Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon Result & Analysis

Date: 13/05/2026

Time: 17:00

Final 0-1

Ashdod

31%

28%

41%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Hapoel Katamon

Israel: Ligat Ha'al

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

This Israel: Ligat Ha'al match between Ashdod and Hapoel Katamon on May 13, 2026, is finely balanced, with Ashdod coming off a win and Hapoel Katamon having just suffered a defeat. The model predicts an away win, with 41% probability, the highest of the three possible outcomes. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, and the most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.1% probability.

Ashdod's home form against similar opponents sees them scoring an average of 1.67 goals and conceding 1.67 goals. In contrast, Hapoel Katamon's away form against similar opponents sees them scoring 0.8 goals and conceding 0.9 goals.

The model's selection is an Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.5% probability. The other suggested picks include a Home win (31%), a Draw (28%), an Away win (41%), and a Draw (28%).

Results analysis

Today's matchup between Ashdod and Hapoel Katamon saw Ashdod extend their run of inconsistent form, coming off a win but having lost their previous two matches at home. The 0-1 scoreline reflects the away team's recent struggles, having lost their previous two matches away, conceding a goal each time. The model's selection, an away win, proved correct, with Hapoel Katamon emerging victorious. The model's call was correct, with a pre-match probability of 41%. The model's selection was the favourite, as predicted. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals also failed to materialize, with a probability of 77.5% before the match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ashdod win✗ Miss

31.2%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

27.7%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Hapoel Katamon win✓ Hit

41.1%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ashdod

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.7

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.10	1.93	1.33	2.33	0.87	1.53
vs Stronger (17)	1.00	2.29	1.11	2.78	0.88	1.75
vs Similar (13)	1.23	1.46	1.67	1.67	0.86	1.29
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-11pp vs league)

This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Katamon

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.80	1.30	0.71	1.29	0.88	1.31
vs Stronger (12)	0.92	2.00	0.83	2.00	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (18)	0.72	0.83	0.62	0.75	0.80	0.90
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+6pp vs league)

This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

77.5%

Under 1.5

22.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

52.3%

Under 2.5

47.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

30.1%

Under 3.5

69.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

57.1%

42.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.1%

1-2

8.9%

0-1 ✓

8.2%

2-1

7.6%

0-0

7.5%

0-2

7.0%

1-0

6.8%

2-2

5.7%

Ashdod goals ↓

	Hapoel Katamon goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	8.2%	7.0%	3.5%	1.3%
1	6.8%	13%	8.9%	4.4%	1.7%
2	5.1%	7.6%	5.7%	2.8%	1.1%
3	2.2%	3.2%	2.4%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ashdod goals (down), columns = Hapoel Katamon goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Hapoel Beer Sheva

2.19

Beitar Jerusalem

2.11

Maccabi Tel Aviv

1.80

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1.77

Maccabi Haifa

1.53

Maccabi Netanya

1.45

Ironi Tiberias

1.33

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

1.21

Hapoel Petah Tikva

1.11

Hapoel Haifa

1.03

Bnei Sakhnin

1.03

Hapoel Katamon

0.94

Ashdod

0.85

Maccabi Bnei Raina

0.67

Ashdod is 0.09 points worse than Hapoel Katamon in terms of average points per game (0.85 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Hapoel Beer Sheva

2.19

Beitar Jerusalem

2.17

Maccabi Tel Aviv

2.06

Maccabi Haifa

1.83

Maccabi Netanya

1.79

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1.57

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

1.52

Ironi Tiberias

1.36

Hapoel Petah Tikva

1.33

Hapoel Haifa

1.18

Ashdod

1.15

Bnei Sakhnin

0.85

Maccabi Bnei Raina

0.79

Hapoel Katamon

0.79

Ashdod is 0.36 goals better than Hapoel Katamon in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1.00

Hapoel Beer Sheva

1.06

Beitar Jerusalem

1.11

Hapoel Katamon

1.30

Maccabi Haifa

1.31

Maccabi Tel Aviv

1.31

Bnei Sakhnin

1.48

Hapoel Haifa

1.55

Hapoel Petah Tikva

1.58

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

1.61

Ironi Tiberias

1.70

Ashdod

1.88

Maccabi Netanya

1.91

Maccabi Bnei Raina

2.09

Ashdod is 0.58 goals worse than Hapoel Katamon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

Hapoel Beer Sheva

60%

Beitar Jerusalem

57%

Maccabi Haifa

54%

Maccabi Tel Aviv

53%

Maccabi Netanya

50%

Hapoel Tel Aviv

47%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

47%

Ashdod

46%

Hapoel Haifa

43%

Bnei Sakhnin

39%

Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Ashdod

For 3.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.5

🚩 Corners

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

For 3.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.8

🟨 Cards

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

For 12.8 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.6

⚠️ Fouls

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Hapoel Katamon

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Ashdod

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	9.5	9.1	9.8	3.3	3.1	3.4	25.9	25.4	26.3
vs Stronger (26)	9.7	9.5	9.8	3.8	4.4	3.3	26.2	27.6	25.2
vs Similar (24)	9.2	8.7	9.7	2.7	2.0	3.4	25.5	22.5	28.0
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	41%	43%	39%	50%	48%	52%	75%	79%	72%
% under line	59%	57%	61%	50%	52%	48%	25%	21%	28%

