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Asane vs Sogndal Result & Analysis

Date: 13/05/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-3
Asane
Asane
Vs
34%
25%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asane win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sogndal win✓ Hit
41.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W14L12L13L00D12L11D11D00D23LH·RAU10/10A·STA16/10H·BRY22/10A·GRO29/10A·MJO10/04H·JER16/04A·HOD22/04H·KFU30/04A·RAU03/05A·RAN06/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.402.001.571.711.252.25
vs Stronger (9)1.222.561.202.201.253.00
vs Similar (21)1.481.761.781.441.252.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W02L12L30W11D10W21W22D12L21WH·STJ09/10A·GRO16/10H·STA22/10A·RAU29/10A·KFU10/04H·SAN15/04A·MOS23/04H·BRY29/04A·KRI03/05H·RAU06/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.731.871.471.872.00
vs Stronger (3)1.003.330.502.502.005.00
vs Similar (27)1.961.562.081.311.861.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.4%
Under 2.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.3%
Under 3.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.4%
No
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
Asane goals ↓
Sogndal goals →
01234
04.6%5.3%5.5%3.2%1.4%
14.7%11%8.7%5.0%2.2%
24.5%7.8%6.8%4.0%1.7%
32.4%4.1%3.6%2.1%0.9%
40.9%1.6%1.4%0.8%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = Sogndal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fredrikstad
2.13
KFUM Oslo
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.69
Kongsvinger
1.68
Bryne
1.50
Start
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.33
Moss
1.27
Raufoss
1.27
Asane
1.23
Mjondalen
1.23
Sandnes ULF
1.23
hodd
1.10
jerv
1.03
Skeid
0.47
Asane is 0.20 points worse than Sogndal in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kristiansund BK
1.91
Kongsvinger
1.77
KFUM Oslo
1.70
Fredrikstad
1.67
Start
1.58
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.40
Bryne
1.38
Asane
1.37
jerv
1.33
Mjondalen
1.30
Moss
1.23
Ranheim
1.20
Raufoss
1.17
hodd
0.97
Skeid
0.80
Asane is 0.13 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fredrikstad
0.77
KFUM Oslo
1.03
Bryne
1.16
Raufoss
1.20
Start
1.26
hodd
1.27
Kristiansund BK
1.28
Moss
1.33
Kongsvinger
1.39
Mjondalen
1.40
Asane
1.47
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.50
Ranheim
1.77
jerv
1.97
Skeid
2.07
Asane is 0.03 goals better than Sogndal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L12L00D10W11D00D00D21WH·RAU10/10A·STA16/10H·BRY22/10A·GRO29/10A·MJO10/04H·JER16/04A·HOD22/04H·KFU30/04A·RAU03/05A·RAN06/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.640.710.751.19
vs Stronger (9)0.561.110.400.800.751.50
vs Similar (21)0.760.900.780.670.751.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D10W00D10W10W20W01L10WH·STJ09/10A·GRO16/10H·STA22/10A·RAU29/10A·KFU10/04H·SAN15/04A·MOS23/04H·BRY29/04A·KRI03/05H·RAU06/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.930.470.800.87
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.930.591.080.380.790.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L11D01L00D02L00D11D00D02LH·RAU10/10A·STA16/10H·BRY22/10A·GRO29/10A·MJO10/04H·JER16/04A·HOD22/04H·KFU30/04A·RAU03/05A·RAN06/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.030.931.000.501.06
vs Stronger (9)0.671.440.801.400.501.50
vs Similar (21)0.710.861.000.780.500.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W01L12L20W11D00D11D02L11D11DH·STJ09/10A·GRO16/10H·STA22/10A·RAU29/10A·KFU10/04H·SAN15/04A·MOS23/04H·BRY29/04A·KRI03/05H·RAU06/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.070.931.001.071.13
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.501.501.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.040.961.000.921.071.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (25)
€15m
KB (21)
€13m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Asane's squad is €1m less valuable than Sogndal's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Asane and Sogndal have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Asane and Sogndal have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Asane and Sogndal have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ASA wins
1
Draws
0
SOG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Asane vs Sogndal · H/A from ASA
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/22HASA Vs Sogndal1-1
22/05/22ASogndal Vs ASA2-3

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/23ARanheim Vs ASA3-2
03/05/23ARaufoss Vs ASA0-0
30/04/23HASA Vs KFUM Oslo1-1
22/04/23Ahodd Vs ASA1-1
16/04/23HASA Vs jerv1-2
10/04/23AMjondalen Vs ASA0-0
29/10/22AGrorud Vs ASA3-1
22/10/22HASA Vs Bryne1-2
16/10/22AStart Vs ASA4-1
10/10/22HASA Vs Raufoss1-0

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/23HSOG Vs Raufoss2-1
03/05/23AKristiansund BK Vs SOG2-1
29/04/23HSOG Vs Bryne2-2
23/04/23AMoss Vs SOG1-2
15/04/23HSOG Vs Sandnes ULF1-0
10/04/23AKFUM Oslo Vs SOG1-1
29/10/22ARaufoss Vs SOG0-3
22/10/22HSOG Vs Start1-2
16/10/22AGrorud Vs SOG2-0
09/10/22HSOG Vs Stjørdals-Blink6-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDL1.00
HomeLWLLD1.24
AwayLDDDL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%35%11%
AVG goals3.363.413.32
Over 1.5 %89%94%84%
Over 2.5 %64%71%58%
Over 3.5 %44%35%53%
Scored1.311.411.21
Conceded2.062.002.11
BTTS72%76%68%
Clean Sheet8%6%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.50
HomeWLWDW1.78
AwayLWDWL1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%56%28%
AVG goals3.443.223.67
Over 1.5 %86%83%89%
Over 2.5 %67%67%67%
Over 3.5 %42%33%50%
Scored1.781.891.67
Conceded1.671.332.00
BTTS64%61%67%
Clean Sheet25%28%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FredrikstadFredrikstad3064
60%
2.1
5023+27
2.4
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.70.8
-
2KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3058
57%
1.9
5131+20
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.71.0
-
3Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3254
47%
1.7
6141+20
3.2
88%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5431.91.3
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3152
52%
1.7
5543+12
3.2
94%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.4
-
5BryneBryne3248
44%
1.5
4437+7
2.5
75%
59%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.2
-
6StartStart3146
39%
1.5
4939+10
2.8
81%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.61.3
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4545+0
3.0
83%
63%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.5
-
8RanheimRanheim3040
40%
1.3
3653-17
3.0
73%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.8
-
9RaufossRaufoss3038
33%
1.3
3536-1
2.4
63%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.2
-
10MossMoss3038
33%
1.3
3740-3
2.6
73%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
11Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3037
33%
1.2
4245-3
2.9
77%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
12AsaneAsane3037
30%
1.2
4144-3
2.8
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.41.5
-
13MjondalenMjondalen3037
33%
1.2
3942-3
2.7
77%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
14hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
2938-9
2.2
63%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
15jervjerv3031
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
16SkeidSkeid3014
10%
0.5
2462-38
2.9
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
Norway: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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