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ASIL Lysi vs PAEEK Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2025
Time: 13:30
Final 3-1
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Vs
41%
30%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
PAEEK
PAEEK
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASIL Lysi win✓ Hit
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAEEK win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D02L03L12L31W21W13L13L01LH·AHI08/01A·AYI11/01A·OLY18/01A·PAE25/01H·AE 01/02A·AHI08/02H·KRA15/02A·DIG22/02H·AKR01/03H·OLY08/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.501.381.191.361.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.461.501.461.231.451.82
vs Weaker (6)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAEEKPAEEK

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W13L30W12L00D12L22D02L01LA·PEY08/01H·KRA11/01A·KRA18/01H·ASI25/01A·DIG31/01H·AE 08/02A·AKR15/02H·AHI22/02A·OLY01/03H·KRA08/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.132.071.001.131.27
vs Stronger (27)1.441.152.001.000.851.31
vs Similar (1)4.002.00--4.002.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.503.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.2%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.5%
Under 2.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.9%
Under 3.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.3%
ASIL Lysi goals ↓
PAEEK goals →
01234
011%8.8%5.3%1.9%0.5%
111%14%6.9%2.4%0.6%
28.0%8.4%4.4%1.6%0.4%
33.4%3.6%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ASIL Lysi goals (down), columns = PAEEK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
ASIL Lysi is 0.28 points better than PAEEK in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
ASIL Lysi and PAEEK are level in goals scored per game (both 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
ASIL Lysi and PAEEK are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D02L11D10W10W10W11D00DH·AHI08/01A·AYI11/01A·OLY18/01A·PAE25/01H·AE 01/02A·AHI08/02H·KRA15/02A·DIG22/02H·AKR01/03H·OLY08/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.620.440.710.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.640.560.570.430.730.73
vs Weaker (5)0.801.001.000.500.671.33
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAEEKPAEEK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L20W00D00D00D11D01L00DA·PEY08/01H·KRA11/01A·KRA18/01H·ASI25/01A·DIG31/01H·AE 08/02A·AKR15/02H·AHI22/02A·OLY01/03H·KRA08/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.431.200.330.670.53
vs Stronger (27)0.810.441.140.290.460.62
vs Similar (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D02L01L01L21W11D03L02L01LH·AHI08/01A·AYI11/01A·OLY18/01A·PAE25/01H·AE 01/02A·AHI08/02H·KRA15/02A·DIG22/02H·AKR01/03H·OLY08/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.900.810.810.641.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.800.960.860.860.731.09
vs Weaker (5)0.400.600.500.500.330.67
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAEEKPAEEK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L10W12L00D12L11D01L01LA·PEY08/01H·KRA11/01A·KRA18/01H·ASI25/01A·DIG31/01H·AE 08/02A·AKR15/02H·AHI22/02A·OLY01/03H·KRA08/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.730.600.470.73
vs Stronger (27)0.560.670.710.640.380.69
vs Similar (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
AL wins
1
Draws
1
PAE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ASIL Lysi vs PAEEK · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25APAEEK Vs AL3-0
20/12/24APAEEK Vs AL2-2
24/09/23APAEEK Vs AL0-2

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HAL Vs Olympiakos0-1
01/03/25HAL Vs Akritas1-3
22/02/25ADigenis Morphou Vs AL3-1
15/02/25HAL Vs Krasava Ypsonas2-1
08/02/25AAhironas / Onisilos Vs AL1-3
01/02/25HAL Vs AE Zakakiou1-2
25/01/25APAEEK Vs AL3-0
18/01/25AOlympiakos Vs AL2-0
11/01/25AAyia Napa Vs AL1-1
08/01/25HAL Vs Ahironas / Onisilos3-1

PAEEKPAEEK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HPAE Vs Krasava Ypsonas0-1
01/03/25AOlympiakos Vs PAE2-0
22/02/25HPAE Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-2
15/02/25AAkritas Vs PAE2-1
08/02/25HPAE Vs AE Zakakiou0-0
31/01/25ADigenis Morphou Vs PAE2-1
25/01/25HPAE Vs ASIL Lysi3-0
18/01/25AKrasava Ypsonas Vs PAE3-1
11/01/25HPAE Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-0
08/01/25APeyia Vs PAE1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.40
HomeWLWLL1.46
AwayDLLWL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.562.422.71
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.221.271.17
Conceded1.341.151.54
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners---
Cards---
PAEEK
PAEEK
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.50
HomeWWDDL1.79
AwayDLLLL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%31%
AVG goals2.722.962.50
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %32%42%23%
Scored1.541.831.27
Conceded1.181.121.23
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet32%33%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2962
66%
2.1
4617+29
2.2
59%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.60.6
-
2OlympiakosOlympiakos2957
59%
2.0
4619+27
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.60.7
-
3AkritasAkritas2954
59%
1.9
4829+19
2.7
69%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.0
-
4AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2950
52%
1.7
3831+7
2.4
72%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2949
52%
1.7
5145+6
3.3
83%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
6ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
45%
1.5
3639-3
2.6
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
7DoxaDoxa2940
41%
1.4
4538+7
2.9
72%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
8Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2938
41%
1.3
4848+0
3.3
72%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
9Ayia NapaAyia Napa2938
38%
1.3
2841-13
2.4
66%
48%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10HalkanorasHalkanoras2937
38%
1.3
5051-1
3.5
86%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2936
34%
1.2
3535+0
2.4
72%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2936
34%
1.2
4650-4
3.3
76%
69%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
13PAEEKPAEEK2935
31%
1.2
3639-3
2.6
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
14OthellosOthellos2931
31%
1.1
3341-8
2.6
66%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2929
31%
1.0
3660-24
3.3
79%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
16PeyiaPeyia2925
24%
0.9
2160-39
2.8
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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