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ASIL Lysi vs Digenis Morphou Result & Analysis

Date: 05/12/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Vs
30%
28%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASIL Lysi win✓ Hit
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou win✗ Miss
41.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D11D21W01L10W01L03L12L11DH·AE 13/09A·OMO21/09H·PAE28/09A·SPA04/10A·ETH24/10H·KAR29/10H·NEA01/11A·APE08/11H·DOX22/11A·IRA29/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.401.471.070.871.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.121.331.421.000.831.67
vs Weaker (6)1.331.671.671.331.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W30W02L40W02L11D12L11D30W32WH·KAR13/09A·ETH19/09H·NEA28/09A·APE05/10H·DOX18/10A·IRA25/10H·AYI01/11H·AHI07/11A·MEA22/11H·HAL28/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.471.881.312.001.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.881.592.121.501.671.67
vs Weaker (13)2.001.311.621.122.601.60
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-0 ✓
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
ASIL Lysi goals ↓
Digenis Morphou goals →
01234
08.2%8.9%7.4%3.6%1.3%
17.2%13%8.9%4.3%1.6%
25.1%7.4%5.4%2.6%1.0%
32.0%3.0%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ASIL Lysi goals (down), columns = Digenis Morphou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
ASIL Lysi is 0.28 points worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
ASIL Lysi is 0.45 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.55).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
ASIL Lysi is 0.41 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W01L11D00D00D00D01L00D11DH·AE 13/09A·OMO21/09H·PAE28/09A·SPA04/10A·ETH24/10H·KAR29/10H·NEA01/11A·APE08/11H·DOX22/11A·IRA29/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.530.270.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.620.290.670.170.580.42
vs Weaker (6)0.331.000.000.670.671.33
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L20W01L00D11D00D10W11DH·KAR13/09A·ETH19/09H·NEA28/09A·APE05/10H·DOX18/10A·IRA25/10H·AYI01/11H·AHI07/11A·MEA22/11H·HAL28/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.380.500.930.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.410.710.120.620.670.78
vs Weaker (13)0.920.380.620.381.400.40
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W10W01L10W01L02L12L00DH·AE 13/09A·OMO21/09H·PAE28/09A·SPA04/10A·ETH24/10H·KAR29/10H·NEA01/11A·APE08/11H·DOX22/11A·IRA29/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.930.800.271.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.501.040.750.830.251.25
vs Weaker (6)1.000.671.670.670.330.67
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W01L20W01L11D01L11D20W21WH·KAR13/09A·ETH19/09H·NEA28/09A·APE05/10H·DOX18/10A·IRA25/10H·AYI01/11H·AHI07/11A·MEA22/11H·HAL28/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.901.500.811.071.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.470.882.000.881.000.89
vs Weaker (13)1.080.921.000.751.201.20
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
AL wins
0
Draws
1
DM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ASIL Lysi vs Digenis Morphou · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25HAL Vs Digenis Morphou2-0
22/02/25ADigenis Morphou Vs AL3-1
05/10/24ADigenis Morphou Vs AL1-2
17/12/23HAL Vs Digenis Morphou2-1

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs AL1-1
22/11/25HAL Vs Doxa1-2
08/11/25AAPEA Vs AL3-0
01/11/25HAL Vs Nea Salamis0-1
29/10/25HAL Vs Karmiotissa1-0
24/10/25AEthnikos Latsion Vs AL1-0
04/10/25ASpartakos Kitiou Vs AL1-2
28/09/25HAL Vs PAEEK1-1
21/09/25AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AL1-1
13/09/25HAL Vs AE Zakakiou2-0

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/11/25HDM Vs Halkanoras3-2
22/11/25AMEAP Nisou Vs DM0-3
07/11/25HDM Vs Ahironas / Onisilos1-1
01/11/25HDM Vs Ayia Napa1-2
25/10/25AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs DM1-1
18/10/25HDM Vs Doxa0-2
05/10/25AAPEA Vs DM0-4
28/09/25HDM Vs Nea Salamis0-2
19/09/25AEthnikos Latsion Vs DM0-3
13/09/25HDM Vs Karmiotissa3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.46
HomeWDWLL1.69
AwayDWLLD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%33%
AVG goals2.722.502.96
Over 1.5 %84%77%92%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.301.421.17
Conceded1.421.081.79
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet20%35%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW1.82
HomeLLLDW1.96
AwayLWWDW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%62%50%
AVG goals3.243.123.38
Over 1.5 %86%81%92%
Over 2.5 %66%65%67%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored1.861.811.92
Conceded1.381.311.46
BTTS64%69%58%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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