This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.30
1.13
1.53
1.33
1.07
vs Stronger (12)
1.25
1.33
1.50
1.50
1.12
1.25
vs Similar (18)
1.22
1.28
1.00
1.55
1.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.1%
Under 2.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-0 â
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.0%
Ashdod goals ↓
Maccabi Bnei Raina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
10%
8.1%
3.8%
1.3%
1
7.9%
14%
8.8%
4.1%
1.4%
2
5.0%
6.9%
4.8%
2.2%
0.8%
3
1.8%
2.5%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ashdod goals (down), columns = Maccabi Bnei Raina goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.36
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.69
Hapoel Haifa
1.64
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Bnei Sakhnin
1.25
Beitar Jerusalem
1.24
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.21
Maccabi Netanya
1.15
Ashdod
1.12
Hapoel Hadera
1.09
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.73
Ashdod is 0.10 points worse than Maccabi Bnei Raina in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.22).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
2.08
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.53
Beitar Jerusalem
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.15
Maccabi Netanya
1.09
Bnei Sakhnin
1.08
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Ashdod
0.88
Hapoel Hadera
0.85
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.76
Ashdod is 0.18 goals worse than Maccabi Bnei Raina in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.06).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.69
Maccabi Haifa
0.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.18
Beitar Jerusalem
1.21
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Bnei Sakhnin
1.28
Hapoel Haifa
1.31
Ashdod
1.36
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Hapoel Hadera
1.48
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.55
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.73
Ashdod is 0.14 goals worse than Maccabi Bnei Raina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.22).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Maccabi Haifa
58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
56%
Maccabi Netanya
56%
Beitar Jerusalem
53%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
50%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
49%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
49%
Bnei Sakhnin
48%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Ashdod
42%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Ashdod
For 3.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Bnei Raina
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ashdod
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.9
8.1
2.9
3.4
2.3
22.4
22.0
22.8
vs Stronger (21)
7.9
7.9
7.8
3.2
4.6
1.6
18.4
20.0
16.0
vs Similar (29)
8.1
7.8
8.2
2.6
2.5
2.7
26.4
25.0
27.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
40%
29%
44%
48%
40%
70%
60%
80%
% under line
66%
60%
71%
56%
52%
60%
30%
40%
20%
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (20)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Maccabi Haifa
10.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10.0
Bnei Sakhnin
9.8
Hapoel Haifa
9.6
Beitar Jerusalem
9.6
Maccabi Netanya
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.5
Hapoel Hadera
9.4
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.5
Ashdod
8.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Maccabi Haifa
5.0
Beitar Jerusalem
5.0
Ashdod
4.9
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4.9
Hapoel Haifa
4.7
Hapoel Hadera
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
Bnei Sakhnin
4.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.6
Hapoel Haifa
25.1
Maccabi Netanya
23.3
Maccabi Petah Tikva
22.7
Maccabi Haifa
22.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
22.5
Ashdod
22.4
Bnei Sakhnin
21.2
Beitar Jerusalem
21.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
20.8
Hapoel Hadera
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.9%
Under 9.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.9%
Under 3.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
51.5%
Under 21.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ashdod
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.53
0.40
0.67
0.13
0.40
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.62
0.57
0.71
0.17
0.50
vs Similar (17)
0.18
0.47
0.25
0.62
0.11
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.39
0.45
0.45
0.71
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ashdod
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.53
0.87
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.69
0.43
1.43
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.47
0.62
0.38
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.67
0.87
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
0.58
1.00
0.25
0.62
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.89
0.55
1.09
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Ashdod
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stav Nachmani29%
Ravid Abrgil25%
Ezekiel Henty20%
Jordan Botaka17%
Clark Robertson15%
Tom Ben-Zaken10%
Ebenezer Mamatah9%
Elad Shahaf6%
Timothy Awany0%
Omri Ben Harush0%
Ariel Harush0%
David Cuperman0%
Michael Ohana0%
Yaakov Brihon0%
Yosef Azulay Shlomy0%
Lucas Salinas0%
Josef Ganda0%
Obeida Khattab0%
Gil Cohen0%
Jordan Sebban0%
Mohammad Kanaan0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Roy Levy0%
Ilay Tamam0%
Shalev Harush0%
Noam Muche0%
Shaked Hakmon0%
Martin Ndzie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Obeida Khattab60%
Martin Ndzie50%
Tom Ben-Zaken30%
Jordan Sebban27%
Ebenezer Mamatah27%
Gil Cohen27%
Ilay Tamam27%
Omri Ben Harush22%
Noam Muche17%
Shaked Hakmon17%
Timothy Awany15%
Mohammad Kanaan13%
Roy Levy11%
Yosef Azulay Shlomy9%
Yaakov Brihon8%
Shalev Harush8%
Ravid Abrgil8%
Clark Robertson8%
Elad Shahaf6%
Ariel Harush5%
Jordan Botaka0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
David Cuperman0%
Michael Ohana0%
Lucas Salinas0%
Josef Ganda0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohammad Kanaan13%
Martin Ndzie12%
Omri Ben Harush11%
Roy Levy11%
Shalev Harush8%
Ilay Tamam7%
Jordan Botaka6%
Elad Shahaf6%
Ariel Harush5%
Timothy Awany0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Clark Robertson0%
David Cuperman0%
Michael Ohana0%
Yaakov Brihon0%
Yosef Azulay Shlomy0%
Lucas Salinas0%
Josef Ganda0%
Obeida Khattab0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Gil Cohen0%
Jordan Sebban0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Noam Muche0%
Shaked Hakmon0%
Ebenezer Mamatah0%
Ravid Abrgil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josef Ganda14%
Jordan Botaka11%
Ezekiel Henty10%
Tom Ben-Zaken10%
Jordan Sebban9%
Ebenezer Mamatah9%
Shalev Harush8%
Ravid Abrgil8%
Mohammad Kanaan7%
Timothy Awany0%
Omri Ben Harush0%
Clark Robertson0%
Ariel Harush0%
David Cuperman0%
Michael Ohana0%
Yaakov Brihon0%
Yosef Azulay Shlomy0%
Lucas Salinas0%
Obeida Khattab0%
Elad Shahaf0%
Gil Cohen0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Roy Levy0%
Ilay Tamam0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Noam Muche0%
Shaked Hakmon0%
Martin Ndzie0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ashdod and Maccabi Bnei Raina have a similar squad value (both €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ashdod and Maccabi Bnei Raina have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ashdod and Maccabi Bnei Raina have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ashdod and Maccabi Bnei Raina have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →