This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.80
1.50
0.81
1.29
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
1.38
0.88
1.40
0.80
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.43
0.81
1.55
0.82
1.30
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.6%
@ 2.25-1.2%
Under 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.62+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-0 ✓
4.9%
Ascoli goals ↓
Pisa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
8.6%
3.8%
1.2%
1
8.6%
14%
8.5%
3.8%
1.2%
2
4.9%
6.4%
4.2%
1.9%
0.6%
3
1.6%
2.1%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ascoli goals (down), columns = Pisa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Ascoli is 0.05 points worse than Pisa in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Ascoli is 0.11 goals better than Pisa in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Ascoli is 0.18 goals worse than Pisa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ascoli
For 4.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 14.8 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pisa
For 6.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.5 · Against 16.8 · Total 34.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.4
6.0
6.4
5.6
32.0
33.6
30.3
vs Stronger (17)
10.4
10.1
11.0
6.3
6.4
6.0
31.1
33.0
26.6
vs Similar (33)
9.8
9.2
10.2
5.8
6.3
5.5
32.4
34.2
31.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
44%
56%
90%
92%
88%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
50%
56%
44%
10%
8%
12%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.6
11.2
5.6
5.2
6.1
33.2
32.1
34.4
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
5.0
-
5.0
35.0
-
35.0
vs Similar (15)
11.2
10.2
12.7
5.6
5.9
5.2
30.9
29.7
32.7
vs Weaker (34)
10.8
10.8
10.8
5.6
4.8
6.5
34.1
33.4
34.9
% over line
60%
54%
67%
90%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
40%
46%
33%
10%
19%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Ascoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
10.9
Alessandria
10.8
Crotone
10.8
Benevento
10.7
Spal
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Como
10.4
Monza
10.3
Frosinone
10.2
Vicenza Virtus
10.1
Cittadella
10.0
Ascoli
10.0
Cremonese
9.9
Parma
9.9
Pordenone
9.8
Ternana
9.8
Lecce
9.6
Perugia
9.4
Cosenza
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.2
Perugia
6.0
Pordenone
6.0
Ascoli
6.0
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Pisa
5.6
Reggina
5.6
Frosinone
5.6
Como
5.3
Alessandria
5.3
Parma
5.3
Monza
5.3
Lecce
5.3
Cremonese
5.2
Cosenza
5.1
Spal
5.1
Ternana
4.8
Crotone
4.8
Brescia
4.7
Benevento
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.8
Cittadella
33.6
Perugia
33.5
Pisa
33.2
Pordenone
33.1
Alessandria
32.6
Monza
32.2
Ascoli
32.0
Spal
31.8
Frosinone
31.3
Vicenza Virtus
31.3
Cremonese
30.1
Como
29.9
Ternana
29.7
Parma
29.3
Lecce
29.1
Benevento
29.0
Crotone
28.5
Brescia
27.3
Cosenza
27.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.6%
Under 9.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
86.9%
Under 3.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.3%
Under 21.5
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.55
0.75
0.50
0.92
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
0.81
0.25
0.79
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.12
0.60
0.00
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.48
0.91
0.36
0.70
0.60
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.36
0.64
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.70
0.17
0.67
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.62
0.92
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.69
0.56
0.50
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.75
0.80
0.80
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (21)
0.62
0.33
0.64
0.45
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ascoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Silipo67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoul Guiebre67%
Giovanni Corradini67%
Simone D'Uffizi67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Marcos Curado33%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuele Damiani33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Amine Chakir33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Chakir67%
Andrea Silipo33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Pisa · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Giuseppe Leone33%
Simone Canestrelli33%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Simone Zanon0%
Isak Vural0%
Emanuele Rao0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isak Vural67%
Simone Zanon33%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Giuseppe Leone0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Emanuele Rao0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matteo Tramoni33%
Mehdi Léris33%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Giuseppe Leone0%
Simone Zanon0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Isak Vural0%
Emanuele Rao0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matteo Tramoni100%
Mehdi Léris33%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Giuseppe Leone0%
Simone Zanon0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Isak Vural0%
Emanuele Rao0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
PAR (28)
€142m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
MON (29)
€70m
CRE (30)
€49m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
Ascoli's squad is €60m less valuable than Pisa's (€11m vs €71m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
CRE (7)
€12m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
VV (6)
€2m
Ascoli's attack is €18m less valuable than Pisa's (€5m vs €24m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
VV (12)
€5m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Ascoli's midfield is €23m less valuable than Pisa's (€3m vs €26m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
BEN (13)
€5m
VV (8)
€4m
ASC (12)
€3m
Ascoli's defence is €19m less valuable than Pisa's (€3m vs €22m).
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Brescia
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
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