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Asane vs Sogndal Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Asane
Asane
Vs
37%
26%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asane win✗ Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sogndal win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L22D02L12L02L21W32W42W11D03LA·LYN29/06H·HOD26/07A·MJO30/07H·LIL02/08H·LYN06/08A·MOS10/08A·GNE13/08H·RAU18/08A·EGE23/08A·LYS27/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.701.381.921.821.53
vs Stronger (10)0.902.100.402.401.401.80
vs Similar (18)1.781.502.001.621.601.40
vs Weaker (2)4.001.50--4.001.50
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D11D13L11D21W32W02L21W31WH·LYN22/06A·LIL28/06H·STA26/07A·MOS30/07H·SKE02/08H·HOD06/08A·MJO10/08A·BJA13/08A·STA18/08H·MOS23/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.471.571.641.561.31
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.641.521.691.541.581.50
vs Weaker (2)3.000.50--3.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
Asane goals ↓
Sogndal goals →
01234
05.8%6.1%5.5%2.8%1.1%
16.0%12%8.4%4.3%1.7%
25.5%8.4%6.4%3.3%1.3%
32.8%4.3%3.3%1.7%0.6%
41.1%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asane goals (down), columns = Sogndal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Asane is 0.40 points worse than Sogndal in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Asane is 0.37 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Asane is 0.17 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L21W01L11D00D01L30W42W00D01LA·LYN29/06H·HOD26/07A·MJO30/07H·LIL02/08H·LYN06/08A·MOS10/08A·GNE13/08H·RAU18/08A·EGE23/08A·LYS27/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.900.851.000.650.82
vs Stronger (10)0.301.200.201.400.401.00
vs Similar (18)0.780.781.250.750.400.80
vs Weaker (2)2.500.50--2.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W02L00D20W21W02L10W30WH·LYN22/06A·LIL28/06H·STA26/07A·MOS30/07H·SKE02/08H·HOD06/08A·MJO10/08A·BJA13/08A·STA18/08H·MOS23/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.790.500.560.75
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.600.850.460.670.75
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L01L02L20W02L00D11D02LA·LYN29/06H·HOD26/07A·MJO30/07H·LIL02/08H·LYN06/08A·MOS10/08A·GNE13/08H·RAU18/08A·EGE23/08A·LYS27/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.800.540.921.180.71
vs Stronger (10)0.600.900.201.001.000.80
vs Similar (18)1.000.720.750.881.200.60
vs Weaker (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D01L11D11D01L11D00D11D01LH·LYN22/06A·LIL28/06H·STA26/07A·MOS30/07H·SKE02/08H·HOD06/08A·MJO10/08A·BJA13/08A·STA18/08H·MOS23/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.830.791.141.000.56
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.880.920.851.080.920.75
vs Weaker (2)2.500.00--2.500.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Asane's squad is €1m less valuable than Sogndal's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Asane and Sogndal have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Asane and Sogndal have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
Asane and Sogndal have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
ASA wins
3
Draws
2
SOG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Asane vs Sogndal · H/A from ASA
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25ASogndal Vs ASA2-0
26/10/24ASogndal Vs ASA0-2
15/04/24HASA Vs Sogndal1-1
23/09/23ASogndal Vs ASA1-1
13/05/23HASA Vs Sogndal2-3
31/07/22HASA Vs Sogndal1-1
22/05/22ASogndal Vs ASA2-3

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/25ALysekloster Vs ASA3-0
23/08/25AEgersund Vs ASA1-1
18/08/25HASA Vs Raufoss4-2
13/08/25AGneist Vs ASA2-3
10/08/25AMoss Vs ASA1-2
06/08/25HASA Vs Lyn0-2
02/08/25HASA Vs Lillestrom1-2
30/07/25AMjondalen Vs ASA2-0
26/07/25HASA Vs hodd2-2
29/06/25ALyn Vs ASA2-1

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25HSOG Vs Moss3-1
18/08/25AStabaek Vs SOG1-2
13/08/25ABjarg Vs SOG2-0
10/08/25AMjondalen Vs SOG2-3
06/08/25HSOG Vs hodd2-1
02/08/25HSOG Vs Skeid1-1
30/07/25AMoss Vs SOG3-1
26/07/25HSOG Vs Stabaek1-1
28/06/25ALillestrom Vs SOG0-0
22/06/25HSOG Vs Lyn1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.32
HomeWDLLW1.41
AwayLWWDL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%41%36%
AVG goals3.343.413.29
Over 1.5 %88%86%89%
Over 2.5 %64%68%61%
Over 3.5 %40%36%43%
Scored1.561.501.61
Conceded1.781.911.68
BTTS62%64%61%
Clean Sheet18%23%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.36
HomeLDDWW1.28
AwayDLWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%32%44%
AVG goals2.963.202.72
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.501.681.32
Conceded1.461.521.40
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet24%16%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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