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Arys vs Akzhayik Result & Analysis

Date: 19/06/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Arys
Arys
Vs
48%
39%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Akzhayik
Akzhayik
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arys win✗ Miss
47.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik win✗ Miss
13.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ArysArys

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L03L00D00D10W00D33D20W02LH·TAR05/03H·KAS17/03A·FK 04/04H·KYZ10/04H·ORD16/04A·KAI23/04H·ATY27/04A·FC 01/05H·SHA08/05A·FK 14/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.330.171.002.00
vs Stronger (5)0.801.400.000.501.332.00
vs Similar (5)0.400.400.500.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W10W10W01L12L00D02L02LA·ORD17/03H·KAI04/04A·ATY09/04H·FC 16/04A·SHA23/04H·FK 27/04A·AKT02/05H·MAQ08/05A·TAR15/05A·KYZ22/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.910.250.250.431.29
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.500.000.331.67
vs Similar (6)0.330.830.000.500.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%17%25%33%27%033%125%211%34%41%50%6+
The model estimates around 1.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (33%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.0%
Under 1.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.4%
Under 2.5
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
4.8%
Under 3.5
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
21.0%
No
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
26.9%
1-0
23.8%
2-0
11.9%
1-1 ✓
10.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
0-2
2.0%
Arys goals ↓
Akzhayik goals →
01234
027%9.2%2.0%0.3%0.0%
124%11%1.9%0.3%0.0%
212%4.7%0.9%0.1%0.0%
33.8%1.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%
40.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arys goals (down), columns = Akzhayik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Astana
2.08
Aktobe
2.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.81
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Ordabasy
1.46
FK Aksu
1.38
Maqtaaral
1.19
Kaspiy
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.15
Shakhter Karagandy
1.15
Atyrau
1.12
Taraz
1.08
Arys
1.08
Akzhayik
0.96
Arys is 0.12 points better than Akzhayik in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 0.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
2.50
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.77
Aktobe
1.65
Ordabasy
1.38
Kairat Almaty
1.31
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.27
FK Aksu
1.23
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Atyrau
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.08
Taraz
1.04
Kaspiy
1.00
Arys
0.96
Akzhayik
0.73
Arys is 0.23 goals better than Akzhayik in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 0.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.81
Aktobe
1.08
Taraz
1.12
Akzhayik
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.35
Arys
1.35
Kairat Almaty
1.38
FK Aksu
1.42
Maqtaaral
1.46
Ordabasy
1.50
Atyrau
1.50
Kaspiy
1.62
Arys is 0.15 goals worse than Akzhayik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ArysArys

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AkzhayikAkzhayik

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ArysArys

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkzhayikAkzhayik

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (11)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArysArys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L00D00D10W00D31W10W01LH·TAR05/03H·KAS17/03A·FK 04/04H·KYZ10/04H·ORD16/04A·KAI23/04H·ATY27/04A·FC 01/05H·SHA08/05A·FK 14/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.170.171.000.75
vs Stronger (5)0.800.600.000.501.330.67
vs Similar (5)0.200.200.250.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W10W00D00D10W00D01L01LA·ORD17/03H·KAI04/04A·ATY09/04H·FC 16/04A·SHA23/04H·FK 27/04A·AKT02/05H·MAQ08/05A·TAR15/05A·KYZ22/05
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.180.250.000.290.29
vs Stronger (5)0.400.000.500.000.330.00
vs Similar (6)0.170.330.000.000.250.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %82% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArysArys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L00D00D00D00D02L10W01LH·TAR05/03H·KAS17/03A·FK 04/04H·KYZ10/04H·ORD16/04A·KAI23/04H·ATY27/04A·FC 01/05H·SHA08/05A·FK 14/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.100.500.170.000.001.25
vs Stronger (5)0.000.800.000.000.001.33
vs Similar (5)0.200.200.250.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D10W01L02L00D01L01LA·ORD17/03H·KAI04/04A·ATY09/04H·FC 16/04A·SHA23/04H·FK 27/04A·AKT02/05H·MAQ08/05A·TAR15/05A·KYZ22/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.090.730.000.250.141.00
vs Stronger (5)0.001.000.000.000.001.67
vs Similar (6)0.170.500.000.500.250.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.595.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.584.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS No79.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ARY wins
0
Draws
0
AKZ wins

Head-to-head

Arys vs Akzhayik · H/A from ARY
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ArysArys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/22AFK Aksu Vs ARY2-0
08/05/22HARY Vs Shakhter Karagandy2-0
01/05/22AFC Astana Vs ARY3-3
27/04/22HARY Vs Atyrau0-0
23/04/22AKairat Almaty Vs ARY0-1
16/04/22HARY Vs Ordabasy0-0
10/04/22HARY Vs Kyzyl-Zhar0-0
04/04/22AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs ARY3-0
17/03/22HARY Vs Kaspiy0-1
05/03/22HARY Vs Taraz0-0

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/22AKyzyl-Zhar Vs AKZ2-0
15/05/22ATaraz Vs AKZ2-0
08/05/22HAKZ Vs Maqtaaral0-0
02/05/22AAktobe Vs AKZ2-1
27/04/22HAKZ Vs FK Aksu0-1
23/04/22AShakhter Karagandy Vs AKZ0-1
16/04/22HAKZ Vs FC Astana1-0
09/04/22AAtyrau Vs AKZ0-1
04/04/22HAKZ Vs Kairat Almaty0-0
17/03/22AOrdabasy Vs AKZ2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.10
HomeLDDDW1.17
AwayLWDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%17%25%
AVG goals1.500.503.00
Over 1.5 %40%17%75%
Over 2.5 %20%0%50%
Over 3.5 %10%0%25%
Scored0.600.331.00
Conceded0.900.172.00
BTTS10%0%25%
Clean Sheet60%83%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Akzhayik
Akzhayik
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.00
HomeDWLD1.25
AwayWWLLL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%25%29%
AVG goals1.270.501.71
Over 1.5 %36%0%57%
Over 2.5 %9%0%14%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.360.250.43
Conceded0.910.251.29
BTTS9%0%14%
Clean Sheet45%75%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC AstanaFC Astana2654
62%
2.1
6521+44
3.3
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.50.8
-
2AktobeAktobe2652
62%
2.0
4328+15
2.7
77%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.71.1
-
3FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2647
54%
1.8
4633+13
3.0
85%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.81.3
-
4Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2642
46%
1.6
3436-2
2.7
81%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.31.4
-
5OrdabasyOrdabasy2638
42%
1.5
3639-3
2.9
77%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.41.5
-
6FK AksuFK Aksu2636
42%
1.4
3237-5
2.7
69%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7MaqtaaralMaqtaaral2631
31%
1.2
2838-10
2.5
69%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
8KaspiyKaspiy2631
35%
1.2
2642-16
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.01.6
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2630
27%
1.2
3332+1
2.5
73%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.2
-
10Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2630
31%
1.2
3135-4
2.5
65%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
11AtyrauAtyrau2629
27%
1.1
3039-9
2.7
77%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.5
-
12TarazTaraz2628
23%
1.1
2729-2
2.2
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.1
-
13ArysArys2628
23%
1.1
2535-10
2.3
69%
38%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
14AkzhayikAkzhayik2625
23%
1.0
1931-12
1.9
54%
27%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.2
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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