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Arys vs Aktobe Jas Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 2-3
Arys
Arys
Vs
50%
26%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Arys win✗ Miss
49.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas win✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ArysArys

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L04L60W21W03L11D32W02L00D10WA·TAR22/09H·TUR27/09A·YAS02/10H·AKT07/10A·YEL20/10H·EKI24/10A·KHA31/10H·KAS05/04H·KHA11/04A·ALT18/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.372.071.131.731.602.40
vs Stronger (7)0.711.710.751.000.672.67
vs Similar (23)1.572.171.272.001.832.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L30W12L24L13L41W13L11D02L03LA·KYR27/09H·AKA02/10A·ARY07/10H·SPO20/10A·AKZ24/10H·AST31/10A·KAI04/04H·YAS11/04H·KYR18/04A·EKI25/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.771.532.400.733.13
vs Stronger (22)0.953.051.092.820.823.27
vs Similar (8)1.622.002.751.250.502.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.0%
No
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
Arys goals ↓
Aktobe Jas goals →
01234
06.2%5.1%3.7%1.5%0.4%
18.0%12%6.5%2.6%0.8%
28.0%9.6%5.8%2.3%0.7%
34.7%5.7%3.4%1.4%0.4%
42.1%2.5%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arys goals (down), columns = Aktobe Jas goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Arys is 0.26 points better than Aktobe Jas in terms of average points per game (0.68 vs 0.41).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Arys is 0.14 goals better than Aktobe Jas in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.86).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Arys is 0.30 goals better than Aktobe Jas in terms of goals conceded per game (2.29 vs 2.59).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArysArys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L30W00D00D11D22D00D00D10WA·TAR22/09H·TUR27/09A·YAS02/10H·AKT07/10A·YEL20/10H·EKI24/10A·KHA31/10H·KAS05/04H·KHA11/04A·ALT18/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.400.601.000.87
vs Stronger (7)0.290.140.000.250.670.00
vs Similar (23)0.830.910.550.731.081.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L20W00D11D01L01L00D01L01LH·ZHE21/09A·KYR27/09H·AKA02/10A·ARY07/10H·SPO20/10A·AKZ24/10H·AST31/10H·YAS11/04H·KYR18/04A·EKI25/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.300.561.250.211.36
vs Stronger (22)0.501.500.731.550.271.45
vs Similar (8)0.120.750.200.600.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArysArys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L30W21W03L00D10W02L00D00DA·TAR22/09H·TUR27/09A·YAS02/10H·AKT07/10A·YEL20/10H·EKI24/10A·KHA31/10H·KAS05/04H·KHA11/04A·ALT18/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.330.731.130.601.53
vs Stronger (7)0.431.570.750.750.002.67
vs Similar (23)0.741.260.731.270.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L01L10W12L13L12L40W11D01L02LH·ZHE21/09A·KYR27/09H·AKA02/10A·ARY07/10H·SPO20/10A·AKZ24/10H·AST31/10H·YAS11/04H·KYR18/04A·EKI25/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.401.001.060.501.79
vs Stronger (22)0.451.550.361.270.551.82
vs Similar (8)1.621.002.400.600.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ARY wins
0
Draws
1
AJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arys vs Aktobe Jas · H/A from ARY
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23HARY Vs Aktobe Jas2-1
30/06/23AAktobe Jas Vs ARY5-1

ArysArys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/24AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs ARY0-1
11/04/24HARY Vs Khan Tengri0-0
05/04/24HARY Vs Kaspiy0-2
31/10/23AKhan Tengri Vs ARY2-3
24/10/23HARY Vs Ekibastuz1-1
20/10/23AYelimay Semey Vs ARY3-0
07/10/23HARY Vs Aktobe Jas2-1
02/10/23AYassy Turkistan Vs ARY0-6
27/09/23HARY Vs Turan Turkistan0-4
22/09/23ATaraz Vs ARY2-1

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/24AEkibastuz Vs AJ3-0
18/04/24HAJ Vs Kyran0-2
11/04/24HAJ Vs Yassy Turkistan1-1
04/04/24AKaisar II Vs AJ3-1
31/10/23HAJ Vs Astana II4-1
24/10/23AAkzhayik Vs AJ3-1
20/10/23HAJ Vs Sport Academy Kairat2-4
07/10/23AArys Vs AJ2-1
02/10/23HAJ Vs Akademiya Ontustik3-0
27/09/23AKyran Vs AJ2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.16
HomeLWDLD0.92
AwayLWLWW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%21%42%
AVG goals3.242.883.58
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %38%33%42%
Scored1.321.081.54
Conceded1.921.792.04
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet26%21%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL0.75
HomeWLWDL1.06
AwayLLLLL0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%31%12%
AVG goals3.913.883.94
Over 1.5 %91%94%88%
Over 2.5 %75%75%75%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.221.560.88
Conceded2.692.313.06
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet9%12%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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