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Arsenal vs Newcastle Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 1-0
Arsenal
Arsenal
Vs
62%
22%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Referee: S Barrott

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arsenal win✓ Hit
62.3%
Avg Implied 68.3% · @ 1.38
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 4.87
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
15.2%
Avg Implied 12.4% · @ 7.59
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D20W20W02L12L10W12L00D12LA·MAN07/03A·BAY11/03H·EVE14/03H·BAY17/03H·MAN22/03A·SOU04/04A·SPO07/04H·BOU11/04H·SPO15/04A·MAN19/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.971.800.872.071.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.301.100.831.002.001.25
vs Weaker (20)2.250.902.440.782.091.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-732W23L21W13L11D10W27L12L12L12LH·QAR24/02H·EVE28/02H·MAN04/03H·MAN07/03H·BAR10/03A·CHE14/03A·BAR18/03H·SUN22/03A·CRY12/04H·BOU18/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.801.751.811.571.79
vs Stronger (8)1.002.880.672.001.203.40
vs Similar (19)1.741.471.921.751.431.00
vs Weaker (3)3.001.003.002.003.000.50
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.8%
@ 1.65-0.1%
Under 2.5
43.2%
@ 2.18+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
Arsenal goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
01234
06.2%3.8%2.2%0.7%0.2%
19.6%11%4.5%1.4%0.3%
211%9.9%4.6%1.4%0.3%
37.3%6.7%3.1%1.0%0.2%
43.7%3.4%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Arsenal is 0.95 points better than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Arsenal is 0.47 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Arsenal is 0.74 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.45).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Arsenal is 4.1 percentage points better than Newcastle in terms of average possession (56% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ArsenalArsenal

For 6.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

180588310143943310883328413111171361811512A·MANH·SPOH·BOUA·SPOA·SOUH·MANH·BAYH·EVEA·BAYA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

702211311231134244141341076A·MANH·SPOH·BOUA·SPOA·SOUH·MANH·BAYH·EVEA·BAYA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.4

⚠️ Fouls

30012571112181011119121048111210961617183021202212231922A·MANH·SPOH·BOUA·SPOA·SOUH·MANH·BAYH·EVEA·BAYA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

For 4.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1502342952618943924729656148913126915H·BOUA·CRYH·SUNA·BARA·CHEH·BARH·MANH·MANH·EVEH·QAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

70243163122212332316374432651H·BOUA·CRYH·SUNA·BARA·CHEH·BARH·MANH·MANH·EVEH·QAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

310111212178191391091491216151615710423292722192328312214H·BOUA·CRYH·SUNA·BARA·CHEH·BARH·MANH·MANH·EVEH·QAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.29.83.32.83.721.722.620.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)9.48.910.43.93.25.022.822.723.0
vs Weaker (36)9.59.39.73.02.63.421.322.620.3
% over line50%48%52%44%44%44%54%60%48%
% under line50%52%48%56%56%56%46%40%52%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.411.611.04.14.43.821.422.719.8
vs Stronger (12)12.514.110.23.94.03.822.122.421.6
vs Similar (33)10.810.411.14.54.84.021.423.419.0
vs Weaker (5)12.612.712.52.42.32.519.819.021.0
% over line64%68%59%56%61%50%50%61%36%
% under line36%32%41%44%39%50%50%39%64%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
West Ham
10.9
Fulham
10.6
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Tottenham
9.9
Chelsea
9.9
Manchester City
9.8
Brentford
9.7
Manchester United
9.7
Everton
9.5
Arsenal
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Leeds
9.4
Burnley
9.4
Aston Villa
9.4
Wolves
9.1
Sunderland
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.6
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Aston Villa
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Nottingham Forest
3.6
West Ham
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Everton
3.5
Liverpool
3.5
Leeds
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Burnley
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.9
Aston Villa
23.7
Bournemouth
23.5
Nottingham Forest
23.5
Tottenham
22.6
Sunderland
22.5
Chelsea
22.5
West Ham
22.4
Brighton
22.3
Leeds
22.0
Manchester United
21.8
Everton
21.7
Arsenal
21.7
Newcastle
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.4
Liverpool
20.8
Manchester City
20.6
Burnley
20.4
Brentford
19.9
Fulham
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.8%
Under 9.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.4%
Under 3.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
39.7%
Under 21.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D00D10W00D01L00D11D00D11DA·MAN07/03A·BAY11/03H·EVE14/03H·BAY17/03H·MAN22/03A·SOU04/04A·SPO07/04H·BOU11/04H·SPO15/04A·MAN19/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.330.870.270.870.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.400.330.331.000.50
vs Weaker (20)1.000.301.220.220.820.36
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L11D11D00D10W23L10W10W01LH·QAR24/02H·EVE28/02H·MAN04/03H·MAN07/03H·BAR10/03A·CHE14/03A·BAR18/03H·SUN22/03A·CRY12/04H·BOU18/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.830.810.691.071.00
vs Stronger (8)0.751.500.330.331.002.20
vs Similar (19)0.790.680.830.830.710.43
vs Weaker (3)2.330.002.000.002.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D20W10W02L11D10W01L00D01LA·MAN07/03A·BAY11/03H·EVE14/03H·BAY17/03H·MAN22/03A·SOU04/04A·SPO07/04H·BOU11/04H·SPO15/04A·MAN19/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.630.930.601.200.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.700.500.671.000.75
vs Weaker (20)1.250.601.220.561.270.64
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D10W02L11D00D04L02L02L11DH·QAR24/02H·EVE28/02H·MAN04/03H·MAN07/03H·BAR10/03A·CHE14/03A·BAR18/03H·SUN22/03A·CRY12/04H·BOU18/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.970.941.120.500.79
vs Stronger (8)0.251.380.331.670.201.20
vs Similar (19)0.950.791.080.920.710.57
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.002.000.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls86.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards85.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls75.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres30%
Kai Havertz26%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Leandro Trossard16%
Mikel Merino15%
Noni Madueke14%
Eberechi Eze14%
Martín Zubimendi9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Magalhães8%
Max Dowman8%
Declan Rice7%
Jurriën Timber7%
Ben White3%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Piero Hincapié3%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kepa Arrizabalaga36%
Riccardo Calafiori19%
Martín Zubimendi14%
Cristhian Mosquera14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Myles Lewis-Skelly14%
Declan Rice13%
Mikel Merino12%
Gabriel Jesus11%
Viktor Gyökeres11%
Ben White10%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Kai Havertz9%
Piero Hincapié8%
Bukayo Saka6%
Leandro Trossard6%
William Saliba6%
Eberechi Eze4%
Noni Madueke2%
David Raya2%
Martin Ødegaard0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Havertz22%
Leandro Trossard20%
Martin Ødegaard19%
Declan Rice15%
Bukayo Saka14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Gabriel Martinelli13%
Myles Lewis-Skelly11%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Mikel Merino9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Ben White7%
Viktor Gyökeres6%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Noni Madueke5%
Gabriel Jesus4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres24%
Bukayo Saka18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Eberechi Eze16%
Max Dowman15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Mikel Merino12%
Noni Madueke10%
Kai Havertz9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Martinelli8%
Martin Ødegaard6%
Jurriën Timber5%
Declan Rice4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Piero Hincapié0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Gordon29%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Harvey Barnes21%
William Osula21%
Nick Woltemade20%
Joelinton12%
Yoane Wissa11%
Jacob Murphy9%
Lewis Miley9%
Malick Thiaw8%
Sven Botman5%
Fabian Schär5%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Dan Burn5%
Sandro Tonali4%
Joe Willock3%
Lewis Hall2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Alex Murphy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton38%
Dan Burn28%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Malick Thiaw17%
Kieran Trippier17%
Joe Willock16%
Yoane Wissa15%
Fabian Schär14%
Aaron Ramsdale14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Jacob Ramsey12%
Anthony Gordon9%
Lewis Hall9%
Nick Pope6%
Sven Botman5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Harvey Barnes4%
Anthony Elanga2%
Nick Woltemade2%
Emil Krafth0%
William Osula0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Guimarães15%
Lewis Miley12%
Dan Burn12%
Sandro Tonali12%
Kieran Trippier11%
Jacob Murphy11%
Anthony Gordon11%
Harvey Barnes11%
Nick Woltemade8%
Joe Willock8%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Joelinton5%
Lewis Hall4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Yoane Wissa4%
William Osula3%
Nick Pope3%
Sven Botman3%
Anthony Elanga2%
Fabian Schär0%
Emil Krafth0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Alex Murphy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony Gordon24%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Harvey Barnes14%
Jacob Murphy13%
Fabian Schär10%
Joelinton7%
Nick Woltemade6%
William Osula6%
Sandro Tonali4%
Yoane Wissa4%
Sven Botman3%
Joe Willock3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Dan Burn0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Arsenal's squad is €839m more valuable than Newcastle's (€1406m vs €568m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Arsenal's attack is €374m more valuable than Newcastle's (€608m vs €234m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Arsenal's midfield is €166m more valuable than Newcastle's (€290m vs €124m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Arsenal's defence is €299m more valuable than Newcastle's (€508m vs €210m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
ARS wins
0
Draws
4
NEW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arsenal vs Newcastle · H/A from ARS
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25ANewcastle Vs ARS1-2
18/05/25HARS Vs Newcastle1-0
05/02/25ANewcastle Vs ARS2-0
07/01/25HARS Vs Newcastle0-2
02/11/24ANewcastle Vs ARS1-0
24/02/24HARS Vs Newcastle4-1
04/11/23ANewcastle Vs ARS1-0
07/05/23ANewcastle Vs ARS0-2

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26AManchester City Vs ARS2-1
15/04/26HARS Vs Sporting CP0-0
11/04/26HARS Vs Bournemouth1-2
07/04/26ASporting CP Vs ARS0-1
04/04/26ASouthampton Vs ARS2-1
22/03/26HARS Vs Manchester City0-2
17/03/26HARS Vs Bayer Leverkusen2-0
14/03/26HARS Vs Everton2-0
11/03/26ABayer Leverkusen Vs ARS1-1
07/03/26AMansfield Vs ARS1-2

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HNEW Vs Bournemouth1-2
12/04/26ACrystal Palace Vs NEW2-1
22/03/26HNEW Vs Sunderland1-2
18/03/26ABarcelona Vs NEW7-2
14/03/26AChelsea Vs NEW0-1
10/03/26HNEW Vs Barcelona1-1
07/03/26HNEW Vs Manchester City1-3
04/03/26HNEW Vs Manchester United2-1
28/02/26HNEW Vs Everton2-3
24/02/26HNEW Vs Qarabag3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL2.24
HomeWWLLD2.32
AwayWDLWL2.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%72%64%
AVG goals2.762.682.84
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.982.001.96
Conceded0.780.680.88
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet46%52%40%
Corners9.509.169.84
Cards3.332.843.83
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.48
HomeWLDLL1.75
AwayWLWLL1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%32%
AVG goals3.303.253.36
Over 1.5 %88%96%77%
Over 2.5 %72%71%73%
Over 3.5 %40%32%50%
Scored1.761.861.64
Conceded1.541.391.73
BTTS70%68%73%
Clean Sheet22%25%18%
Corners11.3611.6111.05
Cards4.124.363.82

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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