Astana II vs Taraz Result & Analysis

Astana II are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with a 42 % chance of victory, a 28 % chance of a draw and a 30 % chance of Taraz taking the win. The model expects 2.7 goals in total, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.5 % probability. Astana II, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.27 goals scored and 2.55 conceded, while Taraz, on the road, average 0.77 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4 %), Under 6.5 (98.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.6 %), Under 5.5 (94.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (93.9 %), Away under 2.5 goals (88.0 %), Home +2 handicap (87.2 %) and Under 4.5 (86.8 %). Astana II’s recent form shows a 3-game losing streak, last losing 0-4 to Shakhter Karagandy, whereas Taraz’s last five include two wins and a draw, most recently 1-1 against Arys.

Astana II’s win extended their recent run, finishing the last five with a victory that set the tone for the match. The model’s favourite, Home win, was correct, as Astana II secured a 4-0 triumph over Taraz. The pre-match probability for a home win was 42%. The model’s selections performed impressively: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9%, Under 6.5 at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.9%, and Under 5.5 at 94.6%. The only miss was Home under 3.5 goals, which came in at 93.9%. Overall, the model’s predictions largely came through, confirming the forecasted outcome.