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ASIL Lysi vs Ayia Napa Result & Analysis

Date: 08/02/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 2-3
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Vs
41%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between ASIL Lysi and Ayia Napa is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win as the most likely outcome. Both sides have shown mixed fortunes in recent fixtures: ASIL Lysi, after a 1-4 loss to Nea Salamis, is still coming off a defeat, while Ayia Napa, riding a two-game winning streak, won 3-0 against Doxa. The expected total of goals sits at 2.3, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3% chance. ASIL Lysi, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, whereas Ayia Napa, on the road against a stronger side, averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals carries a 79% probability. The probabilities for the match result are 41% for a home win, 30% for a draw, and 28% for an away win.

Results analysis

ASIL Lysi finished 2-3 against Ayia Napa (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 41% home win, 30% draw and 28% away win. Missed: Under 3.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASIL Lysi win✗ Miss
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa win✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D10W10W00D21W11D13L20W13LH·DOX22/11A·IRA29/11H·DIG05/12A·AHI13/12H·MEA20/12A·HAL03/01H·AYI10/01A·PAE17/01H·DOX24/01A·OMO31/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.271.250.881.071.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.041.261.090.821.001.67
vs Weaker (7)1.571.291.601.001.502.00
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D02L20W21W02L11D22D20W02LA·AHI22/11H·KAR29/11A·MEA07/12H·ETH13/12A·HAL20/12H·NEA03/01A·ASI10/01A·OMO17/01A·MEA24/01H·KAR31/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.201.070.801.531.60
vs Stronger (25)1.321.241.080.691.581.83
vs Similar (5)1.201.001.001.501.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.3%
Under 1.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.6%
Under 2.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.2%
ASIL Lysi goals ↓
Ayia Napa goals →
01234
011%8.7%5.2%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.1%8.5%4.4%1.5%0.4%
33.5%3.7%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ASIL Lysi goals (down), columns = Ayia Napa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
ASIL Lysi is 0.34 points worse than Ayia Napa in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
ASIL Lysi is 0.34 goals worse than Ayia Napa in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
ASIL Lysi is 0.24 goals worse than Ayia Napa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D00D00D21W01L11D10W10WH·DOX22/11A·IRA29/11H·DIG05/12A·AHI13/12H·MEA20/12A·HAL03/01H·AYI10/01A·PAE17/01H·DOX24/01A·OMO31/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.400.380.310.790.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.570.300.450.180.670.42
vs Weaker (7)0.570.710.200.601.501.00
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L00D11D02L10W12L00D00DA·AHI22/11H·KAR29/11A·MEA07/12H·ETH13/12A·HAL20/12H·NEA03/01A·ASI10/01A·OMO17/01A·MEA24/01H·KAR31/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.270.330.670.93
vs Stronger (25)0.440.640.230.310.671.00
vs Similar (5)0.600.600.500.500.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D10W10W00D00D10W02L10W03LH·DOX22/11A·IRA29/11H·DIG05/12A·AHI13/12H·MEA20/12A·HAL03/01H·AYI10/01A·PAE17/01H·DOX24/01A·OMO31/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.880.560.291.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.480.960.640.640.331.25
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.400.400.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D20W10W00D01L10W20W02LA·AHI22/11H·KAR29/11A·MEA07/12H·ETH13/12A·HAL20/12H·NEA03/01A·ASI10/01A·OMO17/01A·MEA24/01H·KAR31/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.800.470.870.67
vs Stronger (25)0.880.600.850.380.920.83
vs Similar (5)0.600.400.501.000.670.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
AL wins
3
Draws
0
AN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ASIL Lysi vs Ayia Napa · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26HAL Vs Ayia Napa1-1
11/01/25AAyia Napa Vs AL1-1
20/04/24HAL Vs Ayia Napa3-2
24/02/24AAyia Napa Vs AL1-2
12/11/23HAL Vs Ayia Napa0-0

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AL3-1
24/01/26HAL Vs Doxa2-0
17/01/26APAEEK Vs AL3-1
10/01/26HAL Vs Ayia Napa1-1
03/01/26AHalkanoras Vs AL1-2
20/12/25HAL Vs MEAP Nisou0-0
13/12/25AAhironas / Onisilos Vs AL0-1
05/12/25HAL Vs Digenis Morphou1-0
29/11/25AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs AL1-1
22/11/25HAL Vs Doxa1-2

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26HAN Vs Karmiotissa0-2
24/01/26AMEAP Nisou Vs AN0-2
17/01/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AN2-2
10/01/26AASIL Lysi Vs AN1-1
03/01/26HAN Vs Nea Salamis0-2
20/12/25AHalkanoras Vs AN1-2
13/12/25HAN Vs Ethnikos Latsion2-0
07/12/25AMEAP Nisou Vs AN2-0
29/11/25HAN Vs Karmiotissa0-0
22/11/25AAhironas / Onisilos Vs AN1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.56
HomeLWDDW1.88
AwayDWWLL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%33%
AVG goals2.562.232.92
Over 1.5 %78%69%88%
Over 2.5 %50%38%62%
Over 3.5 %24%19%29%
Scored1.301.461.12
Conceded1.260.771.79
BTTS50%38%62%
Clean Sheet26%46%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.36
HomeWDWLL1.38
AwayLWDDW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.562.122.96
Over 1.5 %72%62%81%
Over 2.5 %46%33%58%
Over 3.5 %24%17%31%
Scored1.120.921.31
Conceded1.441.211.65
BTTS50%38%62%
Clean Sheet26%38%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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