This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.80
0.57
1.71
0.44
1.88
vs Stronger (22)
0.55
2.00
0.60
1.90
0.50
2.08
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.25
0.50
1.25
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.8%
Under 1.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.8%
@ 2.14-7.0%
Under 2.5
63.2%
@ 1.67+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.4%
Under 3.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.9%
No
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%
2-0
13.5%
0-0 ✓
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
Asteras Tripolis goals ↓
Apollon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
6.1%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
1
16%
12%
3.5%
0.7%
0.1%
2
13%
8.5%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
3
6.9%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
4
2.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asteras Tripolis goals (down), columns = Apollon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.50
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Panathinaikos
1.47
Asteras Tripolis
1.42
Volos NFC
1.30
Atromitos
1.12
Lamia
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.06
Apollon
1.03
OFI Crete
0.97
Panetolikos
0.85
Larisa
0.82
Asteras Tripolis is 0.39 points better than Apollon in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.28
PAOK
1.67
AEK Athens FC
1.47
Aris Thessalonikis
1.14
Panathinaikos
1.14
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
OFI Crete
0.91
Atromitos
0.91
Apollon
0.88
PAS Giannina
0.82
Larisa
0.76
Lamia
0.64
Panetolikos
0.61
Asteras Tripolis is 0.12 goals better than Apollon in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.53
Aris Thessalonikis
0.72
PAOK
0.94
Panathinaikos
0.94
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.09
Volos NFC
1.12
Apollon
1.21
Atromitos
1.21
AEK Athens FC
1.25
Lamia
1.27
Panetolikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.42
Larisa
1.42
Asteras Tripolis is 0.16 goals better than Apollon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Asteras Tripolis
For 4.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.7 · Against 15.3 · Total 33.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Apollon
For 4.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 19.3 · Total 36.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Asteras Tripolis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.5
8.0
6.3
6.1
6.5
32.3
31.5
33.0
vs Stronger (14)
7.6
8.7
6.8
5.1
6.3
4.1
30.9
29.5
32.1
vs Similar (30)
8.8
8.9
8.7
6.7
6.1
7.4
32.8
32.9
32.8
vs Weaker (6)
6.8
5.7
8.0
7.2
6.0
8.3
33.5
30.0
37.0
% over line
34%
42%
27%
86%
88%
85%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
66%
58%
73%
14%
12%
15%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.5
10.0
5.4
5.7
5.2
36.0
33.7
37.8
vs Stronger (36)
9.5
8.7
10.5
5.4
5.4
5.4
35.2
30.0
37.8
vs Similar (14)
8.6
7.8
9.0
5.6
6.8
4.9
41.0
41.0
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
42%
50%
82%
83%
81%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
18%
17%
19%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Apollon
9.3
PAOK
9.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.2
Volos NFC
9.1
Aris Thessalonikis
8.9
Atromitos
8.9
Larisa
8.9
AEK Athens FC
8.6
Panetolikos
8.4
Lamia
8.3
Asteras Tripolis
8.2
OFI Crete
8.2
PAS Giannina
8.0
Panathinaikos
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Asteras Tripolis
6.3
OFI Crete
6.2
Larisa
6.1
Volos NFC
6.0
PAS Giannina
5.8
Panathinaikos
5.8
Aris Thessalonikis
5.6
Lamia
5.6
Atromitos
5.5
PAOK
5.5
Apollon
5.4
Panetolikos
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
PAS Giannina
39.1
Apollon
36.0
Larisa
34.5
OFI Crete
34.4
Lamia
34.2
AEK Athens FC
34.0
Panetolikos
33.9
PAOK
33.7
Atromitos
33.7
Aris Thessalonikis
33.0
Panathinaikos
32.6
Asteras Tripolis
32.3
Volos NFC
31.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
30.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.6%
Under 9.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
87.4%
Under 3.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
99.3%
Under 21.5
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Asteras Tripolis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
0.89
0.25
1.25
0.00
0.60
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.33
0.80
0.10
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.90
0.14
0.86
0.19
0.94
vs Stronger (22)
0.18
0.95
0.20
1.00
0.17
0.92
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Asteras Tripolis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.80
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.39
1.00
0.20
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.90
0.43
0.86
0.25
0.94
vs Stronger (22)
0.36
1.05
0.40
0.90
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Asteras Tripolis · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julián Bartolo30%
Federico Macheda26%
Georgios Charalampoglou10%
Julián Chicco9%
Kalvin Ketu9%
Nikos Kaltsas7%
Christos Almyras6%
Robert Ivanov6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe4%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pepe Castaño75%
Alexandros Tereziou50%
Konstantinos Pomonis46%
Dani Fernández36%
Miguel Muñoz Mora32%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe30%
Nikola Šipčić29%
Robert Ivanov28%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos27%
Stefan Mitrović25%
Nikos Kaltsas21%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil20%
Nikolai Alho19%
Christos Almyras19%
Issiaga Sylla18%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy17%
Chidera Okoh17%
Federico Macheda16%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis12%
Julián Bartolo12%
Nicholas Gioacchini11%
Theofanis Tzandaris10%
Julián Chicco9%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis8%
Eder González8%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos7%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kalvin Ketu15%
Julián Chicco9%
Federico Macheda6%
Júnior Mendieta6%
Christos Almyras6%
Julián Bartolo6%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Issiaga Sylla5%
Miguel Muñoz Mora5%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Nikos Kaltsas3%
Pepe Castaño0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Chidera Okoh0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Almyras19%
Julián Bartolo18%
Nikos Kaltsas10%
Federico Macheda10%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Julián Chicco0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Nikolai Alho0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Eder González0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
Volos NFC
Atromitos
PAS Giannina
Lamia
Panetolikos
Larisa