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Asane vs Raufoss Result & Analysis

Date: 27/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Asane
Asane
Vs
40%
26%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asane win✓ Hit
39.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raufoss win✗ Miss
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W22D33D00D12L32W13L21W01LH·KON04/06A·BRY11/06H·KRI25/06A·SAN01/07H·SKE09/07A·KFU06/08H·MJO09/08A·KON13/08H·BRY20/08A·STA23/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.831.431.571.252.06
vs Stronger (11)0.822.271.001.800.672.67
vs Similar (19)1.631.581.671.441.601.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L10W14L32W31W23L21W21W30WH·FRE04/06A·JER10/06H·SKE25/06A·BRY02/07H·KRI08/07A·KON06/08H·JER09/08A·SKE13/08H·STA20/08H·SOG23/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.531.331.270.871.80
vs Stronger (14)1.501.861.561.441.402.60
vs Similar (16)0.751.251.001.000.601.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
Asane goals ↓
Raufoss goals →
01234
05.9%5.9%5.1%2.4%0.9%
16.5%12%8.0%3.9%1.4%
26.1%8.8%6.3%3.1%1.1%
33.2%4.6%3.3%1.6%0.6%
41.3%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = Raufoss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fredrikstad
2.13
KFUM Oslo
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.69
Kongsvinger
1.68
Bryne
1.50
Start
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.33
Moss
1.27
Raufoss
1.27
Asane
1.23
Mjondalen
1.23
Sandnes ULF
1.23
hodd
1.10
jerv
1.03
Skeid
0.47
Asane is 0.03 points worse than Raufoss in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kristiansund BK
1.91
Kongsvinger
1.77
KFUM Oslo
1.70
Fredrikstad
1.67
Start
1.58
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.40
Bryne
1.38
Asane
1.37
jerv
1.33
Mjondalen
1.30
Moss
1.23
Ranheim
1.20
Raufoss
1.17
hodd
0.97
Skeid
0.80
Asane is 0.20 goals better than Raufoss in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fredrikstad
0.77
KFUM Oslo
1.03
Bryne
1.16
Raufoss
1.20
Start
1.26
hodd
1.27
Kristiansund BK
1.28
Moss
1.33
Kongsvinger
1.39
Mjondalen
1.40
Asane
1.47
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.50
Ranheim
1.77
jerv
1.97
Skeid
2.07
Asane is 0.27 goals worse than Raufoss in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W02L12L00D01L11D11D20W01LH·KON04/06A·BRY11/06H·KRI25/06A·SAN01/07H·SKE09/07A·KFU06/08H·MJO09/08A·KON13/08H·BRY20/08A·STA23/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.570.640.690.94
vs Stronger (11)0.090.910.000.600.171.17
vs Similar (19)0.950.740.890.671.000.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W13L20W00D20W01L10W10WH·FRE04/06A·JER10/06H·SKE25/06A·BRY02/07H·KRI08/07A·KON06/08H·JER09/08A·SKE13/08H·STA20/08H·SOG23/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.670.200.130.93
vs Stronger (14)0.500.570.670.220.201.20
vs Similar (16)0.310.560.670.170.100.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L20W21W00D11D21W02L01L00DH·KON04/06A·BRY11/06H·KRI25/06A·SAN01/07H·SKE09/07A·KFU06/08H·MJO09/08A·KON13/08H·BRY20/08A·STA23/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.030.860.930.561.12
vs Stronger (11)0.731.361.001.200.501.50
vs Similar (19)0.680.840.780.780.600.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D01L12L31W03L20W11D20WH·FRE04/06A·JER10/06H·SKE25/06A·BRY02/07H·KRI08/07A·KON06/08H·JER09/08A·SKE13/08H·STA20/08H·SOG23/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.671.070.730.87
vs Stronger (14)1.001.290.891.221.201.40
vs Similar (16)0.440.690.330.830.500.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (25)
€15m
KB (21)
€13m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Asane and Raufoss have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Asane and Raufoss have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Asane and Raufoss have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Asane and Raufoss have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
ASA wins
1
Draws
1
RAU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Asane vs Raufoss · H/A from ASA
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/23ARaufoss Vs ASA0-0
10/10/22HASA Vs Raufoss1-0
30/05/22ARaufoss Vs ASA1-0

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/23AStart Vs ASA1-0
20/08/23HASA Vs Bryne2-1
13/08/23AKongsvinger Vs ASA3-1
09/08/23HASA Vs Mjondalen3-2
06/08/23AKFUM Oslo Vs ASA2-1
09/07/23HASA Vs Skeid0-0
01/07/23ASandnes ULF Vs ASA3-3
25/06/23HASA Vs Kristiansund BK2-2
11/06/23ABryne Vs ASA1-2
04/06/23HASA Vs Kongsvinger1-2

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/23HRAU Vs Sogndal3-0
20/08/23HRAU Vs Start2-1
13/08/23ASkeid Vs RAU1-2
09/08/23HRAU Vs jerv2-3
06/08/23AKongsvinger Vs RAU1-3
08/07/23HRAU Vs Kristiansund BK3-2
02/07/23ABryne Vs RAU4-1
25/06/23HRAU Vs Skeid1-0
10/06/23Ajerv Vs RAU1-0
04/06/23HRAU Vs Fredrikstad1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL0.98
HomeLDDWW1.25
AwayWDLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%12%
AVG goals3.323.423.23
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %68%75%62%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.341.501.19
Conceded1.981.922.04
BTTS74%79%69%
Clean Sheet8%8%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.26
HomeWWLWW1.48
AwayLLLWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.802.603.00
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %32%24%40%
Scored1.241.241.24
Conceded1.561.361.76
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet20%32%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FredrikstadFredrikstad3064
60%
2.1
5023+27
2.4
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.70.8
-
2KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3058
57%
1.9
5131+20
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.71.0
-
3Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3254
47%
1.7
6141+20
3.2
88%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5431.91.3
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3152
52%
1.7
5543+12
3.2
94%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.4
-
5BryneBryne3248
44%
1.5
4437+7
2.5
75%
59%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.2
-
6StartStart3146
39%
1.5
4939+10
2.8
81%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.61.3
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4545+0
3.0
83%
63%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.5
-
8RanheimRanheim3040
40%
1.3
3653-17
3.0
73%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.8
-
9RaufossRaufoss3038
33%
1.3
3536-1
2.4
63%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.2
-
10MossMoss3038
33%
1.3
3740-3
2.6
73%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
11Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3037
33%
1.2
4245-3
2.9
77%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
12AsaneAsane3037
30%
1.2
4144-3
2.8
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.41.5
-
13MjondalenMjondalen3037
33%
1.2
3942-3
2.7
77%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
14hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
2938-9
2.2
63%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
15jervjerv3031
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
16SkeidSkeid3014
10%
0.5
2462-38
2.9
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
Norway: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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