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Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-0
Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
Vs
39%
28%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kifisia
Kifisia
Greece: Super League 1
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Asteras Tripolis a 39% win probability against Kifisia in the Greece: Super League 1 on 2026-05-16, with 28% for the draw and 32% for Kifisia. The model estimates around 2.7 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 21.5 fouls (94%), Over 3.5 cards (86%), Over 1.5 (76%), Under 3.5 (72%).

Results analysis

Asteras Tripolis finished 0-0 against Kifisia (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 39% home win, 28% draw and 32% away win. Picks that landed: Over 21.5 fouls (94%), Over 3.5 cards (86%), Under 3.5 (72%). Missed: Over 1.5 (76%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asteras Tripolis win✗ Miss
39.2%
Avg Implied 54.0% · @ 1.69
Edge
-14.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.53
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kifisia win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied 20.1% · @ 4.54
Edge
+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L31W00D00D21W12L42W11D10WA·LAR14/03H·PAN22/03H·LAR04/04A·PAN08/04A·KIF18/04H·PAN22/04A·ATR26/04H·ATR02/05A·LAR09/05H·PAN12/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.331.501.120.431.57
vs Stronger (10)0.301.300.601.800.000.80
vs Similar (20)1.351.351.910.820.672.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kifisia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KifisiaKifisia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L12L00D00D11D00D10W21W03LH·VOL15/03A·AEK22/03H·PAN04/04A·ATR08/04H·AST18/04A·LAR22/04H·PAN26/04A·PAN02/05A·PAN09/05H·ATR12/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.431.061.380.931.50
vs Stronger (7)0.712.861.333.330.252.50
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (22)1.091.001.000.921.221.11
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.8%
@ 2.02+3.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%
@ 1.72-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
0-0 ✓
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
Asteras Tripolis goals ↓
Kifisia goals →
01234
08.2%7.5%5.5%2.3%0.7%
18.5%14%7.8%3.3%1.0%
26.9%8.7%5.5%2.3%0.7%
33.2%4.1%2.6%1.1%0.3%
41.1%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asteras Tripolis goals (down), columns = Kifisia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
OFI Crete
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.79
Panserraikos
0.76
Asteras Tripolis is 0.16 points worse than Kifisia in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI Crete
1.34
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.92
Panserraikos
0.66
Asteras Tripolis is 0.16 goals worse than Kifisia in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Levadiakos
1.50
Larisa
1.61
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI Crete
1.72
OFI
1.72
Panserraikos
2.03
Asteras Tripolis is 0.03 goals better than Kifisia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Larisa
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Panserraikos
37%
Asteras Tripolis is 2.8 percentage points worse than Kifisia in terms of average possession (45% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

For 4.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

15011246441051214464825561310815351012711H·PANA·LARH·ATRA·ATRH·PANA·KIFA·PANH·LARH·PANA·LAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

1005553131151312212112310842644325H·PANA·LARH·ATRA·ATRH·PANA·KIFA·PANH·LARH·PANA·LAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

3101811141217141411159111012161531317161429263125242128183030H·PANA·LARH·ATRA·ATRH·PANA·KIFA·PANH·LARH·PANA·LAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KifisiaKifisia

For 3.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

140591625314841249153361477412561089H·ATRA·PANA·PANH·PANA·LARH·ASTA·ATRH·PANA·AEKH·VOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

9013236342113725241231597349755H·ATRA·PANA·PANH·PANA·LARH·ASTA·ATRH·PANA·AEKH·VOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.9 · Against 14.3 · Total 32.2

⚠️ Fouls

380131122111914182016171011201523141715211524333338332135373236H·ATRA·PANA·PANH·PANA·LARH·ASTA·ATRH·PANA·AEKH·VOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.39.35.75.95.527.726.528.7
vs Stronger (18)8.78.29.05.36.14.627.226.827.5
vs Similar (32)9.79.99.45.95.86.028.026.429.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%50%50%78%79%77%82%83%81%
% under line50%50%50%22%21%23%18%17%19%
This opponent (Kifisia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KifisiaKifisia

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.17.910.24.84.25.432.832.932.7
vs Stronger (8)10.08.012.07.47.27.534.137.031.2
vs Similar (5)9.06.012.02.21.73.035.034.036.0
vs Weaker (37)8.88.09.54.64.05.232.231.632.8
% over line36%22%50%64%60%68%97%94%100%
% under line64%78%50%36%40%32%3%6%0%
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.7
Aris Thessalonikis
9.4
Asteras Tripolis
9.3
OFI
9.1
OFI Crete
9.1
AEK Athens FC
9.0
Atromitos
9.0
Panserraikos
8.7
Volos NFC
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
PAOK
8.7
Larisa
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.6
Levadiakos
8.5
Panathinaikos
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.7
Larisa
6.1
Panserraikos
6.0
OFI
5.8
OFI Crete
5.8
Volos NFC
5.8
Asteras Tripolis
5.7
AEK Athens FC
5.6
Levadiakos
5.4
Panetolikos
5.4
Panathinaikos
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.1
Atromitos
5.0
PAOK
4.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kifisia
32.6
Larisa
32.4
Volos NFC
30.7
Atromitos
30.7
Levadiakos
30.1
AEK Athens FC
29.6
OFI Crete
28.8
OFI
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.7
Aris Thessalonikis
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.7
Panserraikos
27.5
Panetolikos
27.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.3
PAOK
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.7%
Under 9.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.7%
Under 3.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.9%
Under 21.5
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 21.5 fouls93.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards85.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (28)
€134m
PAO (34)
€96m
PAN (31)
€89m
AAF (32)
€82m
AT (31)
€40m
KIF (41)
€20m
OC (30)
€17m
PAN (35)
€16m
LEV (31)
€15m
ATR (30)
€15m
VN (37)
€12m
LAR (35)
€12m
PAN (33)
€10m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAO (12)
€50m
PAN (12)
€44m
AAF (11)
€35m
OP (8)
€28m
AT (16)
€20m
KIF (18)
€11m
OC (11)
€8m
PAN (15)
€8m
ATR (13)
€6m
LEV (10)
€5m
VN (15)
€5m
LAR (14)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€48m
PAO (7)
€24m
PAN (8)
€23m
AAF (8)
€20m
AT (4)
€9m
ATR (5)
€4m
OC (6)
€4m
LEV (7)
€3m
PAN (6)
€3m
KIF (7)
€3m
PAN (7)
€3m
VN (5)
€2m
LAR (5)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (14)
€59m
AAF (13)
€26m
PAO (15)
€23m
PAN (11)
€22m
AT (11)
€10m
LEV (14)
€7m
KIF (16)
€6m
OC (13)
€6m
VN (17)
€5m
LAR (16)
€5m
PAN (14)
€5m
ATR (12)
€5m
PAN (15)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26AKifisia Vs AT0-0
13/12/25AKifisia Vs AT0-0
19/10/25HAT Vs Kifisia2-2
06/04/24HAT Vs Kifisia1-2
28/02/24HAT Vs Kifisia3-3
26/11/23AKifisia Vs AT1-3

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/26HAT Vs Panserraikos1-0
09/05/26ALarisa Vs AT1-1
02/05/26HAT Vs Atromitos4-2
26/04/26AAtromitos Vs AT2-1
22/04/26HAT Vs Panetolikos2-1
18/04/26AKifisia Vs AT0-0
08/04/26APanserraikos Vs AT0-0
04/04/26HAT Vs Larisa3-1
22/03/26HAT Vs Panathinaikos1-2
14/03/26ALarisa Vs AT1-1

KifisiaKifisia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/26HKIF Vs Atromitos0-3
09/05/26APanserraikos Vs KIF1-2
02/05/26APanetolikos Vs KIF0-1
26/04/26HKIF Vs Panetolikos0-0
22/04/26ALarisa Vs KIF1-1
18/04/26HKIF Vs Asteras Tripolis0-0
08/04/26AAtromitos Vs KIF0-0
04/04/26HKIF Vs Panserraikos1-2
22/03/26AAEK Athens FC Vs KIF3-0
15/03/26HKIF Vs Volos NFC2-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.02
HomeLWWWW1.33
AwayDDDLD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%15%
AVG goals2.582.962.23
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %52%67%38%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.061.460.69
Conceded1.521.501.54
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet24%17%31%
Corners9.309.339.27
Cards5.665.885.46
Kifisia
Kifisia
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.52
HomeWLDDL1.44
AwayLDDWW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals2.322.162.48
Over 1.5 %70%60%80%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.221.121.32
Conceded1.101.041.16
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet40%48%32%
Corners9.067.8910.22
Cards6.675.897.44

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3478
68%
2.3
6021+39
2.4
65%
41%
26%
8.5
29%
5.6
91%
30.5
100%
82
3520261.80.6
57%
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus3472
62%
2.1
5717+40
2.2
74%
38%
12%
8.7
41%
4.5
59%
25.9
74%
134
2848591.70.5
60%
3PAOKPAOK3470
59%
2.1
6426+38
2.6
79%
59%
24%
8.9
35%
4.7
69%
25.0
74%
96
5024231.90.8
60%
4PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3458
47%
1.7
5334+19
2.6
76%
50%
26%
7.6
21%
5.3
74%
30.0
91%
89
4423221.61.0
53%
5LevadiakosLevadiakos3658
47%
1.6
7254+18
3.5
89%
67%
53%
8.6
44%
5.8
86%
30.9
94%
15
5372.01.5
56%
6Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis3652
36%
1.4
3938+1
2.1
72%
36%
17%
9.2
56%
5.6
81%
29.5
94%
40
209101.11.1
51%
7AtromitosAtromitos3849
34%
1.3
5345+8
2.6
71%
55%
26%
8.7
39%
4.9
76%
30.6
95%
15
6451.41.2
53%
8KifisiaKifisia3845
26%
1.2
4554-9
2.6
76%
55%
29%
9.1
37%
6.5
87%
32.3
95%
20
11361.21.4
48%
9OFIOFI3239
38%
1.2
4355-12
3.1
88%
69%
34%
8.3
34%
5.5
88%
29.9
97%
0
0001.31.7
45%
10
OC
OFI Crete		3239
38%
1.2
4355-12
3.1
88%
69%
34%
8.3
34%
5.4
88%
29.8
97%
17
8461.31.7
-
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis3839
24%
1.0
3953-14
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.7
53%
5.6
79%
28.6
87%
0
0001.01.4
45%
12PanetolikosPanetolikos3839
26%
1.0
3954-15
2.4
66%
45%
21%
8.5
42%
5.5
83%
26.9
82%
16
8351.01.4
46%
13Volos NFCVolos NFC3637
28%
1.0
3760-23
2.7
81%
50%
19%
8.8
36%
5.4
89%
30.0
92%
12
5251.01.7
46%
14LarisaLarisa3830
13%
0.8
3561-26
2.5
82%
42%
18%
8.7
42%
6.0
79%
29.7
84%
12
5250.91.6
46%
15PanserraikosPanserraikos3829
18%
0.8
2577-52
2.7
74%
55%
24%
8.6
45%
5.9
85%
27.3
84%
10
3350.72.0
37%
Greece: Super League 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

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