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ASIL Lysi vs Karmiotissa Result & Analysis

Date: 29/10/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 1-0
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Vs
45%
27%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Karmiotissa
Karmiotissa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASIL Lysi win✓ Hit
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa win✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W03L20W21W20W11D11D21W01LA·AE 29/03H·AHI02/04A·KRA06/04H·DIG12/04A·AKR26/04H·AE 13/09A·OMO21/09H·PAE28/09A·SPA04/10A·ETH24/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.231.600.871.001.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.331.211.670.921.001.50
vs Weaker (6)1.171.331.330.671.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L20W10W01L13L30W31W20W30WH·ANO05/04A·ETH11/04H·OMO28/04H·OMO05/05A·AEL11/05A·DIG13/09H·AHI20/09A·MEA28/09H·HAL04/10H·AE 26/10← 1. Division2. Division →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.431.400.870.872.00
vs Stronger (7)0.142.430.002.500.202.40
vs Similar (22)1.411.181.580.671.201.80
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.9%
Under 2.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-0 ✓
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
ASIL Lysi goals ↓
Karmiotissa goals →
01234
07.3%6.2%4.5%1.8%0.5%
18.5%13%7.1%2.8%0.9%
27.7%9.3%5.6%2.3%0.7%
34.1%4.9%3.0%1.2%0.4%
41.6%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ASIL Lysi goals (down), columns = Karmiotissa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
ASIL Lysi is 0.86 points worse than Karmiotissa in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.93).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
ASIL Lysi is 0.76 goals worse than Karmiotissa in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
ASIL Lysi is 0.83 goals worse than Karmiotissa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 0.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L10W20W00D10W01L11D00DA·AE 29/03H·AHI02/04A·KRA06/04H·DIG12/04A·AKR26/04H·AE 13/09A·OMO21/09H·PAE28/09A·SPA04/10A·ETH24/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.600.270.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.670.210.750.170.580.25
vs Weaker (6)0.331.000.000.670.671.33
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W00D01L00D20W20W10W10WH·ANO05/04A·ETH11/04H·OMO28/04H·OMO05/05A·AEL11/05A·DIG13/09H·AHI20/09A·MEA28/09H·HAL04/10H·AE 26/10← 1. Division2. Division →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.600.330.400.67
vs Stronger (7)0.000.710.000.500.000.80
vs Similar (22)0.640.450.670.330.600.60
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D02L10W01L20W01L10W10W01LA·AE 29/03H·AHI02/04A·KRA06/04H·DIG12/04A·AKR26/04H·AE 13/09A·OMO21/09H·PAE28/09A·SPA04/10A·ETH24/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.871.000.600.401.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.671.000.920.750.421.25
vs Weaker (6)0.830.331.330.000.330.67
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L10W10W00D13L10W11D10W20WH·ANO05/04A·ETH11/04H·OMO28/04H·OMO05/05A·AEL11/05A·DIG13/09H·AHI20/09A·MEA28/09H·HAL04/10H·AE 26/10← 1. Division2. Division →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.800.530.471.33
vs Stronger (7)0.141.710.002.000.201.60
vs Similar (22)0.770.730.920.330.601.20
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Karmiotissa · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christos Giousis33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Delmiro20%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Minas Antoniou60%
Devis Epassy40%
Christos Giousis33%
Argyris Kampetsis33%
Panagiotis Andreou33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Stavros Tsoukalas20%
Dion Malone20%
Delmiro20%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Deni Hočko0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christos Giousis0%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Delmiro0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Giousis33%
Boris Cmiljanić25%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Delmiro0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AL wins
0
Draws
0
KAR wins

Head-to-head

ASIL Lysi vs Karmiotissa · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/25AEthnikos Latsion Vs AL1-0
04/10/25ASpartakos Kitiou Vs AL1-2
28/09/25HAL Vs PAEEK1-1
21/09/25AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AL1-1
13/09/25HAL Vs AE Zakakiou2-0
26/04/25AAkritas Vs AL1-2
12/04/25HAL Vs Digenis Morphou2-0
06/04/25AKrasava Ypsonas Vs AL3-0
02/04/25HAL Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-1
29/03/25AAE Zakakiou Vs AL2-0

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25HKAR Vs AE Zakakiou3-0
04/10/25HKAR Vs Halkanoras2-0
28/09/25AMEAP Nisou Vs KAR1-3
20/09/25HKAR Vs Ahironas / Onisilos3-0
13/09/25ADigenis Morphou Vs KAR3-1
11/05/25AAEL Vs KAR1-0
05/05/25HKAR Vs Omonia Aradippou1-0
28/04/25HKAR Vs Omonia 29is Maiou2-0
11/04/25AEthnikos Achna Vs KAR2-1
05/04/25HKAR Vs Anorthosis0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.50
HomeWWWWD1.80
AwayLWDWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals2.622.482.76
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.301.481.12
Conceded1.321.001.64
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet24%40%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Karmiotissa
Karmiotissa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.26
HomeWWWWW1.41
AwayDLLLW1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%37%30%
AVG goals2.922.853.00
Over 1.5 %80%78%83%
Over 2.5 %56%48%65%
Over 3.5 %28%26%30%
Scored1.281.371.17
Conceded1.641.481.83
BTTS46%41%52%
Clean Sheet30%41%17%
Corners9.808.4011.20
Cards4.103.604.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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