This opponent (Chievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.07
1.20
1.13
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
1.00
1.00
1.17
0.57
0.86
vs Similar (17)
1.24
1.12
1.33
1.11
1.12
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.5%
Under 1.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.3%
@ 2.15-6.6%
Under 2.5
62.7%
@ 1.68+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.8%
Under 3.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.4%
No
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.7%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
Ascoli goals ↓
Chievo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
10%
6.0%
2.1%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.9%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.5%
7.7%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
3
2.9%
3.0%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ascoli goals (down), columns = Chievo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benevento
2.26
Crotone
1.79
Spezia
1.61
Pordenone
1.53
Cittadella
1.53
Chievo
1.47
Frosinone
1.42
Pisa
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Salernitana
1.37
Venezia
1.32
Cremonese
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.26
Ascoli
1.21
Trapani
1.21
Cosenza
1.21
Pescara
1.18
Perugia
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.08
Livorno
0.55
Ascoli is 0.26 points worse than Chievo in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.76
Crotone
1.66
Spezia
1.42
Salernitana
1.39
Ascoli
1.32
Cosenza
1.32
Pisa
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Pescara
1.26
Chievo
1.26
Trapani
1.26
Pordenone
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Juve Stabia
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Cremonese
1.11
Frosinone
1.08
Perugia
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Livorno
0.79
Ascoli is 0.05 goals better than Chievo in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Benevento
0.71
Frosinone
1.00
Chievo
1.00
Spezia
1.05
Crotone
1.05
Venezia
1.05
Cremonese
1.13
Pisa
1.18
Pordenone
1.21
Empoli
1.26
Perugia
1.29
Cosenza
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Salernitana
1.32
Virtus Entella
1.32
Pescara
1.45
Ascoli
1.53
Trapani
1.58
Juve Stabia
1.66
Livorno
1.76
Ascoli is 0.53 goals worse than Chievo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ascoli
For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 14.2 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chievo
For 3.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.1 · Against 19.0 · Total 37.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.0
8.8
6.0
6.9
5.3
31.1
32.4
30.0
vs Stronger (17)
8.1
8.1
8.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
30.4
31.3
29.8
vs Similar (33)
9.3
9.3
9.3
6.1
7.2
4.9
31.5
32.9
30.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
39%
37%
86%
96%
78%
92%
100%
85%
% under line
62%
61%
63%
14%
4%
22%
8%
0%
15%
This opponent (Chievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.5
10.3
5.6
5.4
5.7
31.6
30.9
32.2
vs Stronger (32)
9.9
8.8
10.9
5.3
5.2
5.4
31.2
29.2
32.9
vs Similar (18)
8.6
8.0
9.1
6.1
5.8
6.3
32.3
33.8
30.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
42%
65%
74%
75%
73%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
46%
58%
35%
26%
25%
27%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Juve Stabia
10.9
Cittadella
10.8
Crotone
10.6
Pordenone
10.5
Perugia
10.5
Spezia
10.0
Virtus Entella
9.9
Livorno
9.8
Cremonese
9.8
Frosinone
9.7
Pisa
9.6
Pescara
9.5
Empoli
9.5
Venezia
9.5
Chievo
9.4
Benevento
9.4
Cosenza
9.3
Salernitana
9.0
Trapani
9.0
Ascoli
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pisa
6.7
Juve Stabia
6.5
Ascoli
6.0
Livorno
5.9
Salernitana
5.6
Benevento
5.6
Chievo
5.6
Pordenone
5.5
Spezia
5.5
Cittadella
5.5
Virtus Entella
5.4
Trapani
5.4
Cosenza
5.4
Venezia
5.4
Crotone
5.3
Frosinone
5.2
Perugia
4.9
Pescara
4.9
Cremonese
4.8
Empoli
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Salernitana
33.6
Livorno
33.4
Pisa
33.4
Juve Stabia
33.3
Virtus Entella
32.3
Cittadella
32.2
Benevento
31.8
Frosinone
31.6
Chievo
31.6
Perugia
31.4
Pordenone
31.4
Crotone
31.2
Cosenza
31.1
Ascoli
31.1
Venezia
31.1
Pescara
30.1
Trapani
29.9
Spezia
29.4
Cremonese
28.7
Empoli
27.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.9%
Under 9.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
88.7%
Under 3.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.5%
Under 21.5
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.69
0.23
0.59
0.71
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.10
0.50
0.00
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.70
0.86
0.43
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.53
0.53
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.46
0.50
0.50
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.76
0.56
0.56
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.00
0.85
0.69
0.53
1.24
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.10
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.75
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.95
1.00
0.71
0.69
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.67
0.60
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.54
0.50
0.67
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.35
0.78
0.56
0.50
0.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ascoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Silipo67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoul Guiebre67%
Giovanni Corradini67%
Simone D'Uffizi67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Marcos Curado33%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuele Damiani33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Amine Chakir33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Chakir67%
Andrea Silipo33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →