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Asane vs Grorud Result & Analysis

Date: 26/05/2022
Time: 16:00
Final 3-2
Asane
Asane
Vs
23%
24%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grorud
Grorud
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asane win✓ Hit
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grorud win✗ Miss
52.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L11D04L11D11D12L32WH·STA04/04A·BRA09/04H·STA19/04A·KON25/04H·STJ08/05A·BRY15/05A·SOG22/05
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.142.290.673.331.501.50
vs Stronger (4)0.752.750.504.501.001.00
vs Similar (3)1.671.671.001.002.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grorud) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrorudGrorud

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D22D12L11D03L11D22DA·KFU03/04H·FRE10/04A·RAN19/04A·RAU24/04H·STA08/05A·STA16/05H·BRY23/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.291.861.332.331.251.50
vs Stronger (5)1.402.001.332.331.501.50
vs Similar (2)1.001.50--1.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.1%
Under 3.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.1%
No
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
Asane goals ↓
Grorud goals →
01234
05.4%7.3%7.9%5.0%2.4%
14.3%11%9.7%6.2%2.9%
23.3%6.2%5.9%3.8%1.8%
31.3%2.5%2.4%1.5%0.7%
40.4%0.8%0.7%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = Grorud goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brann
2.70
Stabaek
1.93
Start
1.74
KFUM Oslo
1.68
Kongsvinger
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.52
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.43
Mjondalen
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.17
Raufoss
1.17
Bryne
1.17
Asane
1.07
Skeid
1.06
Grorud
0.67
Stjørdals-Blink
0.57
Arendal
0.00
Asane is 0.40 points better than Grorud in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brann
3.17
Stabaek
2.07
Start
2.03
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Ranheim
1.63
Fredrikstad
1.53
Skeid
1.47
Kongsvinger
1.42
Asane
1.40
Bryne
1.40
Mjondalen
1.30
Raufoss
1.17
Grorud
1.13
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
0.50
Asane is 0.27 goals better than Grorud in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brann
0.53
Stabaek
0.93
Kongsvinger
1.15
Start
1.26
Mjondalen
1.57
KFUM Oslo
1.61
Fredrikstad
1.70
Sandnes ULF
1.71
Skeid
1.72
Ranheim
1.73
Bryne
1.73
Sogndal
1.77
Raufoss
1.80
Asane
2.23
Grorud
2.30
Stjørdals-Blink
2.37
Arendal
4.00
Asane is 0.07 goals better than Grorud in terms of goals conceded per game (2.23 vs 2.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D02L10W10W11D21WH·STA04/04A·BRA09/04H·STA19/04A·KON25/04H·STJ08/05A·BRY15/05A·SOG22/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.860.331.331.000.50
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.002.000.500.00
vs Similar (3)1.330.671.000.001.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Grorud) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrorudGrorud

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W01L00D01L10W12LA·KFU03/04H·FRE10/04A·RAN19/04A·RAU24/04H·STA08/05A·STA16/05H·BRY23/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.710.671.000.750.50
vs Stronger (5)1.000.800.671.001.500.50
vs Similar (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D02L01L01L01L11DH·STA04/04A·BRA09/04H·STA19/04A·KON25/04H·STJ08/05A·BRY15/05A·SOG22/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.430.332.000.501.00
vs Stronger (4)0.501.750.502.500.501.00
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.001.000.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grorud) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrorudGrorud

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L11D11D02L01L10WA·KFU03/04H·FRE10/04A·RAN19/04A·RAU24/04H·STA08/05A·STA16/05H·BRY23/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.140.671.330.501.00
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.671.330.001.00
vs Similar (2)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %14% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (25)
€27m
FRE (25)
€15m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (10)
€11m
STA (9)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (4)
€7m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (11)
€9m
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ASA wins
0
Draws
0
GRO wins

Head-to-head

Asane vs Grorud · H/A from ASA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/22ASogndal Vs ASA2-3
15/05/22ABryne Vs ASA2-1
08/05/22HASA Vs Stjørdals-Blink1-1
25/04/22AKongsvinger Vs ASA1-1
19/04/22HASA Vs Stabaek0-4
09/04/22ABrann Vs ASA1-1
04/04/22HASA Vs Start1-5

GrorudGrorud

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/22HGRO Vs Bryne2-2
16/05/22AStabaek Vs GRO1-1
08/05/22HGRO Vs Start0-3
24/04/22ARaufoss Vs GRO1-1
19/04/22ARanheim Vs GRO2-1
10/04/22HGRO Vs Fredrikstad2-2
03/04/22AKFUM Oslo Vs GRO2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW0.86
HomeLLD0.33
AwayDDLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%0%25%
AVG goals3.434.003.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %57%67%50%
Over 3.5 %43%67%25%
Scored1.140.671.50
Conceded2.293.331.50
BTTS86%67%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Grorud
Grorud
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDD0.71
HomeDLD0.67
AwayDLDD0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals3.143.672.75
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %71%100%50%
Over 3.5 %43%67%25%
Scored1.291.331.25
Conceded1.862.331.50
BTTS86%67%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrannBrann3081
87%
2.7
9516+79
3.7
97%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
11793.20.5
-
2StabaekStabaek3058
53%
1.9
6228+34
3.0
70%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5232.10.9
-
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3355
48%
1.7
4738+9
2.6
64%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.41.2
-
4StartStart3154
52%
1.7
6339+24
3.3
74%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2342.01.3
-
5KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3152
48%
1.7
6250+12
3.6
90%
87%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.6
-
6Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3147
45%
1.5
5453+1
3.5
84%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.7
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
5553+2
3.6
87%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.8
-
8RanheimRanheim3043
40%
1.4
4952-3
3.4
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.7
-
9MjondalenMjondalen3042
43%
1.4
3947-8
2.9
83%
67%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10FredrikstadFredrikstad3035
30%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.51.7
-
11BryneBryne3035
30%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
93%
70%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.7
-
12RaufossRaufoss3035
30%
1.2
3554-19
3.0
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.8
-
13SkeidSkeid3234
31%
1.1
4755-8
3.2
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
14AsaneAsane3032
27%
1.1
4267-25
3.6
93%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.42.2
-
15GrorudGrorud3020
13%
0.7
3469-35
3.4
93%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.3
-
16Stjørdals-BlinkStjørdals-Blink3017
13%
0.6
3071-41
3.4
83%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
17ArendalArendal20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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