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Arsenal vs Newcastle Result & Analysis

Date: 24/02/2024
Time: 20:00
Final 4-1
Arsenal
Arsenal
Vs
68%
18%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Referee: P Tierney

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arsenal win✓ Hit
68.0%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.35
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.8%
Avg Implied 17.1% · @ 5.63
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
14.2%
Avg Implied 11.8% · @ 8.17
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W11D02L12L50W21W31W60W50W01LH·BRI17/12A·LIV23/12H·WES28/12A·FUL31/12H·CRY20/01A·NOT30/01H·LIV04/02A·WES11/02A·BUR17/02A·FC 21/02
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.370.872.860.711.941.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.880.882.750.501.001.25
vs Weaker (22)2.550.862.900.802.250.92
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L30W01L13L24L23L31W44D32W22DH·AC 13/12H·FUL16/12A·LUT23/12H·NOT26/12A·LIV01/01H·MAN13/01A·AST30/01H·LUT03/02A·NOT10/02H·BOU17/02
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.572.071.271.531.87
vs Stronger (7)1.571.712.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.531.471.900.901.112.11
vs Weaker (4)3.501.754.004.003.331.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.4%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.0%
@ 1.46+8.6%
Under 2.5
26.0%
@ 2.76-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.8%
Under 3.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.5%
No
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.0%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
4-1 ✓
5.3%
1-0
5.0%
Arsenal goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
01234
02.8%1.8%1.5%0.6%0.2%
15.0%7.4%4.0%1.6%0.5%
27.5%9.0%5.3%2.1%0.6%
36.7%8.0%4.7%1.9%0.6%
44.5%5.3%3.2%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Arsenal is 0.76 points better than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (2.34 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Arsenal is 0.16 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (2.39 vs 2.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Arsenal is 0.87 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Arsenal is 6.3 percentage points better than Newcastle in terms of average possession (59% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

For 7.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

1301016462241126745103541011110861313913911A·FC A·BURA·WESH·LIVA·NOTH·CRYA·FULH·WESA·LIVH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

903212463114252135349105274A·FC A·BURA·WESH·LIVA·NOTH·CRYA·FULH·WESA·LIVH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

36022148111117111176812101188141311936192822132021162720A·FC A·BURA·WESH·LIVA·NOTH·CRYA·FULH·WESA·LIVH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

For 5.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

16042448278313371027651536810151610121368H·BOUA·NOTH·LUTA·ASTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTA·LUTH·FULH·AC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

8013212214125333123254345386337H·BOUA·NOTH·LUTA·ASTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTA·LUTH·FULH·AC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.3

⚠️ Fouls

31092269131612147715161011511712171431152926143121161931H·BOUA·NOTH·LUTA·ASTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTA·LUTH·FULH·AC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.59.63.53.53.521.120.521.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)9.29.88.65.15.34.921.118.723.1
vs Weaker (37)9.69.39.93.02.93.121.121.121.2
% over line42%42%42%46%46%46%44%42%46%
% under line58%58%58%54%54%54%56%58%54%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.910.44.44.44.422.922.823.0
vs Stronger (10)10.912.78.25.54.37.222.321.224.0
vs Similar (33)10.39.910.64.24.73.823.524.223.0
vs Weaker (7)12.112.212.03.63.53.720.720.221.3
% over line62%68%56%56%56%56%54%52%56%
% under line38%32%44%44%44%44%46%48%44%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.8
Bournemouth
11.8
Tottenham
11.4
Newcastle
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Wolves
10.4
Everton
10.3
Chelsea
10.3
Luton
10.3
Sheffield United
10.3
Fulham
10.2
Aston Villa
10.2
Brentford
10.1
West Ham
10.1
Manchester City
10.0
Burnley
9.8
Nottingham Forest
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Arsenal
9.5
Brighton
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.2
Brighton
4.9
Aston Villa
4.9
Tottenham
4.9
Wolves
4.8
Newcastle
4.4
Sheffield United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Liverpool
4.1
Burnley
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Manchester City
4.0
Luton
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Everton
3.8
Fulham
3.7
Bournemouth
3.7
Arsenal
3.6
West Ham
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.4
Chelsea
24.1
Crystal Palace
23.9
Wolves
23.8
Aston Villa
23.6
Luton
23.3
Brighton
23.2
Newcastle
22.9
Liverpool
22.6
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Fulham
21.8
Everton
21.5
Bournemouth
21.5
Burnley
21.3
Arsenal
21.1
Brentford
21.0
Sheffield United
20.5
Manchester United
20.5
Manchester City
20.1
West Ham
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.3%
Under 3.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.5%
Under 21.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D01L11D20W00D11D40W20W00DH·BRI17/12A·LIV23/12H·WES28/12A·FUL31/12H·CRY20/01A·NOT30/01H·LIV04/02A·WES11/02A·BUR17/02A·FC 21/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.371.290.360.940.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.880.501.250.500.500.50
vs Weaker (22)1.180.321.300.301.080.33
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L11D00D21W20W22D22D00DH·AC 13/12H·FUL16/12A·LUT23/12H·NOT26/12A·LIV01/01H·MAN13/01A·AST30/01H·LUT03/02A·NOT10/02H·BOU17/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.930.400.670.67
vs Stronger (7)0.860.291.250.250.330.33
vs Similar (19)0.580.530.700.300.440.78
vs Weaker (4)1.751.002.002.001.670.67
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L01L30W21W20W20W30W01LH·BRI17/12A·LIV23/12H·WES28/12A·FUL31/12H·CRY20/01A·NOT30/01H·LIV04/02A·WES11/02A·BUR17/02A·FC 21/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.501.570.361.000.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.000.381.500.000.500.75
vs Weaker (22)1.360.551.600.501.170.58
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L30W00D02L24L02L11D22D10W22DH·AC 13/12H·FUL16/12A·LUT23/12H·NOT26/12A·LIV01/01H·MAN13/01A·AST30/01H·LUT03/02A·NOT10/02H·BOU17/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.031.130.870.871.20
vs Stronger (7)0.711.430.751.250.671.67
vs Similar (19)0.950.951.200.600.671.33
vs Weaker (4)1.750.752.002.001.670.33
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards84.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls75.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.0%1.46-----+8.6%✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bukayo Saka41%
Leandro Trossard37%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Martin Ødegaard23%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Declan Rice15%
Edward Nketiah12%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Fábio Vieira7%
Gabriel Magalhães7%
Benjamin White6%
William Saliba4%
Jakub Kiwior4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko3%
Jorginho3%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
David Raya0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kai Havertz28%
Thomas Partey27%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Benjamin White21%
Declan Rice15%
William Saliba10%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Bukayo Saka9%
Edward Nketiah9%
Gabriel Magalhães9%
Jakub Kiwior7%
Jorginho6%
Reiss Nelson5%
David Raya5%
Leandro Trossard5%
Martin Ødegaard5%
Takehiro Tomiyasu4%
Gabriel Martinelli2%
Cédric Soares0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Fábio Vieira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka27%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Martin Ødegaard18%
Declan Rice17%
Kai Havertz15%
Fábio Vieira14%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Jakub Kiwior11%
Reiss Nelson10%
Benjamin White9%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Emile Smith Rowe6%
Oleksandr Zinchenko6%
Edward Nketiah6%
Jorginho6%
Leandro Trossard5%
William Saliba2%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
David Raya0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriel Jesus26%
Bukayo Saka23%
Martin Ødegaard16%
Edward Nketiah15%
Kai Havertz13%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Leandro Trossard12%
Fábio Vieira7%
Declan Rice6%
Gabriel Magalhães4%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Jorginho0%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
David Raya0%
Benjamin White0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak49%
Callum Wilson33%
Anthony Gordon27%
Harvey Barnes18%
Sean Longstaff15%
Bruno Guimarães14%
Joelinton12%
Jacob Murphy12%
Sven Botman11%
Miguel Almirón10%
Fabian Schär10%
Joe Willock9%
Sandro Tonali9%
Dan Burn8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Hall5%
Lewis Miley5%
Jamaal Lascelles5%
Valentino Livramento3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Joe White0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton33%
Anthony Gordon29%
Joe White25%
Bruno Guimarães23%
Matt Targett20%
Jamaal Lascelles19%
Sandro Tonali18%
Sean Longstaff18%
Fabian Schär17%
Lewis Hall16%
Nick Pope15%
Kieran Trippier15%
Elliot Anderson13%
Callum Wilson12%
Emil Krafth12%
Sven Botman11%
Dan Burn11%
Harvey Barnes9%
Miguel Almirón8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Miley5%
Martin Dúbravka4%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento3%
Alexander Isak3%
Joe Willock0%
Paul Dummett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier26%
Jacob Murphy25%
Anthony Gordon22%
Lewis Miley20%
Bruno Guimarães19%
Harvey Barnes14%
Sven Botman11%
Elliot Anderson9%
Alexander Isak6%
Dan Burn5%
Sean Longstaff5%
Joelinton4%
Callum Wilson4%
Miguel Almirón3%
Fabian Schär2%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak34%
Callum Wilson21%
Anthony Gordon17%
Miguel Almirón13%
Joelinton12%
Elliot Anderson9%
Lewis Miley5%
Harvey Barnes5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Sean Longstaff2%
Fabian Schär2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Bruno Guimarães0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Arsenal's squad is €839m more valuable than Newcastle's (€1406m vs €568m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Arsenal's attack is €374m more valuable than Newcastle's (€608m vs €234m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Arsenal's midfield is €166m more valuable than Newcastle's (€290m vs €124m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Arsenal's defence is €299m more valuable than Newcastle's (€508m vs €210m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
ARS wins
1
Draws
2
NEW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arsenal vs Newcastle · H/A from ARS
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23ANewcastle Vs ARS1-0
07/05/23ANewcastle Vs ARS0-2
03/01/23HARS Vs Newcastle0-0
16/05/22ANewcastle Vs ARS2-0
27/11/21HARS Vs Newcastle2-0
02/05/21ANewcastle Vs ARS0-2
18/01/21HARS Vs Newcastle3-0

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/24AFC Porto Vs ARS1-0
17/02/24ABurnley Vs ARS0-5
11/02/24AWest Ham Vs ARS0-6
04/02/24HARS Vs Liverpool3-1
30/01/24ANottingham Forest Vs ARS1-2
20/01/24HARS Vs Crystal Palace5-0
31/12/23AFulham Vs ARS2-1
28/12/23HARS Vs West Ham0-2
23/12/23ALiverpool Vs ARS1-1
17/12/23HARS Vs Brighton2-0

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24HNEW Vs Bournemouth2-2
10/02/24ANottingham Forest Vs NEW2-3
03/02/24HNEW Vs Luton4-4
30/01/24AAston Villa Vs NEW1-3
13/01/24HNEW Vs Manchester City2-3
01/01/24ALiverpool Vs NEW4-2
26/12/23HNEW Vs Nottingham Forest1-3
23/12/23ALuton Vs NEW1-0
16/12/23HNEW Vs Fulham3-0
13/12/23HNEW Vs AC Milan1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL2.06
HomeWWLWW2.42
AwayLWWWL1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%75%50%
AVG goals3.403.833.00
Over 1.5 %82%96%69%
Over 2.5 %68%79%58%
Over 3.5 %52%67%38%
Scored2.362.881.88
Conceded1.040.961.12
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet36%38%35%
Corners9.529.469.58
Cards3.613.543.68
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWD1.50
HomeWLLDD1.84
AwayLLLWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%56%28%
AVG goals3.283.323.24
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.882.161.60
Conceded1.401.161.64
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners10.6610.9210.40
Cards4.404.444.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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