PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

ASIL Lysi vs MEAP Nisou Result & Analysis

Date: 19/10/2024
Time: 12:30
Final 2-0
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Vs
36%
30%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASIL Lysi win✓ Hit
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou win✗ Miss
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L04L20W40W32W43W10W04L01L21WA·OMO16/03H·OMO30/03A·KRA06/04H·PEY14/04H·AYI20/04A·ENO27/04H·OTH14/09A·AKR21/09H·HAL28/09A·DIG05/10
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.371.201.271.201.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.191.421.251.331.141.50
vs Weaker (4)1.251.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D02L21W52W03L32W12L01L23LH·ENA16/03A·AHI31/03H·DIG07/04A·ERM14/04A·XYL20/04H·PAE27/04H·HAL15/09A·DIG20/09H·DOX27/09H·AE 05/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.430.941.561.361.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.211.331.001.251.421.42
vs Weaker (6)0.831.830.752.501.000.50
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.2%
Under 2.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0 ✓
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
ASIL Lysi goals ↓
MEAP Nisou goals →
01234
010.0%9.1%6.2%2.5%0.7%
19.5%14%7.8%3.1%0.9%
26.7%8.1%4.8%1.9%0.6%
32.8%3.4%2.0%0.8%0.2%
40.9%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ASIL Lysi goals (down), columns = MEAP Nisou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
ASIL Lysi is 0.24 points better than MEAP Nisou in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
ASIL Lysi is 0.03 goals better than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
ASIL Lysi is 0.14 goals worse than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L02L10W00D21W22D00D03L20WH·OLY09/03A·OMO16/03H·OMO30/03A·KRA06/04H·PEY14/04H·AYI20/04A·ENO27/04H·OTH14/09A·AKR21/09A·DIG05/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.470.530.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.630.380.540.500.71
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.000.501.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D00D01L01L40W03L02L01L12LA·PAE02/03A·AKR09/03H·ENA16/03A·AHI31/03H·DIG07/04A·XYL20/04H·PAE27/04A·DIG20/09H·DOX27/09H·AE 05/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.310.940.570.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.520.640.380.690.670.58
vs Weaker (5)0.001.400.002.000.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W02L10W40W11D21W10W01L01LH·OLY09/03A·OMO16/03H·OMO30/03A·KRA06/04H·PEY14/04H·AYI20/04A·ENO27/04H·OTH14/09A·AKR21/09A·DIG05/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.800.730.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.740.780.850.770.640.79
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.500.501.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W10W01L12L00D10W00D11DA·PAE02/03A·AKR09/03H·ENA16/03A·AHI31/03H·DIG07/04A·XYL20/04H·PAE27/04A·DIG20/09H·DOX27/09H·AE 05/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.440.500.710.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.600.680.540.460.670.92
vs Weaker (5)0.400.400.000.671.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AL wins
1
Draws
0
MN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ASIL Lysi vs MEAP Nisou · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23HAL Vs MEAP Nisou1-1

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24ADigenis Morphou Vs AL1-2
28/09/24HAL Vs Halkanoras0-1
21/09/24AAkritas Vs AL4-0
14/09/24HAL Vs Othellos1-0
27/04/24AEnosis Vs AL3-4
20/04/24HAL Vs Ayia Napa3-2
14/04/24HAL Vs Peyia4-0
06/04/24AKrasava Ypsonas Vs AL0-2
30/03/24HAL Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-4
16/03/24AOmonia Aradippou Vs AL3-1

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24HMN Vs AE Zakakiou2-3
27/09/24HMN Vs Doxa0-1
20/09/24ADigenis Morphou Vs MN2-1
15/09/24HMN Vs Halkanoras3-2
27/04/24HMN Vs PAEEK0-3
20/04/24AXylotympou Vs MN2-5
14/04/24AErmis Vs MN1-2
07/04/24HMN Vs Digenis Morphou0-2
31/03/24AAhironas / Onisilos Vs MN1-1
16/03/24HMN Vs ENAD1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.48
HomeLWWWL1.35
AwayLWWLW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%35%50%
AVG goals2.452.292.62
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %45%47%44%
Over 3.5 %24%24%25%
Scored1.181.121.25
Conceded1.271.181.38
BTTS45%47%44%
Clean Sheet33%35%31%
Corners---
Cards---
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.00
HomeLLWLL0.69
AwayDDWWL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%15%38%
AVG goals2.462.422.50
Over 1.5 %60%62%58%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %24%23%25%
Scored0.940.811.08
Conceded1.521.621.42
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet20%15%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2962
66%
2.1
4617+29
2.2
59%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.60.6
-
2OlympiakosOlympiakos2957
59%
2.0
4619+27
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.60.7
-
3AkritasAkritas2954
59%
1.9
4829+19
2.7
69%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.0
-
4AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2950
52%
1.7
3831+7
2.4
72%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2949
52%
1.7
5145+6
3.3
83%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
6ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
45%
1.5
3639-3
2.6
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
7DoxaDoxa2940
41%
1.4
4538+7
2.9
72%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
8Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2938
41%
1.3
4848+0
3.3
72%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
9Ayia NapaAyia Napa2938
38%
1.3
2841-13
2.4
66%
48%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10HalkanorasHalkanoras2937
38%
1.3
5051-1
3.5
86%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2936
34%
1.2
3535+0
2.4
72%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2936
34%
1.2
4650-4
3.3
76%
69%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
13PAEEKPAEEK2935
31%
1.2
3639-3
2.6
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
14OthellosOthellos2931
31%
1.1
3341-8
2.6
66%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2929
31%
1.0
3660-24
3.3
79%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
16PeyiaPeyia2925
24%
0.9
2160-39
2.8
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

← all matches