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Astana II vs Ekibastuz Result & Analysis

Date: 16/07/2022
Time: 10:00
Final 3-0
Astana II
Astana II
Vs
39%
25%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Astana II win✓ Hit
39.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz win✗ Miss
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Astana IIAstana II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L21W06L11D42W52W11D16L23L12LA·ZHE24/04H·AKA30/04A·YAS08/05H·KAI13/05A·BUL22/05H·IGI28/05H·OKZ18/06A·KYR25/06H·TAR01/07A·SPO10/07
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.552.271.831.331.203.40
vs Stronger (4)0.752.250.500.501.004.00
vs Similar (7)2.002.292.501.751.333.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %9% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D01L30W21W00D21W33D43W22DH·TAR24/04A·SPO30/04A·IGI08/05H·BAY15/05A·ZHE21/05H·ZHE28/05A·AKA19/06H·YAS25/06A·KAI02/07H·BUL09/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.271.601.001.831.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.751.381.001.002.201.60
vs Weaker (3)1.671.002.501.000.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Astana II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.2%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.1%
No
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
Astana II goals ↓
Ekibastuz goals →
01234
04.5%4.7%4.7%2.6%1.1%
15.0%11%8.1%4.4%1.8%
25.1%8.4%6.9%3.8%1.6%
32.9%4.8%4.0%2.2%0.9%
41.3%2.1%1.7%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Astana II goals (down), columns = Ekibastuz goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.35
Kaisar
2.15
Zhetysu
2.12
Sport Academy Kairat
1.96
Kyran
1.58
Ekibastuz
1.42
Taraz Karatau
1.38
Zhenys
1.35
Yassy Turkistan
1.35
Akademiya Ontustik
1.15
Astana II
1.04
Igilik
0.81
Bulat
0.65
Baykonur
0.27
Astana II is 0.38 points worse than Ekibastuz in terms of average points per game (1.04 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Okzhetpes
3.08
Sport Academy Kairat
2.35
Kaisar
2.31
Zhetysu
2.19
Kyran
2.19
Astana II
1.92
Yassy Turkistan
1.85
Taraz Karatau
1.73
Ekibastuz
1.73
Akademiya Ontustik
1.62
Zhenys
1.54
Bulat
1.38
Igilik
1.04
Baykonur
0.62
Astana II is 0.19 goals better than Ekibastuz in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.73).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.85
Zhetysu
0.88
Kaisar
1.00
Sport Academy Kairat
1.19
Zhenys
1.38
Kyran
1.65
Taraz Karatau
1.81
Ekibastuz
1.81
Yassy Turkistan
2.08
Akademiya Ontustik
2.31
Astana II
2.38
Igilik
2.69
Baykonur
2.73
Bulat
2.77
Astana II is 0.58 goals worse than Ekibastuz in terms of goals conceded per game (2.38 vs 1.81).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Astana IIAstana II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W01L11D31W30W10W02L12L01LA·ZHE24/04H·AKA30/04A·YAS08/05H·KAI13/05A·BUL22/05H·IGI28/05H·OKZ18/06A·KYR25/06H·TAR01/07A·SPO10/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.901.600.600.601.20
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (7)1.430.861.750.751.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D00D20W11D00D20W12L12L10WH·TAR24/04A·SPO30/04A·IGI08/05H·BAY15/05A·ZHE21/05H·ZHE28/05A·AKA19/06H·YAS25/06A·KAI02/07H·BUL09/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.910.640.800.401.000.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.880.880.330.671.201.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %64% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Astana II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Astana II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Astana IIAstana II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L05L00D11D22D01L14L11D11DA·ZHE24/04H·AKA30/04A·YAS08/05H·KAI13/05A·BUL22/05H·IGI28/05H·OKZ18/06A·KYR25/06H·TAR01/07A·SPO10/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.600.601.000.602.20
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.001.001.002.50
vs Similar (7)0.571.430.751.000.332.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L10W10W00D01L21W31W12LH·TAR24/04A·SPO30/04A·IGI08/05H·BAY15/05A·ZHE21/05H·ZHE28/05A·AKA19/06H·YAS25/06A·KAI02/07H·BUL09/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.640.800.600.830.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.880.500.670.331.000.60
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %45% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Astana II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Astana II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (6)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
OKZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AI wins
0
Draws
0
EKI wins

Head-to-head

Astana II vs Ekibastuz · H/A from AI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Astana IIAstana II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/07/22ASport Academy Kairat Vs AI2-1
01/07/22HAI Vs Taraz Karatau2-3
25/06/22AKyran Vs AI6-1
18/06/22HAI Vs Okzhetpes1-1
28/05/22HAI Vs Igilik5-2
22/05/22ABulat Vs AI2-4
13/05/22HAI Vs Kaisar1-1
08/05/22AYassy Turkistan Vs AI6-0
30/04/22HAI Vs Akademiya Ontustik2-1
24/04/22AZhetysu Vs AI1-0

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/07/22HEKI Vs Bulat2-2
02/07/22AKaisar Vs EKI3-4
25/06/22HEKI Vs Yassy Turkistan3-3
19/06/22AAkademiya Ontustik Vs EKI1-2
28/05/22HEKI Vs Zhetysu0-0
21/05/22AZhenys Vs EKI1-2
15/05/22HEKI Vs Baykonur3-0
08/05/22AIgilik Vs EKI1-0
30/04/22ASport Academy Kairat Vs EKI2-2
24/04/22HEKI Vs Taraz Karatau0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Astana II
Astana II
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL1.09
HomeWDWDL1.50
AwayLLWLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%33%20%
AVG goals3.823.174.60
Over 1.5 %82%83%80%
Over 2.5 %64%50%80%
Over 3.5 %45%33%60%
Scored1.551.831.20
Conceded2.271.333.40
BTTS73%83%60%
Clean Sheet9%17%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWD1.64
HomeDWDDD1.40
AwayDLWWW1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%20%50%
AVG goals3.002.603.33
Over 1.5 %73%60%83%
Over 2.5 %64%60%67%
Over 3.5 %36%40%33%
Scored1.731.601.83
Conceded1.271.001.50
BTTS64%40%83%
Clean Sheet27%60%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2661
73%
2.3
8022+58
3.9
88%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2113.10.8
-
2KaisarKaisar2656
65%
2.2
6026+34
3.3
88%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
3ZhetysuZhetysu2655
65%
2.1
5723+34
3.1
77%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1022.20.9
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2651
58%
2.0
6131+30
3.5
88%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.2
-
5KyranKyran2641
46%
1.6
5743+14
3.8
85%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.7
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2637
35%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
85%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
7Taraz KaratauTaraz Karatau2636
38%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
8ZhenysZhenys2635
38%
1.3
4036+4
2.9
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.51.4
-
9Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2635
38%
1.3
4854-6
3.9
81%
77%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2630
31%
1.2
4260-18
3.9
88%
88%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
11Astana IIAstana II2627
27%
1.0
5062-12
4.3
85%
77%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.4
-
12IgilikIgilik2621
23%
0.8
2770-43
3.7
73%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
13BulatBulat2617
15%
0.7
3672-36
4.2
92%
81%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.8
-
14BaykonurBaykonur267
4%
0.3
1671-55
3.3
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.7
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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