.7%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Arsenal is 0.08 points better than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.95 vs 1.87).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Arsenal is 0.08 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Arsenal is 0.26 goals better than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Arsenal is 3.7 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (57% vs 61%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

For 7.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

160133511131011045234513382166141114776610A·GIRA·WOLH·DINH·ASTH·TOTA·BRIA·BREH·IPSA·CRYH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

6024212223313221112236345453243A·GIRA·WOLH·DINH·ASTH·TOTA·BRIA·BREH·IPSA·CRYH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

31013131020971018169141786712896926301628253114191715A·GIRA·WOLH·DINH·ASTH·TOTA·BRIA·BREH·IPSA·CRYH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

For 5.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

17051246117454714485458266171198813910H·CLUH·CHEA·PARA·IPSA·BREH·WESA·LEIH·EVEA·ASTH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

60321112112143311215210335623H·CHEA·PARA·IPSA·BREH·WESA·LEIH·EVEA·ASTH·MANA·JUV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 6.0 · Against 9.1 · Total 15.1

⚠️ Fouls

210236810107444813611510714514514201182117152119H·CLUH·CHEA·PARA·IPSA·BREH·WESA·LEIH·EVEA·ASTH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.39.63.73.44.122.221.323.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)8.97.010.63.42.94.023.225.021.6
vs Weaker (36)9.610.19.13.93.64.221.820.123.9
% over line56%52%59%54%52%57%51%35%68%
% under line44%48%41%46%48%43%49%65%32%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.610.73.13.03.217.117.716.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)10.410.610.33.84.23.419.521.418.1
vs Weaker (38)10.710.610.92.92.73.116.316.616.1
% over line62%65%58%40%40%40%15%17%12%
% under line38%35%42%60%60%60%85%83%88%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.8
Bournemouth
11.8
Brentford
11.2
Manchester United
11.1
Southampton
10.9
Everton
10.9
Newcastle
10.8
Liverpool
10.7
Manchester City
10.7
Ipswich
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Chelsea
10.1
Wolves
10.0
Brighton
9.9
West Ham
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Arsenal
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.0
Chelsea
4.9
Bournemouth
4.8
Brighton
4.7
Southampton
4.5
Newcastle
4.5
Wolves
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Tottenham
4.3
Liverpool
4.2
Leicester
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
West Ham
4.0
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.8
Everton
3.5
Manchester City
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.4
Tottenham
23.7
Bournemouth
23.6
Wolves
23.4
Crystal Palace
23.1
Southampton
23.0
Newcastle
22.9
Chelsea
22.8
Brighton
22.7
Ipswich
22.6
Arsenal
22.4
Everton
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Leicester
21.6
West Ham
21.5
Liverpool
21.2
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.3
Brentford
19.5
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.2%
Under 9.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.1%
Under 3.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
14.5%
Under 21.5
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W01L00D21W10W10W00D21WH·IPS27/12A·BRE01/01A·BRI04/01H·NEW07/01H·MAN12/01H·TOT15/01H·AST18/01H·DIN22/01A·WOL25/01A·GIR29/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.400.940.241.310.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.000.291.000.251.000.33
vs Weaker (23)1.130.430.920.231.400.70
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W20W30W00D30W00D11D01LA·AST21/12H·EVE26/12A·LEI29/12H·WES04/01H·SAL11/01A·BRE14/01A·IPS19/01A·PAR22/01H·CHE25/01H·CLU29/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.531.130.530.800.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.430.710.671.000.250.50
vs Weaker (23)1.130.481.250.421.000.55
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L01L11D00D12L20W10W00DH·IPS27/12A·BRE01/01A·BRI04/01H·NEW07/01H·MAN12/01H·TOT15/01H·AST18/01H·DIN22/01A·WOL25/01A·GIR29/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.240.590.770.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.570.750.501.000.67
vs Weaker (23)1.090.481.380.620.700.30
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D10W21W50W22D30W24L20W30WA·AST21/12H·EVE26/12A·LEI29/12H·WES04/01H·SAL11/01A·BRE14/01A·IPS19/01A·PAR22/01H·CHE25/01H·CLU29/01
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.931.470.670.931.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.711.431.000.000.502.50
vs Weaker (23)1.350.781.580.831.090.73
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls97.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls93.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls85.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls72.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kai Havertz42%
Bukayo Saka30%
Ethan Nwaneri22%
Gabriel Martinelli20%
Mikel Merino18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Declan Rice15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Gabriel Magalhães12%
Martin Ødegaard11%
Riccardo Calafiori10%
Thomas Partey8%
Kieran Tierney5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Jurriën Timber4%
William Saliba4%
Jorginho4%
Raheem Sterling4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Riccardo Calafiori24%
Kai Havertz19%
Jurriën Timber19%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Jorginho19%
Raheem Sterling18%
Declan Rice17%
Myles Lewis-Skelly15%
Gabriel Magalhães14%
Bukayo Saka14%
Thomas Partey13%
Ben White12%
David Raya9%
Mikel Merino9%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Leandro Trossard7%
Jakub Kiwior7%
William Saliba6%
Gabriel Martinelli6%
Ethan Nwaneri3%
Kieran Tierney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka30%
Martin Ødegaard22%
Declan Rice17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Kai Havertz11%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Mikel Merino9%
Jurriën Timber8%
Ben White8%
Gabriel Jesus7%
Riccardo Calafiori7%
Ethan Nwaneri5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Thomas Partey4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
William Saliba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bukayo Saka30%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Declan Rice8%
Gabriel Magalhães5%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Mikel Merino2%
Jurriën Timber2%
Thomas Partey0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland51%
Omar Marmoush27%
Nico O’Reilly22%
James McAtee19%
Phil Foden18%
Kevin De Bruyne15%
John Stones15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Jérémy Doku14%
Nico González12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Abdukodir Khusanov11%
Matheus Nunes11%
Jack Grealish9%
Bernardo Silva8%
İlkay Gündoğan6%
Rico Lewis5%
Savinho5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nico González25%
Abdukodir Khusanov22%
Bernardo Silva19%
Rúben Dias18%
Kyle Walker17%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey17%
Matheus Nunes16%
Jack Grealish16%
James McAtee15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Ederson11%
Nico O’Reilly11%
John Stones10%
Stefan Ortega10%
Rico Lewis10%
Savinho9%
Manuel Akanji8%
Kevin De Bruyne8%
Erling Haaland5%
Phil Foden4%
İlkay Gündoğan4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jérémy Doku3%
Rodri0%
Nathan Aké0%
Omar Marmoush0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Vitor Reis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Nunes24%
Jérémy Doku22%
Savinho20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
Jack Grealish12%
İlkay Gündoğan12%
Rico Lewis12%
Ederson11%
Phil Foden11%
Erling Haaland9%
Bernardo Silva8%
Mateo Kovačić7%
Nico O’Reilly6%
John Stones5%
Omar Marmoush5%
Manuel Akanji3%
Joško Gvardiol2%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
James McAtee0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland58%
Omar Marmoush36%
Phil Foden20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
James McAtee12%
Savinho11%
Jérémy Doku11%
İlkay Gündoğan8%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jack Grealish3%
Manuel Akanji3%
Matheus Nunes3%
Rúben Dias2%
Mateo Kovačić2%
Rico Lewis2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Rodri0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Nico O’Reilly0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Arsenal's squad is €81m more valuable than Manchester City's (€1406m vs €1326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Arsenal's attack is €27m less valuable than Manchester City's (€608m vs €635m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Arsenal's midfield is €130m more valuable than Manchester City's (€290m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Arsenal's defence is €22m less valuable than Manchester City's (€508m vs €531m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
ARS wins
2
Draws
5
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arsenal vs Manchester City · H/A from ARS
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24AManchester City Vs ARS2-2
31/03/24AManchester City Vs ARS0-0
08/10/23HARS Vs Manchester City1-0
26/04/23AManchester City Vs ARS4-1
15/02/23HARS Vs Manchester City1-3
01/01/22HARS Vs Manchester City1-2
28/08/21AManchester City Vs ARS5-0
21/02/21HARS Vs Manchester City0-1

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/01/25AGirona Vs ARS1-2
25/01/25AWolves Vs ARS0-1
22/01/25HARS Vs Dinamo Zagreb3-0
18/01/25HARS Vs Aston Villa2-2
15/01/25HARS Vs Tottenham2-1
12/01/25HARS Vs Manchester United1-1
07/01/25HARS Vs Newcastle0-2
04/01/25ABrighton Vs ARS1-1
01/01/25ABrentford Vs ARS1-3
27/12/24HARS Vs Ipswich1-0

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/01/25HMC Vs Club Brugge KV3-1
25/01/25HMC Vs Chelsea3-1
22/01/25AParis Saint Germain Vs MC4-2
19/01/25AIpswich Vs MC0-6
14/01/25ABrentford Vs MC2-2
11/01/25HMC Vs Salford8-0
04/01/25HMC Vs West Ham4-1
29/12/24ALeicester Vs MC0-2
26/12/24HMC Vs Everton1-1
21/12/24AAston Villa Vs MC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.16
HomeLDWDW2.33
AwayWWDWW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%70%57%
AVG goals2.742.892.57
Over 1.5 %76%85%65%
Over 2.5 %48%56%39%
Over 3.5 %28%30%26%
Scored1.962.111.78
Conceded0.780.780.78
BTTS44%44%43%
Clean Sheet44%48%39%
Corners9.429.269.59
Cards4.164.004.32
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.96
HomeDWWWW2.28
AwayLWDWL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%68%48%
AVG goals3.623.843.40
Over 1.5 %92%88%96%
Over 2.5 %72%80%64%
Over 3.5 %54%64%44%
Scored2.422.762.08
Conceded1.201.081.32
BTTS64%72%56%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners10.6610.6110.71
Cards3.423.413.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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