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Asane vs hodd Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 2-2
Asane
Asane
Vs
51%
26%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Asane are tipped to win, with a 51% chance of triumph, a 26% chance of a draw and 24% for hodd. The model expects 2.9 goals overall, most likely a 2-goal total at 24%. The single score most likely to materialise is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability. Asane, playing at home against a similarly-strength opponent, average 2.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded, while hodd, on the road, average 0.73 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals carries a 79.2% probability. The match is set to be a high-scoring affair, with Asane’s home form favouring a win and hodd’s away form suggesting a tough challenge. The final outcome will hinge on whether Asane can convert their offensive potency into a decisive edge.

Results analysis

A surprising draw settled the match, with Asane and hodd finishing 2-2. The pre-match favourite was Asane, given a 51% chance of victory, but the model’s call proved wrong as the game ended in a stalemate. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit its target with a 79.2% probability. Asane’s recent form, a 5-game run of DLWLL, saw them return from a draw, while hodd came off a win, boasting a WLWWW streak. The final score of 2-2 matched the most likely total of 2 goals, though the 2-1 and 1-0 scenarios were less probable. Overall, the prediction missed the decisive outcome but captured the high-scoring nature of the encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asane win✗ Miss
50.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
hodd win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-741W11D02L07L21W01L21W22D21W12LA·OS07/05H·STA12/05A·SOG16/05H·VIK20/05H·RAN25/05A·ODD31/05H·SKE15/06A·LIL18/06H·MOS21/06A·LYN29/06
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.731.641.791.751.69
vs Stronger (13)1.082.080.861.861.332.33
vs Similar (16)2.001.502.431.711.671.33
vs Weaker (1)5.001.00--5.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hoddhodd

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L10W21W02L31W11D22D13L16L31WH·RAN29/04A·LYN04/05H·SOG11/05A·AAL16/05H·ODD25/05A·SKE30/05H·LIL14/06A·MOS18/06A·RAU21/06H·MJO28/06
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.431.501.361.061.50
vs Stronger (8)1.001.381.252.000.750.75
vs Similar (21)1.141.481.601.100.731.82
vs Weaker (1)6.001.00--6.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.7%
Under 2.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 3.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
2-2 ✓
5.5%
Asane goals ↓
hodd goals →
01234
06.8%5.3%3.6%1.4%0.4%
18.8%12%6.3%2.4%0.7%
28.6%9.7%5.5%2.1%0.6%
35.0%5.6%3.2%1.2%0.3%
42.2%2.4%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = hodd goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Asane is 0.07 points worse than hodd in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Asane is 0.13 goals better than hodd in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Asane is 0.03 goals worse than hodd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 1.73).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L00D03L10W01L11D12L00D01LA·OS07/05H·STA12/05A·SOG16/05H·VIK20/05H·RAN25/05A·ODD31/05H·SKE15/06A·LIL18/06H·MOS21/06A·LYN29/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.640.930.560.94
vs Stronger (13)0.381.150.291.140.501.17
vs Similar (16)0.690.751.000.710.440.78
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hoddhodd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W00D20W01L20W02L13L30WH·RAN29/04A·LYN04/05H·SOG11/05A·AAL16/05H·ODD25/05A·SKE30/05H·LIL14/06A·MOS18/06A·RAU21/06H·MJO28/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.701.000.570.560.81
vs Stronger (8)0.620.501.000.750.250.25
vs Similar (21)0.710.811.000.500.451.09
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W02L04L11D00D10W10W21W11DA·OS07/05H·STA12/05A·SOG16/05H·VIK20/05H·RAN25/05A·ODD31/05H·SKE15/06A·LIL18/06H·MOS21/06A·LYN29/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.801.000.861.190.75
vs Stronger (13)0.690.920.570.710.831.17
vs Similar (16)1.310.751.431.001.220.56
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hoddhodd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D02L11D10W02L11D03L01LH·RAN29/04A·LYN04/05H·SOG11/05A·AAL16/05H·ODD25/05A·SKE30/05H·LIL14/06A·MOS18/06A·RAU21/06H·MJO28/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.500.790.500.69
vs Stronger (8)0.380.880.251.250.500.50
vs Similar (21)0.430.670.600.600.270.73
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Asane and hodd have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Asane and hodd have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Asane and hodd have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
Asane and hodd have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ASA wins
1
Draws
0
HOD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Asane vs hodd · H/A from ASA
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/23HASA Vs hodd1-0
22/04/23Ahodd Vs ASA1-1

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/06/25ALyn Vs ASA2-1
21/06/25HASA Vs Moss2-1
18/06/25ALillestrom Vs ASA2-2
15/06/25HASA Vs Skeid2-1
31/05/25AODD Ballklubb Vs ASA1-0
25/05/25HASA Vs Ranheim2-1
20/05/25HASA Vs Viking0-7
16/05/25ASogndal Vs ASA2-0
12/05/25HASA Vs Stabaek1-1
07/05/25AOs Vs ASA1-4

hoddhodd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/06/25HHOD Vs Mjondalen3-1
21/06/25ARaufoss Vs HOD6-1
18/06/25AMoss Vs HOD3-1
14/06/25HHOD Vs Lillestrom2-2
30/05/25ASkeid Vs HOD1-1
25/05/25HHOD Vs ODD Ballklubb3-1
16/05/25AAalesund Vs HOD2-0
11/05/25HHOD Vs Sogndal2-1
04/05/25ALyn Vs HOD0-1
29/04/25HHOD Vs Ranheim0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.36
HomeDLWWW1.50
AwayWLLDL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%41%36%
AVG goals3.323.233.39
Over 1.5 %84%82%86%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %42%36%46%
Scored1.641.451.79
Conceded1.681.771.61
BTTS62%64%61%
Clean Sheet22%27%18%
Corners---
Cards---
hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.21
HomeLWWDW1.39
AwayWLDLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%35%28%
AVG goals2.582.352.80
Over 1.5 %71%70%72%
Over 2.5 %48%43%52%
Over 3.5 %27%26%28%
Scored1.171.221.12
Conceded1.421.131.68
BTTS56%61%52%
Clean Sheet19%17%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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