This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.13
1.31
0.81
1.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.36
1.27
1.40
0.80
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
1.05
1.27
0.82
0.75
1.38
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.0%
@ 1.88-4.4%
Under 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.91+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.4%
1-0 ✓
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
Ascoli goals ↓
Empoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
8.6%
6.1%
2.5%
0.8%
1
9.1%
14%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.7%
8.2%
5.1%
2.1%
0.6%
3
2.9%
3.5%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ascoli goals (down), columns = Empoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benevento
2.26
Crotone
1.79
Spezia
1.61
Pordenone
1.53
Cittadella
1.53
Chievo
1.47
Frosinone
1.42
Pisa
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Salernitana
1.37
Venezia
1.32
Cremonese
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.26
Ascoli
1.21
Trapani
1.21
Cosenza
1.21
Pescara
1.18
Perugia
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.08
Livorno
0.55
Ascoli is 0.21 points worse than Empoli in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.76
Crotone
1.66
Spezia
1.42
Salernitana
1.39
Ascoli
1.32
Cosenza
1.32
Pisa
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Pescara
1.26
Chievo
1.26
Trapani
1.26
Pordenone
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Juve Stabia
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Cremonese
1.11
Frosinone
1.08
Perugia
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Livorno
0.79
Ascoli is 0.08 goals better than Empoli in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Benevento
0.71
Frosinone
1.00
Chievo
1.00
Spezia
1.05
Crotone
1.05
Venezia
1.05
Cremonese
1.13
Pisa
1.18
Pordenone
1.21
Empoli
1.26
Perugia
1.29
Cosenza
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Salernitana
1.32
Virtus Entella
1.32
Pescara
1.45
Ascoli
1.53
Trapani
1.58
Juve Stabia
1.66
Livorno
1.76
Ascoli is 0.26 goals worse than Empoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ascoli
For 2.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Empoli
For 6.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 14.2 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.6
8.9
6.0
6.8
5.3
31.3
32.6
30.2
vs Stronger (16)
8.0
7.4
8.4
6.1
5.9
6.2
31.0
31.9
30.3
vs Similar (34)
9.1
9.1
9.2
6.0
7.2
4.8
31.5
32.9
30.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
29%
38%
90%
96%
85%
94%
100%
88%
% under line
66%
71%
62%
10%
4%
15%
6%
0%
12%
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.2
4.2
4.7
3.8
28.0
29.8
26.2
vs Stronger (8)
9.1
10.5
8.7
3.9
4.5
3.7
22.4
25.0
21.5
vs Similar (19)
9.6
7.7
11.8
4.3
4.4
4.2
26.5
27.3
25.6
vs Weaker (23)
9.9
10.1
9.6
4.3
5.0
3.4
31.2
32.5
29.6
% over line
52%
52%
52%
60%
72%
48%
80%
84%
76%
% under line
48%
48%
48%
40%
28%
52%
20%
16%
24%
This opponent (Ascoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Juve Stabia
10.8
Crotone
10.7
Cittadella
10.6
Perugia
10.4
Pordenone
10.3
Virtus Entella
10.2
Frosinone
9.8
Cremonese
9.8
Cosenza
9.7
Spezia
9.7
Empoli
9.7
Livorno
9.5
Venezia
9.4
Salernitana
9.4
Trapani
9.3
Pescara
9.3
Benevento
9.2
Chievo
9.2
Pisa
9.2
Ascoli
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Juve Stabia
6.6
Pisa
6.5
Ascoli
6.0
Salernitana
6.0
Livorno
6.0
Cosenza
5.6
Cittadella
5.6
Pordenone
5.5
Trapani
5.5
Benevento
5.4
Virtus Entella
5.4
Spezia
5.4
Chievo
5.4
Venezia
5.3
Crotone
5.3
Perugia
5.1
Frosinone
5.1
Pescara
5.1
Cremonese
4.8
Empoli
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Salernitana
34.2
Livorno
33.4
Pisa
33.1
Juve Stabia
32.8
Cittadella
32.2
Frosinone
32.1
Perugia
32.1
Virtus Entella
31.8
Chievo
31.6
Crotone
31.4
Pordenone
31.4
Ascoli
31.3
Venezia
31.1
Cosenza
31.0
Benevento
31.0
Trapani
30.4
Pescara
30.0
Spezia
29.7
Cremonese
28.4
Empoli
28.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.9%
Under 9.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.0%
Under 3.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.7%
Under 21.5
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.64
0.43
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.44
0.60
0.40
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.76
0.67
0.44
0.42
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.75
0.56
0.36
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.64
0.60
0.20
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.58
0.89
0.82
0.73
0.25
1.12
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.71
0.79
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.00
0.60
0.60
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.86
0.78
0.89
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.33
0.56
0.25
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.64
0.80
0.60
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (19)
0.47
0.16
0.45
0.09
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ascoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Silipo67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoul Guiebre67%
Giovanni Corradini67%
Simone D'Uffizi67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Marcos Curado33%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuele Damiani33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Amine Chakir33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Chakir67%
Andrea Silipo33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Empoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edoardo Saporiti67%
Stiven Shpendi33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gerard Yepes67%
Marco Curto33%
Luca Magnino33%
Cristian Cauz0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Cauz33%
Matteo Egan33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edoardo Saporiti33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
CRE (30)
€49m
EMP (27)
€20m
JS (33)
€13m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Ascoli's squad is €10m less valuable than Empoli's (€11m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
CRE (7)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
JS (8)
€2m
Ascoli's attack is €5m less valuable than Empoli's (€5m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
CRE (10)
€15m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
JS (11)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Ascoli's midfield is €3m less valuable than Empoli's (€3m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
JS (14)
€6m
BEN (13)
€5m
EMP (9)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Ascoli's defence is €1m less valuable than Empoli's (€3m vs €4m).
Italy: Serie B 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Benevento
Spezia
Cittadella
Pisa
Frosinone
Salernitana
Venezia
Cremonese
Virtus Entella
Cosenza
Pescara
Perugia
Juve Stabia