Arsenal’s recent unbeaten run of five games, highlighted by a 3-0 win over Coventry, gives the model a clear edge for a home victory. The Premier League fixture carries a 62% probability of Arsenal winning, 20% for a draw and 18% for Tottenham, making the home win the model’s pick. The expected total of 3.6 goals points to an attacking affair, with the most likely scoreline 2-1 for Arsenal at 9.4%. Arsenal’s home form against weaker opposition shows an average of 2.55 goals scored and 1.27 conceded, while Tottenham’s away form against stronger teams yields 2.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 88.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 87.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 83.4%, Under 10.5 corners at 79.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 74.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 73.1% and Over 2.5 cards at 71.0%. Each selection is listed with its probability, and the model’s single most likely result remains a home win.
Results analysis
Arsenal’s unbeaten run of five games ended in a 2-2 draw, a shock that left the model’s favourite - a home win at 62% - wrong. The match finished 2-2, confirming the actual result of a draw. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, with an 88.3% probability, hit, while its picks for Under 11.5 corners, Under 5.5 cards, Under 10.5 corners, Under 25.5 fouls, Over 19.5 fouls, and Over 2.5 cards, with probabilities of 87.4%, 83.4%, 79.6%, 74.2%, 73.1%, and 71.0% respectively, missed. Arsenal’s strong home form, averaging 2.55 goals scored and 1.27 conceded, contrasted with Tottenham’s away struggles, averaging 2.0 scored and 4.0 conceded. The upset underlined the unpredictability of the Premier League.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal win✗ Miss
61.8%
Avg Implied 58.7% · @ 1.64
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
20.3%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.37
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tottenham win✗ Miss
17.8%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 5.00
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.20
2.53
1.29
1.62
1.08
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
2.22
1.78
2.50
1.33
1.67
2.67
vs Weaker (21)
2.10
0.95
2.55
1.27
1.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.60
1.43
1.07
2.00
2.06
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
4.00
vs Similar (22)
1.73
1.41
1.55
1.09
1.91
1.73
vs Weaker (5)
2.20
2.20
2.00
1.00
2.25
2.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.3%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.9%
@ 1.52+7.1%
Under 2.5
30.1%
@ 2.57-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.7%
Under 3.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.0%
2-2 ✓
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
Arsenal goals ↓
Tottenham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
2.6%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
1
5.6%
8.7%
4.9%
2.0%
0.6%
2
7.6%
9.4%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
3
6.0%
7.5%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
4
3.6%
4.4%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Tottenham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Arsenal is 0.61 points better than Tottenham in terms of average points per game (2.34 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Arsenal is 0.45 goals better than Tottenham in terms of goals scored per game (2.39 vs 1.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Arsenal is 0.84 goals better than Tottenham in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Arsenal is 3.3 percentage points worse than Tottenham in terms of average possession (59% vs 62%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal
For 7.4 · Against 3.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
For 5.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.1
9.6
3.7
3.5
3.9
20.9
20.4
21.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
9.2
9.8
8.5
4.9
4.1
5.8
21.5
20.0
23.5
vs Weaker (36)
10.1
10.3
9.9
3.2
3.2
3.3
20.6
20.6
20.7
% over line
50%
54%
46%
52%
50%
54%
44%
38%
50%
% under line
50%
46%
54%
48%
50%
46%
56%
62%
50%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.5
4.5
4.9
4.1
22.0
22.8
21.2
vs Stronger (4)
8.8
8.5
9.0
4.8
6.0
3.5
27.0
32.0
22.0
vs Similar (39)
10.5
10.3
10.7
4.3
4.5
4.0
21.3
22.2
20.6
vs Weaker (7)
11.4
12.7
10.5
5.3
6.3
4.5
22.9
21.0
24.2
% over line
62%
58%
65%
60%
67%
54%
48%
54%
42%
% under line
38%
42%
35%
40%
33%
46%
52%
46%
58%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
West Ham
11.0
Manchester United
10.9
Newcastle
10.9
Sheffield United
10.8
Everton
10.7
Luton
10.7
Bournemouth
10.6
Tottenham
10.5
Brighton
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Liverpool
10.1
Wolves
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Arsenal
9.9
Aston Villa
9.8
Chelsea
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.5
Manchester City
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Crystal Palace
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Wolves
4.2
Brighton
4.2
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.1
Burnley
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Newcastle
3.9
Luton
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Manchester United
3.6
Bournemouth
3.5
Brentford
3.2
Liverpool
3.0
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Chelsea
23.5
Luton
22.7
Nottingham Forest
22.4
Fulham
22.2
Newcastle
22.1
Brighton
22.0
Tottenham
22.0
Wolves
21.9
Bournemouth
21.1
Burnley
20.9
Arsenal
20.9
Everton
20.7
Sheffield United
20.3
Brentford
20.2
Liverpool
20.1
Manchester City
20.0
Manchester United
19.6
West Ham
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
30.8%
Under 9.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.0%
Under 3.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.2%
Under 21.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.50
1.24
0.41
0.92
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.44
0.78
1.67
0.50
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (21)
0.95
0.38
1.00
0.36
0.90
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.50
0.43
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.77
0.55
0.36
0.55
1.18
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.70
1.29
0.88
0.69
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.00
0.83
0.83
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (21)
1.14
0.57
1.55
0.91
0.70
0.20
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.83
0.93
0.64
1.25
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (22)
1.18
0.64
1.00
0.73
1.36
0.55
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.40
2.00
1.00
1.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bukayo Saka41%
Leandro Trossard37%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Martin Ødegaard23%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Declan Rice15%
Edward Nketiah12%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Fábio Vieira7%
Gabriel Magalhães7%
Benjamin White6%
William Saliba4%
Jakub Kiwior4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko3%
Jorginho3%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
David Raya0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kai Havertz28%
Thomas Partey27%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Benjamin White21%
Declan Rice15%
William Saliba10%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Bukayo Saka9%
Edward Nketiah9%
Gabriel Magalhães9%
Jakub Kiwior7%
Jorginho6%
Reiss Nelson5%
David Raya5%
Leandro Trossard5%
Martin Ødegaard5%
Takehiro Tomiyasu4%
Gabriel Martinelli2%
Cédric Soares0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Fábio Vieira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka27%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Martin Ødegaard18%
Declan Rice17%
Kai Havertz15%
Fábio Vieira14%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Jakub Kiwior11%
Reiss Nelson10%
Benjamin White9%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Emile Smith Rowe6%
Oleksandr Zinchenko6%
Edward Nketiah6%
Jorginho6%
Leandro Trossard5%
William Saliba2%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
David Raya0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriel Jesus26%
Bukayo Saka23%
Martin Ødegaard16%
Edward Nketiah15%
Kai Havertz13%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Leandro Trossard12%
Fábio Vieira7%
Declan Rice6%
Gabriel Magalhães4%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Jorginho0%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
David Raya0%
Benjamin White0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Heung-min Son40%
Richarlison32%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Brennan Johnson16%
Timo Werner15%
Cristian Romero15%
James Maddison14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Micky van de Ven11%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Pedro Porro9%
Destiny Udogie7%
Ben Davies6%
Emerson Royal5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Manor Solomon0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Perišić40%
Jamie Donley33%
Yves Bissouma32%
Rodrigo Bentancur30%
Pape Matar Sarr26%
Destiny Udogie21%
Cristian Romero21%
Manor Solomon20%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Micky van de Ven19%
Emerson Royal18%
James Maddison18%
Oliver Skipp14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Ben Davies12%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg11%
Radu Drăguşin11%
Richarlison11%
Brennan Johnson9%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pedro Porro9%
Timo Werner8%
Guglielmo Vicario5%
Heung-min Son3%
Eric Dier0%
Bryan Gil0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brennan Johnson28%
James Maddison25%
Timo Werner23%
Heung-min Son23%
Ivan Perišić20%
Manor Solomon20%
Pedro Porro20%
Richarlison14%
Destiny Udogie11%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Dejan Kulusevski8%
Giovani Lo Celso5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Ben Davies0%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Emerson Royal0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Cristian Romero0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timo Werner31%
Heung-min Son23%
Richarlison21%
Manor Solomon20%
Brennan Johnson12%
Dejan Kulusevski11%
James Maddison11%
Pedro Porro9%
Ben Davies6%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Yves Bissouma4%
Cristian Romero3%
Pape Matar Sarr3%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Emerson Royal0%
Giovani Lo Celso0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Arsenal's squad is €486m more valuable than Tottenham's (€1406m vs €920m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Arsenal's attack is €358m more valuable than Tottenham's (€608m vs €250m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Arsenal's midfield is €8m more valuable than Tottenham's (€290m vs €282m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Arsenal's defence is €120m more valuable than Tottenham's (€508m vs €388m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Newcastle
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United