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Asane vs Mjondalen Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-3
Asane
Asane
Vs
50%
24%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asane win✗ Miss
50.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen win✓ Hit
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L21W32W42W11D03L11D25L02L21WH·LYN06/08A·MOS10/08A·GNE13/08H·RAU18/08A·EGE23/08A·LYS27/08H·SOG30/08A·RAN13/09H·ODD20/09A·SKE27/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.801.151.851.761.76
vs Stronger (10)0.902.100.402.401.401.80
vs Similar (18)1.561.671.621.501.501.80
vs Weaker (2)4.001.50--4.001.50
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W23L51W34L11D41W13L01L15L14LA·SKE06/08H·SOG10/08A·VES13/08A·KON18/08H·HOD23/08A·ASK27/08A·MOS30/08H·LYN14/09H·BRA17/09A·LIL20/09
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.502.301.152.461.762.18
vs Stronger (3)0.675.000.505.501.004.00
vs Similar (25)1.482.081.271.911.642.21
vs Weaker (2)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.8%
Under 2.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.7%
No
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
Asane goals ↓
Mjondalen goals →
01234
05.1%4.3%3.5%1.5%0.5%
16.8%11%6.6%2.8%0.9%
27.4%9.6%6.2%2.7%0.9%
34.6%6.0%3.9%1.7%0.5%
42.2%2.8%1.8%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = Mjondalen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Asane is 0.20 points better than Mjondalen in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Asane is 0.07 goals better than Mjondalen in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Asane is 0.60 goals better than Mjondalen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 2.37).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L30W42W00D01L01L12L00D11DH·LYN06/08A·MOS10/08A·GNE13/08H·RAU18/08A·EGE23/08A·LYS27/08H·SOG30/08A·RAN13/09H·ODD20/09A·SKE27/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.930.690.920.710.94
vs Stronger (10)0.301.200.201.400.401.00
vs Similar (18)0.720.831.000.620.501.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.50--2.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MjondalenMjondalen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L10W12L01L30W11D01L13L01LA·SKE06/08H·SOG10/08A·VES13/08A·KON18/08H·HOD23/08A·ASK27/08A·MOS30/08H·LYN14/09H·BRA17/09A·LIL20/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.100.231.380.820.88
vs Stronger (3)0.332.670.503.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.601.000.181.000.931.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W02L00D11D02L10W13L02L10WH·LYN06/08A·MOS10/08A·GNE13/08H·RAU18/08A·EGE23/08A·LYS27/08H·SOG30/08A·RAN13/09H·ODD20/09A·SKE27/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.870.460.921.060.82
vs Stronger (10)0.600.900.201.001.000.80
vs Similar (18)0.830.830.620.881.000.80
vs Weaker (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MjondalenMjondalen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D41W22D10W11D02L00D02L13LA·SKE06/08H·SOG10/08A·VES13/08A·KON18/08H·HOD23/08A·ASK27/08A·MOS30/08H·LYN14/09H·BRA17/09A·LIL20/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.200.921.080.941.29
vs Stronger (3)0.332.330.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.881.081.090.910.711.21
vs Weaker (2)2.501.00--2.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
ASA wins
2
Draws
2
MJO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Asane vs Mjondalen · H/A from ASA
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/25AMjondalen Vs ASA2-0
21/09/24HASA Vs Mjondalen5-0
16/05/24AMjondalen Vs ASA2-1
09/08/23HASA Vs Mjondalen3-2
10/04/23AMjondalen Vs ASA0-0
22/08/22HASA Vs Mjondalen3-1
11/07/22AMjondalen Vs ASA1-1

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25ASkeid Vs ASA1-2
20/09/25HASA Vs ODD Ballklubb0-2
13/09/25ARanheim Vs ASA5-2
30/08/25HASA Vs Sogndal1-1
27/08/25ALysekloster Vs ASA3-0
23/08/25AEgersund Vs ASA1-1
18/08/25HASA Vs Raufoss4-2
13/08/25AGneist Vs ASA2-3
10/08/25AMoss Vs ASA1-2
06/08/25HASA Vs Lyn0-2

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ALillestrom Vs MJO4-1
17/09/25HMJO Vs Brann1-5
14/09/25HMJO Vs Lyn0-1
30/08/25AMoss Vs MJO3-1
27/08/25AAsker Vs MJO1-4
23/08/25HMJO Vs hodd1-1
18/08/25AKongsvinger Vs MJO4-3
13/08/25AVestfossen Vs MJO1-5
10/08/25HMJO Vs Sogndal2-3
06/08/25ASkeid Vs MJO1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.34
HomeLLWDL1.32
AwayWDLLW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%39%
AVG goals3.323.273.36
Over 1.5 %90%91%89%
Over 2.5 %62%64%61%
Over 3.5 %38%32%43%
Scored1.581.451.68
Conceded1.741.821.68
BTTS62%64%61%
Clean Sheet16%18%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.96
HomeWLDLL0.77
AwayWLWLL1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%14%32%
AVG goals3.403.183.57
Over 1.5 %80%86%75%
Over 2.5 %60%55%64%
Over 3.5 %50%36%61%
Scored1.361.181.50
Conceded2.042.002.07
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet16%18%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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