Arsenal’s 80% home-win probability makes them the clear favourite, a figure that reflects their dominant 2.27 goals scored per match at home against weaker opposition and only 0.45 conceded. Wolves, struggling away with a 0.33 scoring average and 1.17 conceded against stronger teams, face a daunting venue disadvantage. The model’s pick is a home win, and the most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 13.4% chance. The expected total of 3.3 goals suggests a lively game, with the most probable total of three goals carrying a 22% probability. Arsenal’s recent unbeaten run of five, capped by a 3-0 win over Coventry, underlines their form, while Wolves’ three-game winning streak, highlighted by a 4-1 victory over Stoke, shows their resilience. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 90.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 84.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.6%, Under 4.5 cards at 80.3%, and the Home win at 79.6%. The home win probability is 80%, the draw 15%, and the away win 6%.
Results analysis
Arsenal’s unbeaten run in their last five matches, highlighted by a 3-0 win over Coventry, set the stage for a home victory that the model predicted correctly. The favourite, Home win, came through with an 80% probability, and the final 2-1 score matched that expectation. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 5.5 cards at 90.9% hit, Over 1.5 at 84.3% hit, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.6% hit, Under 4.5 cards at 80.3% hit, and the Home win pick at 79.6% hit. The most likely scoreline of 3-0 at 13.4% did not materialise, but the overall outcome aligned with the forecast, underscoring the model’s accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal win✓ Hit
79.6%
Avg Implied 85.0% · @ 1.12
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.5%
Avg Implied 10.7% · @ 8.90
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wolves win✗ Miss
5.9%
Avg Implied 4.3% · @ 22.31
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
0.67
2.20
0.53
1.67
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.44
1.00
2.00
0.75
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (21)
2.14
0.52
2.27
0.45
2.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.77
1.47
1.94
0.69
1.54
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.10
2.00
3.50
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (20)
1.20
1.60
1.31
1.46
1.00
1.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.2%
@ 1.47-0.7%
Under 2.5
36.8%
@ 2.61+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.7%
No
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.4%
3-0
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1 ✓
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
Arsenal goals ↓
Wolves goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
9.5%
6.9%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
2
13%
8.3%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
3
12%
7.3%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
4
7.8%
4.8%
1.5%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Wolves goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Arsenal is 1.71 points better than Wolves in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 0.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Arsenal is 1.16 goals better than Wolves in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Arsenal is 1.08 goals better than Wolves in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal
For 4.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 13.7 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolves
For 2.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 10.3 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.3
9.6
3.2
3.3
3.2
22.0
21.3
22.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
8.3
8.0
8.6
4.1
3.8
4.5
22.6
21.9
23.4
vs Weaker (34)
10.0
9.9
10.1
2.8
3.1
2.5
21.7
21.1
22.3
% over line
45%
40%
50%
46%
52%
40%
51%
48%
54%
% under line
55%
60%
50%
54%
48%
60%
49%
52%
46%
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.2
9.9
3.6
4.0
3.3
24.4
23.9
25.0
vs Stronger (17)
9.6
8.1
10.6
4.2
4.9
3.7
25.5
26.9
24.6
vs Similar (33)
8.6
8.2
9.3
3.4
3.6
3.0
23.8
22.8
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
42%
57%
50%
54%
46%
74%
73%
76%
% under line
51%
58%
43%
50%
46%
54%
26%
27%
24%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
Tottenham
10.5
West Ham
10.4
Bournemouth
10.4
Liverpool
10.4
Brentford
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Fulham
10.0
Brighton
9.9
Aston Villa
9.9
Everton
9.8
Manchester United
9.7
Sunderland
9.5
Arsenal
9.4
Manchester City
9.4
Wolves
9.3
Burnley
9.3
Leeds
9.2
Crystal Palace
9.2
Chelsea
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.9
Chelsea
4.5
Sunderland
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Brighton
4.2
Wolves
4.0
Aston Villa
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Tottenham
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Newcastle
3.7
Everton
3.7
Liverpool
3.5
West Ham
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
Fulham
3.5
Burnley
3.4
Arsenal
3.4
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.5
Wolves
24.0
Aston Villa
23.2
Brighton
22.7
Chelsea
22.6
Tottenham
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.5
Sunderland
22.4
Arsenal
22.2
Everton
22.1
Manchester United
22.0
Leeds
22.0
Burnley
22.0
West Ham
21.8
Newcastle
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.1
Fulham
20.6
Liverpool
20.6
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.7%
Under 21.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
0.87
0.27
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.67
0.25
0.75
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
0.86
0.19
1.09
0.09
0.60
0.30
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.76
0.94
0.15
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.80
0.75
1.50
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.85
0.77
0.77
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.33
1.33
0.27
1.20
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.22
0.33
1.75
0.00
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
1.29
0.33
1.18
0.36
1.40
0.30
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.71
1.00
0.54
0.85
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.30
1.25
2.00
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
0.54
0.69
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
79.6%
1.12
-
-
-
-
-
-5.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres30%
Kai Havertz26%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Leandro Trossard16%
Mikel Merino15%
Noni Madueke14%
Eberechi Eze14%
Martín Zubimendi9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Magalhães8%
Max Dowman8%
Declan Rice7%
Jurriën Timber7%
Ben White3%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Piero Hincapié3%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kepa Arrizabalaga36%
Riccardo Calafiori19%
Martín Zubimendi14%
Cristhian Mosquera14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Myles Lewis-Skelly14%
Declan Rice13%
Mikel Merino12%
Gabriel Jesus11%
Viktor Gyökeres11%
Ben White10%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Kai Havertz9%
Piero Hincapié8%
Bukayo Saka6%
Leandro Trossard6%
William Saliba6%
Eberechi Eze4%
Noni Madueke2%
David Raya2%
Martin Ødegaard0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Havertz22%
Leandro Trossard20%
Martin Ødegaard19%
Declan Rice15%
Bukayo Saka14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Gabriel Martinelli13%
Myles Lewis-Skelly11%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Mikel Merino9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Ben White7%
Viktor Gyökeres6%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Noni Madueke5%
Gabriel Jesus4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres24%
Bukayo Saka18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Eberechi Eze16%
Max Dowman15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Mikel Merino12%
Noni Madueke10%
Kai Havertz9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Martinelli8%
Martin Ødegaard6%
Jurriën Timber5%
Declan Rice4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Piero Hincapié0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Edozie33%
Rodrigo Gomes19%
Tolu Arokodare16%
Marshall Munetsi13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Santiago Bueno12%
Jørgen Strand Larsen12%
Mateus Mané10%
Hwang Hee-chan10%
Jhon Arias8%
Ladislav Krejčí6%
David Møller Wolfe4%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Hugo Bueno3%
André3%
João Gomes2%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
Jackson Tchatchoua0%
Fer López0%
Pedro Lima0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yerson Mosquera42%
André38%
João Gomes29%
Matt Doherty27%
Hwang Hee-chan19%
Adam Armstrong19%
Santiago Bueno18%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde16%
Ladislav Krejčí16%
Marshall Munetsi13%
Emmanuel Agbadou12%
Toti Gomes9%
José Sá8%
Jackson Tchatchoua8%
Fer López8%
Hugo Bueno8%
Angel Gomes8%
Jørgen Strand Larsen8%
Jhon Arias4%
David Møller Wolfe4%
Rodrigo Gomes4%
Tolu Arokodare3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Tom Edozie0%
Pedro Lima0%
Mateus Mané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hwang Hee-chan13%
Adam Armstrong12%
David Møller Wolfe12%
Fer López8%
Jørgen Strand Larsen8%
João Gomes7%
Marshall Munetsi7%
Sam Johnstone6%
Emmanuel Agbadou6%
Jackson Tchatchoua6%
Tolu Arokodare5%
Hugo Bueno5%
Jhon Arias4%
Mateus Mané3%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Ladislav Krejčí3%
Santiago Bueno3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Matt Doherty0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Tom Edozie0%
Pedro Lima0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tolu Arokodare18%
Mateus Mané13%
Jørgen Strand Larsen12%
Rodrigo Gomes11%
Adam Armstrong6%
Jhon Arias4%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Hwang Hee-chan3%
Yerson Mosquera3%
Ladislav Krejčí3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Marshall Munetsi0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Santiago Bueno0%
João Gomes0%
David Møller Wolfe0%
André0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Jackson Tchatchoua0%
Tom Edozie0%
Fer López0%
Pedro Lima0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Arsenal's squad is €1133m more valuable than Wolves's (€1406m vs €273m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Arsenal's attack is €529m more valuable than Wolves's (€608m vs €79m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Arsenal's midfield is €211m more valuable than Wolves's (€290m vs €79m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Arsenal's defence is €393m more valuable than Wolves's (€508m vs €116m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley