Ashdod’s recent slump, ending with a 0-2 loss to Hapoel Afula, sets the stage for a cautious home performance. The model sees a 52 % chance of a home win, 23 % for a draw, and 26 % for a Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa victory, making a home win the favourite. With an expected 3.6 goals, the most likely total is three, and the single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, carrying a 9.5 % probability. Ashdod averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.0 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa nets 2.17 and concedes 1.58 on the road. The model’s suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.0 %), Under 7.5 (97.0 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (93.8 % with a 2 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.6 % with a 4 % edge), Under 6.5 (92.7 % with a 1 % edge), and Over 1.5 (88.2 % with a 12 % edge).
Results analysis
Ashdod’s victory over Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa extended their recent win streak, confirming the model’s prediction that a home win would prevail. The final score of 1-0 matched the actual result, and the pre-match favourite, Home win, was correct with a 52 % probability. The model’s selections largely performed as expected: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.0 %, Under 7.5 hit at 97.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 93.8 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.6 %, Under 6.5 hit at 92.7 %, while Over 1.5 missed at 88.2 %. The model’s overall accuracy was reinforced by the correct outcome and the success of most of its picks.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ashdod win✓ Hit
51.8%
Avg Implied 54.7% · @ 1.65
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.70
Superbet
1.69
10Bet
1.68
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.68
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.86
Marathonbet
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.36
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.68
Marathonbet
4.60
Pinnacle
4.58
Betano
4.40
Dafabet
4.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ashdod
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.67
1.21
2.00
0.94
1.38
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.88
1.00
2.25
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
1.09
1.59
1.30
1.90
0.92
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.43
1.76
1.41
2.00
1.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.87
1.43
1.76
1.41
2.00
1.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.2%
@ 1.19+11.8%
Under 1.5
11.8%
@ 3.84-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.96
10Bet
3.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.6%
@ 1.65+14.0%
Under 2.5
30.4%
@ 2.06-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.3%
@ 2.56+12.7%
Under 3.5
51.7%
@ 1.41-12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.59
Superbet
2.57
Under
Pinnacle
1.45
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.6%
@ 1.63+12.9%
No
31.4%
@ 2.05-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
No
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%@ 6.66+3.1%
2-1
9.1%@ 7.39+3.4%
2-2
6.7%@ 12.39+3.3%
3-1
6.5%@ 11.25+2.7%
1-2
6.3%@ 12.54+2.9%
2-0
6.2%@ 8.11+1.0%
1-0 ✓
5.0%@ 7.39-0.8%
3-2
4.7%@ 18.71+2.5%
Ashdod goals ↓
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
3.2%
3.0%
1.5%
0.5%
1
5.0%
9.5%
6.3%
3.1%
1.1%
2
6.2%
9.1%
6.7%
3.3%
1.2%
3
4.4%
6.5%
4.7%
2.3%
0.8%
4
2.3%
3.4%
2.5%
1.2%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ashdod goals (down), columns = Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Ashdod
1.64
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.58
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.34
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.34
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Ashdod is 0.26 points better than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Ashdod
1.66
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.60
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Ashdod is 0.12 goals worse than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.78).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ashdod
1.11
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.16
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Ashdod is 0.46 goals better than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.57).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ashdod or Draw✓ Hit
74.4%
Avg Implied 78.8% · @ 1.16
Edge
-4.4%
52%
23%
26%
covers Ashdod + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Ashdod or Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa✓ Hit
77.4%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.19
Edge
+0.9%
52%
23%
26%
covers Ashdod + Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Draw or Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa✗ Miss
48.2%
Avg Implied 44.7% · @ 2.04
Edge
+3.5%
52%
23%
26%
covers Draw + Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
William Hil
2.05
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ashdod over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.0%
@ 1.11+6.1%
Under
12.0%
@ 5.06-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Under
1xBet
5.45
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Ashdod over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
62.7%
@ 1.65+6.7%
Under
37.3%
@ 2.10-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.26
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Ashdod over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.7%
@ 3.03+5.4%
Under
64.3%
@ 1.32-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.82
Under
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Ashdod over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 6.35+1.9%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.09-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.20
Under
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.9%
@ 1.44+12.8%
Under
23.1%
@ 2.57-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Under
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.60
Betano
2.60
Superbet
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.1%
@ 3.07+13.2%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.31-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.18
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Under
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 7.58+6.2%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.04-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.90
Under
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 13.00-1.1%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.01+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ashdod, so a minus line means Ashdod give that many goals of a start and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa receive them. At -1, Ashdod must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ashdod win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ashdod)Actual: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Ashdod -2
15.7%
@ 5.12-1.6%
Draw -2
15.8%
@ 4.83-2.6%
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa +2
68.5%
@ 1.38+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Handicap -1 (Ashdod)Actual: Draw
Ashdod -1
31.5%
@ 2.78-0.3%
Draw -1
20.3%
@ 3.59-4.3%
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa +1
48.2%
@ 2.03+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.56
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Away
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Handicap +1 (Ashdod)Actual: Ashdod
Ashdod +1
74.4%
@ 1.15+1.1%
Draw +1
13.8%
@ 5.28-2.2%
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa -1
11.8%
@ 7.80+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Handicap +2 (Ashdod)Actual: Ashdod
Ashdod +2
88.2%
@ 1.05-0.6%
Draw +2
7.5%
@ 13.00+0.4%
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa -2
4.3%
@ 23.00+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ashdod
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.71
0.79
0.19
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.62
0.75
0.75
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.73
0.70
0.80
0.17
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.76
0.47
0.77
0.54
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.77
0.50
0.76
0.47
0.77
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.7%
@ 1.29-0.0%
Under 0.5
29.3%
@ 3.11+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.30
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.8%
@ 2.37-1.7%
Under 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.48+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.42
William Hil
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Under
10Bet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.6%
@ 5.31-2.6%
Under 2.5
85.4%
@ 1.10+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.00
Under
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.6%
@ 1.64-9.9%
Under
53.4%
@ 2.12+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.00
Ashdod over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.7%
@ 4.03-8.1%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.19+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Ashdod over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.6%
@ 2.45+7.9%
Under
54.4%
@ 1.48-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.57
Marathonbet
2.44
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 8.75+4.1%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.01-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.80
1xBet
8.70
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ashdod
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.50
1.21
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.25
0.25
1.50
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.86
0.60
1.10
0.75
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.93
1.00
0.94
1.23
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.10
0.93
1.00
0.94
1.23
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.2%
@ 1.18+2.0%
Under 0.5
19.8%
@ 4.23-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.1%
@ 1.88+2.1%
Under 1.5
48.9%
@ 1.81-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.5%
@ 3.77+3.1%
Under 2.5
72.5%
@ 1.22-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.9%
@ 1.43-8.3%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.56+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.47
Ashdod over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.0%
@ 2.89-9.6%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.33+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Under
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Ashdod over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 7.70-5.5%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.04+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Under
1xBet
1.04
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.6%
@ 2.04+9.5%
Under
45.4%
@ 1.67-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.03
Under
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.64
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.1%
@ 6.35+10.8%
Under
74.9%
@ 1.06-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.2%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.18
+11.8%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
88.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
88.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.10
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.3%
1.19
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
84.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-6.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.33
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
-
-
-
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.4%
1.19
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.9%
1.44
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
+12.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.9%
1.06
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
-
-10.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.4%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-4.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.5%
1.22
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
-
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
70.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
-9.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
-0.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ashdod · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jean Batoum31%
Eugene Ansah29%
Nehoray Dabush29%
Karim Kimvuidi25%
Eylon Almog20%
Hayford Boahen20%
Arial Mendy17%
Avishai Cohen17%
Ibrahim Diakite14%
Ilay Hajaj12%
Ori Azo11%
Ilay Tamam7%
Mohamad Amer7%
Roy Gordana6%
Nir Bitton0%
Timothy Awany0%
Lenny Nangis0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Or Dasa0%
Raz Meir0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Adir Levi0%
Noam Muche0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Maor Yashilirmak0%
Victor Ochayi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Reem Tal0%
Amitay Yamin0%
Amit Danziger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Avishai Cohen67%
Raz Meir67%
Adir Levi50%
Ori Azo44%
Eugene Ansah33%
Amit Danziger33%
Roy Gordana29%
Victor Ochayi29%
Mohamad Amer27%
Timothy Awany25%
Tom Ben-Zaken25%
Ilay Tamam20%
Shalev Harush20%
Amitay Yamin20%
Karim Kimvuidi19%
Nir Bitton17%
Arial Mendy17%
Lenny Nangis17%
Elia Gethon17%
Emmanuel Agyei17%
Nehoray Dabush14%
Ibrahim Diakite14%
Ilay Hajaj12%
Noam Muche12%
Maor Yashilirmak12%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Eylon Almog0%
Or Dasa0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Jean Batoum0%
Reem Tal0%
Hayford Boahen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Ben-Zaken25%
Adir Levi25%
Eugene Ansah24%
Ilay Tamam20%
Roy Gordana18%
Nir Bitton17%
Lenny Nangis17%
Jean Batoum15%
Karim Kimvuidi12%
Ori Azo11%
Noam Muche6%
Maor Yashilirmak6%
Timothy Awany0%
Arial Mendy0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Eylon Almog0%
Avishai Cohen0%
Or Dasa0%
Raz Meir0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Ilay Hajaj0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Victor Ochayi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Mohamad Amer0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Ibrahim Diakite0%
Reem Tal0%
Amitay Yamin0%
Amit Danziger0%
Hayford Boahen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eugene Ansah33%
Hayford Boahen20%
Avishai Cohen17%
Jean Batoum15%
Mohamad Amer7%
Roy Gordana6%
Noam Muche6%
Nir Bitton0%
Timothy Awany0%
Arial Mendy0%
Lenny Nangis0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Eylon Almog0%
Or Dasa0%
Raz Meir0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Karim Kimvuidi0%
Ilay Tamam0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Adir Levi0%
Ilay Hajaj0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Maor Yashilirmak0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Victor Ochayi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Ori Azo0%
Ibrahim Diakite0%
Reem Tal0%
Amitay Yamin0%
Amit Danziger0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (23)
€4m
BY (26)
€3m
MBR (18)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Ashdod's squad is €3m more valuable than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's (€4m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MBR (8)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Ashdod and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BY (5)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
MBR (2)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Ashdod and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (9)
€1m
BY (12)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
Ashdod's defence is €1m more valuable than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's (€1m vs €0m).
Israel: Liga Leumit 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →