Asteras Tripolis are set to defend a solid home record, having scored 1.56 goals and conceded only 0.89 against teams of similar strength. Iraklis 1908, on the road, have managed 1.18 goals for and 0.82 against in comparable fixtures. The model favours a home win, with a 50% chance, a draw at 30%, and an away win at 21%. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome with a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Asteras Tripolis, with a 13.8% chance. Recent form tells a story: Asteras come off three straight defeats, while Iraklis return from a draw. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.2% with a 5% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.0% with a 7% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9% with a 6% edge, Under 5.5 at 97.3% with a 5% edge, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.2% with a 3% edge.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Asteras Tripolis win
48.9%
Avg Implied 44.7% · @ 2.08
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.16
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.08
Draw
29.9%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.34
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.60
Dafabet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Iraklis 1908 win
21.2%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.37
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Betano
3.55
Unibet
3.55
Betfair
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Asteras Tripolis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.47
1.33
1.07
0.53
1.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.67
0.20
1.60
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.96
1.48
1.56
0.89
0.57
1.86
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iraklis 1908
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.97
1.64
0.57
1.25
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
5.00
-
-
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (20)
1.25
0.75
1.33
0.67
1.18
0.82
vs Weaker (8)
2.25
0.50
2.20
0.40
2.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.5%
@ 1.33-3.5%
Under 1.5
33.5%
@ 3.09+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Under
Betano
3.30
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.94
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.5%
@ 2.06-7.2%
Under 2.5
61.5%
@ 1.73+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.70
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.6%
@ 3.63-6.9%
Under 3.5
81.4%
@ 1.24+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Betano
3.55
1xBet
3.54
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
43.8%
@ 1.85-6.2%
No
56.2%
@ 1.85+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.82
No
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 6.00+6.4%
1-0
13.8%@ 6.49+6.9%
0-0
12.0%@ 8.49+6.8%
2-0
10.5%@ 9.11+5.6%
2-1
8.7%@ 8.30+3.4%
0-1
7.7%@ 8.70+2.6%
1-2
5.2%@ 10.95+1.2%
3-0
4.9%@ 17.36+2.3%
Asteras Tripolis goals ↓
Iraklis 1908 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
7.7%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
1
14%
14%
5.2%
1.5%
0.3%
2
10%
8.7%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
3
4.9%
4.1%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.7%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asteras Tripolis goals (down), columns = Iraklis 1908 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis is 0.19 points worse than Iraklis 1908 in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
Asteras Tripolis is 0.14 goals worse than Iraklis 1908 in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
Asteras Tripolis is 0.09 goals better than Iraklis 1908 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Asteras Tripolis
For 5.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.5 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Iraklis 1908
For 2.0 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 20.0 · Against 18.5 · Total 38.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Asteras Tripolis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.8
9.2
4.7
5.4
4.1
28.1
27.4
28.7
vs Stronger (13)
9.2
9.7
8.7
4.7
5.0
4.3
28.1
27.7
28.5
vs Similar (36)
9.6
9.9
9.4
4.8
5.9
4.0
28.1
27.3
28.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
52%
52%
68%
74%
63%
84%
90%
78%
% under line
48%
48%
48%
32%
26%
37%
16%
10%
22%
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iraklis 1908
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
4.7
-
4.7
0.3
0.0
0.5
38.0
-
38.0
vs Stronger (2)
7.0
-
7.0
0.5
-
0.5
36.0
-
36.0
vs Similar (28)
3.5
-
3.5
0.5
0.0
0.9
39.0
-
39.0
vs Weaker (20)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
-
0%
4%
0%
8%
100%
-
100%
% under line
100%
-
100%
96%
100%
92%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Iraklis 1908
4.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Levadiakos
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Kifisia
32.3
Atromitos
30.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Volos NFC
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.2
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panetolikos
27.1
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
30.6%
@ 2.06-13.9%
Under 9.5
69.4%
@ 1.65+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Unibet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.63
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.4%
Under 3.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
95.1%
Under 21.5
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Asteras Tripolis or Draw
78.8%
Avg Implied 72.4% · @ 1.29
Edge
+6.5%
49%
30%
21%
covers Asteras Tripolis + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Asteras Tripolis or Iraklis 1908
70.1%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.28
Edge
-2.9%
49%
30%
21%
covers Asteras Tripolis + Iraklis 1908
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Draw or Iraklis 1908
51.1%
Avg Implied 54.7% · @ 1.71
Edge
-3.6%
49%
30%
21%
covers Draw + Iraklis 1908
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.79
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5
Over
75.2%
@ 1.24+0.8%
Under
24.8%
@ 3.60-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5
Over
40.6%
@ 2.19-1.8%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.62+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Under
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5
Over
16.5%
@ 4.81-2.7%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.15+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Asteras Tripolis over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
@ 10.42-3.8%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5
Over
56.6%
@ 1.43-8.2%
Under
43.4%
@ 2.63+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.44
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.68
Marathonbet
2.68
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.55
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5
Over
20.3%
@ 3.09-9.7%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.33+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.15
Betano
3.10
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5
Over
5.2%
@ 8.00-6.5%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.06+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Iraklis 1908 over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
@ 20.50-3.7%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Asteras Tripolis, so a minus line means Asteras Tripolis give that many goals of a start and Iraklis 1908 receive them. At -1, Asteras Tripolis must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Asteras Tripolis win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Asteras Tripolis)
Asteras Tripolis -2
9.3%
@ 8.88-0.8%
Draw -2
15.2%
@ 6.01+0.2%
Iraklis 1908 +2
75.5%
@ 1.20+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (Asteras Tripolis)
Asteras Tripolis -1
24.5%
@ 3.94+1.8%
Draw -1
24.4%
@ 3.63-0.2%
Iraklis 1908 +1
51.1%
@ 1.69-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.75
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.56
Unibet
3.45
Away
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.71
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Betfair
1.62
Handicap +1 (Asteras Tripolis)
Asteras Tripolis +1
78.8%
@ 1.30+9.3%
Draw +1
14.1%
@ 4.87-4.5%
Iraklis 1908 -1
7.1%
@ 7.52-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Handicap +2 (Asteras Tripolis)
Asteras Tripolis +2
92.9%
@ 1.06+5.6%
Draw +2
5.4%
@ 11.00-3.0%
Iraklis 1908 -2
1.7%
@ 21.50-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
Betfair
20.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Asteras Tripolis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.53
0.73
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.40
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.65
0.67
0.44
0.36
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iraklis 1908
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.79
0.43
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.40
0.78
0.56
0.55
0.27
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.12
0.80
0.20
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.7%
@ 1.40+4.6%
Under 0.5
29.3%
@ 2.74-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Unibet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
William Hil
2.75
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.2%
@ 2.97+5.8%
Under 1.5
62.8%
@ 1.36-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.05
1xBet
2.94
Marathonbet
2.94
William Hil
2.90
Under
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.7%
@ 7.72+2.6%
Under 2.5
85.3%
@ 1.06-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Betano
7.10
Marathonbet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.0%
@ 1.95+8.5%
Under
44.0%
@ 1.76-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Unibet
1.90
Under
Unibet
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 HT
Over
23.1%
@ 5.84+7.2%
Under
76.9%
@ 1.10-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.2%
@ 15.12-0.1%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.01+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.3%
@ 2.37-5.8%
Under
66.7%
@ 1.52+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Unibet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.33
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.9%
@ 8.15-3.5%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.05+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.40
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Asteras Tripolis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.80
0.33
0.20
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.33
0.20
0.20
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.83
0.89
0.44
0.21
1.07
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iraklis 1908
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
0.86
0.14
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.35
0.56
0.11
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.38
1.40
0.20
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.2%
@ 1.27+3.0%
Under 0.5
23.8%
@ 3.46-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Betano
3.70
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.2%
@ 2.25+4.9%
Under 1.5
53.8%
@ 1.58-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.7%
@ 4.99+2.1%
Under 2.5
79.3%
@ 1.14-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.2%
@ 1.68+5.9%
Under
38.8%
@ 2.08-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 2H
Over
29.5%
@ 4.25+7.7%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.19-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.10
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 2H
Over
11.4%
@ 10.50+2.5%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.03-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
37.0%
@ 2.02-8.8%
Under
63.0%
@ 1.71+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.3%
@ 6.14-5.7%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.08+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.20
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
@ 17.38-3.6%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
Under 5.5
97.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+4.0%
Over 21.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
94.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+6.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.1%
Home +2 handicap
92.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
+5.6%
Under 4.5
92.4%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
+5.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.05
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+3.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
+5.7%
Over 2.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
-2.5%
Under 11.5 corners
87.4%
1.22
Betano
1.22
-
-
-
-
+10.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-2.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
83.5%
1.15
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+2.7%
Under 3.5
81.4%
1.24
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
+6.9%
Over 25.5 fouls
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
79.7%
1.39
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
-
+12.4%
Away under 1.5 goals
79.7%
1.33
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
+9.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.14
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-2.1%
Home or Draw
78.8%
1.29
10Bet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
+6.5%
Home +1 handicap
78.8%
1.30
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
+9.3%
Over 3.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.9%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-7.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+3.0%
Away +2 handicap
75.5%
1.20
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-
+0.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
75.2%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+0.8%
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.40
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Unibet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
+4.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.5%
1.19
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-7.7%
Home or Away
70.1%
1.28
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
-2.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Asteras Tripolis · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julián Bartolo30%
Federico Macheda26%
Georgios Charalampoglou10%
Julián Chicco9%
Kalvin Ketu9%
Nikos Kaltsas7%
Christos Almyras6%
Robert Ivanov6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe4%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pepe Castaño75%
Alexandros Tereziou50%
Konstantinos Pomonis46%
Dani Fernández36%
Miguel Muñoz Mora32%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe30%
Nikola Šipčić29%
Robert Ivanov28%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos27%
Stefan Mitrović25%
Nikos Kaltsas21%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil20%
Nikolai Alho19%
Christos Almyras19%
Issiaga Sylla18%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy17%
Chidera Okoh17%
Federico Macheda16%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis12%
Julián Bartolo12%
Nicholas Gioacchini11%
Theofanis Tzandaris10%
Julián Chicco9%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis8%
Eder González8%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos7%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kalvin Ketu15%
Julián Chicco9%
Federico Macheda6%
Júnior Mendieta6%
Christos Almyras6%
Julián Bartolo6%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Issiaga Sylla5%
Miguel Muñoz Mora5%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Nikos Kaltsas3%
Pepe Castaño0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Chidera Okoh0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Almyras19%
Julián Bartolo18%
Nikos Kaltsas10%
Federico Macheda10%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Julián Chicco0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Nikolai Alho0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Eder González0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
Asteras Tripolis's squad is €4m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€13m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
Asteras Tripolis's attack is €2m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€5m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
Asteras Tripolis and Iraklis 1908 have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
Asteras Tripolis's defence is €2m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€6m vs €4m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Atromitos
Kalamata
Levadiakos