This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Katamon

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (15)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (33)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Weaker (2)	-	-	-	0.0	-	0.0	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game

Bnei Sakhnin

9.6

Hapoel Beer Sheva

9.5

Hapoel Tel Aviv

9.2

Hapoel Haifa

9.1

Maccabi Tel Aviv

9.0

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

8.9

Ashdod

8.8

Beitar Jerusalem

8.7

Maccabi Netanya

8.6

Maccabi Haifa

8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game

Maccabi Netanya

6.1

Hapoel Tel Aviv

5.6

Hapoel Haifa

5.6

Hapoel Beer Sheva

5.5

Beitar Jerusalem

5.4

Maccabi Haifa

5.2

Maccabi Tel Aviv

5.0

Ashdod

5.0

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

4.9

Bnei Sakhnin

4.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game

Maccabi Tel Aviv

28.0

Hapoel Beer Sheva

27.7

Beitar Jerusalem

27.6

Maccabi Haifa

27.2

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

27.0

Hapoel Tel Aviv

26.0

Hapoel Haifa

25.9

Ashdod

25.2

Maccabi Netanya

25.1

Bnei Sakhnin

24.9

Corners O/U 9.5

Over 9.5

37.1%

Under 9.5

62.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Cards O/U 3.5

Over 3.5

78.0%

Under 3.5

22.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Fouls O/U 21.5

Over 21.5

85.7%

Under 21.5

14.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 21.5 fouls	85.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Over 3.5 cards	78.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Over 1.5	77.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

MTA (38)

€46m

MH (46)

€30m

HBS (33)

€25m

BJ (39)

€20m

HTA (39)

€17m

MN (36)

€12m

HK (34)

€11m

HPT (36)

€9m

IKS (31)

€8m

ASH (42)

€8m

HH (40)

€7m

MBR (35)

€6m

IT (29)

€5m

BS (39)

€5m

Ashdod's squad is €3m less valuable than Hapoel Katamon's (€8m vs €11m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BJ (0)

€0m

BS (0)

€0m

HBS (0)

€0m

HH (0)

€0m

HK (0)

€0m

HTA (0)

€0m

IKS (0)

€0m

IT (0)

€0m

MH (0)

€0m

MN (0)

€0m

MTA (0)

€0m

HPT (0)

€0m

ASH (0)

€0m

MBR (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BJ (0)

€0m

BS (0)

€0m

HBS (0)

€0m

HH (0)

€0m

HK (0)

€0m

HTA (0)

€0m

IKS (0)

€0m

IT (0)

€0m

MH (0)

€0m

MN (0)

€0m

MTA (0)

€0m

HPT (0)

€0m

ASH (0)

€0m

MBR (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BJ (0)

€0m

BS (0)

€0m

HBS (0)

€0m

HH (0)

€0m

HK (0)

€0m

HTA (0)

€0m

IKS (0)

€0m

IT (0)

€0m

MH (0)

€0m

MN (0)

€0m

MTA (0)

€0m

HPT (0)

€0m

ASH (0)

€0m

MBR (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon · H/A from ASH

Date	H/A	Game	Score
13/12/25	H	ASH Vs Hapoel Katamon	0-2
23/08/25	A	Hapoel Katamon Vs ASH	1-2
29/03/25	H	ASH Vs Hapoel Katamon	1-1
25/01/25	H	ASH Vs Hapoel Katamon	1-1
20/10/24	A	Hapoel Katamon Vs ASH	1-0
18/05/24	H	ASH Vs Hapoel Katamon	3-1
17/02/24	A	Hapoel Katamon Vs ASH	1-1
16/12/23	H	ASH Vs Hapoel Katamon	2-0

Ashdod

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
10/05/26	A	Hapoel Haifa Vs ASH	1-0
03/05/26	H	ASH Vs Ironi Tiberias	0-3
28/04/26	A	Bnei Sakhnin Vs ASH	1-1
25/04/26	H	ASH Vs Maccabi Bnei Raina	1-2
18/04/26	A	Maccabi Netanya Vs ASH	2-1
11/04/26	A	Ironi Tiberias Vs ASH	0-0
05/04/26	H	ASH Vs Maccabi Netanya	2-3
21/02/26	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv Vs ASH	3-2
14/02/26	H	ASH Vs Hapoel Beer Sheva	1-2
07/02/26	A	Hapoel Haifa Vs ASH	0-2

Hapoel Katamon

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
10/05/26	H	HK Vs Bnei Sakhnin	1-0
04/05/26	A	Maccabi Netanya Vs HK	1-0
29/04/26	A	Maccabi Bnei Raina Vs HK	0-1
26/04/26	H	HK Vs Hapoel Haifa	0-0
19/04/26	A	Ironi Kiryat Shmona Vs HK	3-1
12/04/26	H	HK Vs Beitar Jerusalem	0-2
04/04/26	A	Maccabi Bnei Raina Vs HK	0-0
21/02/26	H	HK Vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0-1
13/02/26	A	Hapoel Tel Aviv Vs HK	3-1
07/02/26	H	HK Vs Maccabi Haifa	1-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Ashdod

Israel: Ligat Ha'al

Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLDLL	0.96
Home	DLLLL	0.87
Away	LDLDL	1.04

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	17%	22%
AVG goals	3.14	3.57	2.78
Over 1.5 %	86%	96%	78%
Over 2.5 %	58%	57%	59%
Over 3.5 %	34%	39%	30%
Scored	1.32	1.48	1.19
Conceded	1.82	2.09	1.59
BTTS	70%	74%	67%
Clean Sheet	14%	9%	19%
Corners	9.50	9.14	9.78
Cards	5.09	5.14	5.06

Hapoel Katamon

Israel: Ligat Ha'al

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDWLW	1.14
Home	DLLDW	1.30
Away	LDLWL	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	35%	19%
AVG goals	2.28	2.13	2.41
Over 1.5 %	68%	61%	74%
Over 2.5 %	40%	39%	41%
Over 3.5 %	22%	22%	22%
Scored	1.08	1.09	1.07
Conceded	1.20	1.04	1.33
BTTS	52%	39%	63%
Clean Sheet	34%	43%	26%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 13. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Hapoel Beer Sheva	36	79	67%	2.2	79	38	+41	3.2	78%	56%	39%	10.0	58%	5.8	88%	28.7	92%	25	0	0	0	2.2	1.1	60%
2	Beitar Jerusalem	36	76	61%	2.1	78	40	+38	3.3	78%	64%	39%	8.8	42%	6.0	85%	29.1	88%	20	0	0	0	2.2	1.1	57%
3	Maccabi Tel Aviv	35	63	51%	1.8	72	46	+26	3.4	83%	69%	54%	9.4	44%	5.6	96%	30.3	100%	46	0	0	0	2.1	1.3	53%
4	Hapoel Tel Aviv	35	62	51%	1.8	55	35	+20	2.6	71%	43%	29%	8.5	36%	6.1	80%	29.9	92%	17	0	0	0	1.6	1.0	47%
5	Maccabi Haifa	36	55	42%	1.5	66	47	+19	3.1	81%	61%	44%	8.7	38%	5.1	80%	26.7	81%	30	0	0	0	1.8	1.3	54%
6	Maccabi Netanya	33	48	42%	1.5	59	63	-4	3.7	91%	67%	45%	9.0	27%	6.4	91%	26.0	77%	12	0	0	0	1.8	1.9	50%
7	Ironi Tiberias	33	44	36%	1.3	45	56	-11	3.1	85%	45%	36%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.4	1.7	-
8	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	33	40	33%	1.2	50	53	-3	3.1	82%	64%	45%	8.3	32%	5.0	73%	27.3	82%	8	0	0	0	1.5	1.6	47%
9	Hapoel Petah Tikva	36	40	25%	1.1	48	57	-9	2.9	75%	56%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	0	0	0	1.3	1.6	-
10	Hapoel Haifa	33	34	24%	1.0	39	51	-12	2.7	73%	42%	30%	9.8	45%	5.5	91%	27.0	82%	7	0	0	0	1.2	1.5	43%
11	Bnei Sakhnin	33	34	24%	1.0	28	49	-21	2.3	76%	45%	18%	9.3	36%	4.7	77%	25.2	64%	5	0	0	0	0.8	1.5	39%
12	Hapoel Katamon	33	31	21%	0.9	26	43	-17	2.1	61%	39%	18%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	11	0	0	0	0.8	1.3	-
13	Ashdod	33	28	18%	0.8	38	62	-24	3.0	82%	58%	33%	8.7	32%	5.6	77%	27.8	86%	8	0	0	0	1.2	1.9	46%
14	Maccabi Bnei Raina	33	22	18%	0.7	26	69	-43	2.9	76%	58%	42%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	0	0	0	0.8	2.1	-

Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →

← all matches

Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ashdod

Hapoel Katamon

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Ashdod

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Hapoel Katamon

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Ashdod

Hapoel Katamon

🚩 Total Corners

🟨 Total Cards

⚠️ Total Fouls

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Ashdod

Hapoel Katamon

📊 12. Overall Statistics

🏆 13. League Table

A Pro feature