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Arys vs Akzhayik Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 0-1
Arys
Arys
Vs
39%
28%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Akzhayik
Akzhayik
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Arys win✗ Miss
39.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik win✓ Hit
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ArysArys

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-701L17L11D03L21W23L12L32W10W12LH·ALT19/07A·OKZ25/07H·YAS02/08A·TAR08/08H·KAI16/08A·KHA23/08H·EKI30/08H·SD 06/09A·AKT20/09A·AKZ23/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.071.141.711.252.38
vs Stronger (6)0.832.671.001.000.753.50
vs Similar (24)1.291.921.171.831.422.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L02L03L31W23L12L01L10W21WH·SD 17/07H·TAR26/07A·OKZ02/08A·ZHE08/08H·YAS15/08A·SPO22/08A·ALT05/09A·KHA13/09H·KAI19/09H·ARY23/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.531.071.270.931.80
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.961.480.931.291.001.69
vs Weaker (2)1.502.003.001.000.003.00
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-1 ✓
7.0%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
Arys goals ↓
Akzhayik goals →
01234
07.4%7.0%5.4%2.4%0.8%
17.8%13%7.9%3.5%1.2%
26.6%8.7%5.8%2.6%0.8%
33.2%4.2%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.2%1.5%1.0%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arys goals (down), columns = Akzhayik goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Arys is 0.18 points worse than Akzhayik in terms of average points per game (0.68 vs 0.86).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Arys is 0.14 goals better than Akzhayik in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.86).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Arys is 0.57 goals worse than Akzhayik in terms of goals conceded per game (2.29 vs 1.71).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArysArys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D01L10W12L00D12L00D11DH·ALT19/07A·OKZ25/07H·YAS02/08A·TAR08/08H·KAI16/08A·KHA23/08H·EKI30/08H·SD 06/09A·AKT20/09A·AKZ23/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.800.360.640.500.94
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.830.330.750.670.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L02L10W02L11D00D10W11DH·SD 17/07H·TAR26/07A·OKZ02/08A·ZHE08/08H·YAS15/08A·SPO22/08A·ALT05/09A·KHA13/09H·KAI19/09H·ARY23/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.470.440.310.290.64
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.320.460.400.330.230.62
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArysArys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L15L11D02L11D11D12L20W10W01LH·ALT19/07A·OKZ25/07H·YAS02/08A·TAR08/08H·KAI16/08A·KHA23/08H·EKI30/08H·SD 06/09A·AKT20/09A·AKZ23/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.270.791.070.751.44
vs Stronger (6)0.672.000.501.000.752.50
vs Similar (24)0.791.080.831.080.751.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D01L01L21W21W01L01L00D10WH·SD 17/07H·TAR26/07A·OKZ02/08A·ZHE08/08H·YAS15/08A·SPO22/08A·ALT05/09A·KHA13/09H·KAI19/09H·ARY23/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.690.880.711.07
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.680.960.600.870.771.08
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
ARY wins
2
Draws
2
AKZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arys vs Akzhayik · H/A from ARY
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/24AAkzhayik Vs ARY2-1
25/08/23HARY Vs Akzhayik0-2
14/05/23AAkzhayik Vs ARY0-1
05/10/22AAkzhayik Vs ARY1-1
19/06/22HARY Vs Akzhayik1-1

ArysArys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/24AAkzhayik Vs ARY2-1
20/09/24AAktobe Jas Vs ARY0-1
06/09/24HARY Vs SD Family3-2
30/08/24HARY Vs Ekibastuz1-2
23/08/24AKhan Tengri Vs ARY3-2
16/08/24HARY Vs Kaisar II2-1
08/08/24ATaraz Vs ARY3-0
02/08/24HARY Vs Yassy Turkistan1-1
25/07/24AOkzhetpes Vs ARY7-1
19/07/24HARY Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)0-1

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/24HAKZ Vs Arys2-1
19/09/24HAKZ Vs Kaisar II1-0
13/09/24AKhan Tengri Vs AKZ1-0
05/09/24AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs AKZ2-1
22/08/24ASport Academy Kairat Vs AKZ3-2
15/08/24HAKZ Vs Yassy Turkistan3-1
08/08/24AZhetisay Vs AKZ3-0
02/08/24AOkzhetpes Vs AKZ2-0
26/07/24HAKZ Vs Taraz1-2
17/07/24HAKZ Vs SD Family2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.02
HomeLDWLW1.08
AwayLLLWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%29%31%
AVG goals3.443.003.85
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %62%50%73%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored1.261.251.27
Conceded2.181.752.58
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet22%21%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Akzhayik
Akzhayik
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.30
HomeWLWWW1.56
AwayLLLLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals2.882.842.92
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.541.761.32
Conceded1.341.081.60
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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