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ASIL Lysi vs Karmiotissa Result & Analysis

Date: 04/04/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 2-6
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Vs
30%
31%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Karmiotissa
Karmiotissa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASIL Lysi win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W13L23L05L00D12L13L01L01L55DH·DOX24/01A·OMO31/01H·AYI08/02A·KAR13/02A·MEA21/02H·NEA28/02H·PAE08/03A·DOX13/03H·OMO18/03A·AYI21/03
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.471.131.001.071.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.851.201.000.560.731.73
vs Weaker (10)1.602.001.331.672.002.50
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D20W31W50W01L21W22D22D30W10WH·OMO24/01A·AYI31/01A·MEA07/02H·ASI13/02A·NEA21/02H·PAE28/02H·DOX07/03A·OMO14/03H·AYI18/03H·MEA21/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.902.200.601.201.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.711.052.200.501.271.55
vs Weaker (9)1.670.562.200.801.000.25
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.0%
Under 2.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
ASIL Lysi goals ↓
Karmiotissa goals →
01234
012%11%7.6%3.1%1.0%
19.5%15%8.1%3.3%1.0%
25.7%7.0%4.3%1.7%0.5%
32.0%2.5%1.5%0.6%0.2%
40.5%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ASIL Lysi goals (down), columns = Karmiotissa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
ASIL Lysi is 0.86 points worse than Karmiotissa in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.93).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
ASIL Lysi is 0.76 goals worse than Karmiotissa in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
ASIL Lysi is 0.83 goals worse than Karmiotissa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 0.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W21W01L00D12L03L00D00D32WH·DOX24/01A·OMO31/01H·AYI08/02A·KAR13/02A·MEA21/02H·NEA28/02H·PAE08/03A·DOX13/03H·OMO18/03A·AYI21/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.400.530.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.450.350.330.220.550.45
vs Weaker (10)0.901.000.501.001.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D20W10W00D10W21W00D20W10WH·OMO24/01A·AYI31/01A·MEA07/02H·ASI13/02A·NEA21/02H·PAE28/02H·DOX07/03A·OMO14/03H·AYI18/03H·MEA21/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.231.130.200.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.860.241.000.200.730.27
vs Weaker (9)0.890.221.400.200.250.25
Clean sheet %80% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W03L02L04L00D00D10W01L01L23LH·DOX24/01A·OMO31/01H·AYI08/02A·KAR13/02A·MEA21/02H·NEA28/02H·PAE08/03A·DOX13/03H·OMO18/03A·AYI21/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.730.470.271.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.400.850.670.330.181.27
vs Weaker (10)0.701.000.830.670.501.50
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W11D40W01L11D01L22D10W00DH·OMO24/01A·AYI31/01A·MEA07/02H·ASI13/02A·NEA21/02H·PAE28/02H·DOX07/03A·OMO14/03H·AYI18/03H·MEA21/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.671.070.400.600.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.860.811.200.300.551.27
vs Weaker (9)0.780.330.800.600.750.00
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Karmiotissa · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christos Giousis33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Delmiro20%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Minas Antoniou60%
Devis Epassy40%
Christos Giousis33%
Argyris Kampetsis33%
Panagiotis Andreou33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Stavros Tsoukalas20%
Dion Malone20%
Delmiro20%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Deni Hočko0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christos Giousis0%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Delmiro0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Giousis33%
Boris Cmiljanić25%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Delmiro0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
AL wins
0
Draws
1
KAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ASIL Lysi vs Karmiotissa · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
13/02/26AKarmiotissa Vs AL5-0
29/10/25HAL Vs Karmiotissa1-0

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26AAyia Napa Vs AL5-5
18/03/26HAL Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-1
13/03/26ADoxa Vs AL1-0
08/03/26HAL Vs PAEEK1-3
28/02/26HAL Vs Nea Salamis1-2
21/02/26AMEAP Nisou Vs AL0-0
13/02/26AKarmiotissa Vs AL5-0
08/02/26HAL Vs Ayia Napa2-3
31/01/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AL3-1
24/01/26HAL Vs Doxa2-0

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26HKAR Vs MEAP Nisou1-0
18/03/26HKAR Vs Ayia Napa3-0
14/03/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs KAR2-2
07/03/26HKAR Vs Doxa2-2
28/02/26HKAR Vs PAEEK2-1
21/02/26ANea Salamis Vs KAR1-0
13/02/26HKAR Vs ASIL Lysi5-0
07/02/26AMEAP Nisou Vs KAR1-3
31/01/26AAyia Napa Vs KAR0-2
24/01/26HKAR Vs Omonia 29is Maiou1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.24
HomeWLLLL1.48
AwayLLDLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.602.322.88
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.161.281.04
Conceded1.441.041.84
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet22%36%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Karmiotissa
Karmiotissa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.50
HomeWWDWW2.00
AwayDWWLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%60%24%
AVG goals2.542.602.48
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.341.720.96
Conceded1.200.881.52
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet32%44%20%
Corners9.502.0012.00
Cards4.505.004.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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